Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies
Background and Objective: The critical step of policymaking and planning for the local governments to select appropriate waste management methods, is comprehensive information on solid waste generation. Waste generation rate and composition may vary from year to year because many factors influence i...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | fas |
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Tehran University of Medical Sciences
2022-12-01
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| Series: | سلامت و محیط |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6683-en.html |
| _version_ | 1828087928597774336 |
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| author | Fariba Ebrahimi Fini Farzam Babaei Semiromi Mohammad Reza Tabesh Mahdi Jalili Ghazizade Amir Hushang Heidari |
| author_facet | Fariba Ebrahimi Fini Farzam Babaei Semiromi Mohammad Reza Tabesh Mahdi Jalili Ghazizade Amir Hushang Heidari |
| author_sort | Fariba Ebrahimi Fini |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Background and Objective: The critical step of policymaking and planning for the local governments to select appropriate waste management methods, is comprehensive information on solid waste generation. Waste generation rate and composition may vary from year to year because many factors influence it. This research identified the most important factors influencing the future of household waste generation and composition in Tehran, and how these factors affect each other.
Materials and Methods: This research is based on future studies methods which are carried out using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Due to the nature of this research, structural analysis, Micmac software and Delphi survey were used.
Results: In this regard, after holding many meetings with 22 of the experts as the statistical population of the research, 14 effective factors were identified. The influential factors were then analyzed in the framework of the Cross-impact matrix in the Micmac software. The results showed that what can be understood from the state of the dispersion page of the variables indicated the system instability, with most of the variables dispersed around the diagonal axis of the screen.
Conclusion: Finally, considering the high scores received by direct and indirect influences, 10 key factors were identified. “Economic Growth”, “Digital Transformation and Technological Advances”, “Amendment of Existing laws, Enactment and Implementation of New and Specialized Laws”, and “Increased Awareness about waste and Attraction of Citizen Participation through Education and Provision of Information” were identified among these 10 factors as the driving forces influencing generation and composition, of household waste in Tehran in the Next Twenty Years. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T05:19:02Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-f3bc92ec78834f1f9fa88d7523b32141 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2008-2029 2008-3718 |
| language | fas |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T05:19:02Z |
| publishDate | 2022-12-01 |
| publisher | Tehran University of Medical Sciences |
| record_format | Article |
| series | سلامت و محیط |
| spelling | doaj.art-f3bc92ec78834f1f9fa88d7523b321412022-12-24T05:05:12ZfasTehran University of Medical Sciencesسلامت و محیط2008-20292008-37182022-12-01153523538Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studiesFariba Ebrahimi Fini0Farzam Babaei Semiromi1Mohammad Reza Tabesh2Mahdi Jalili Ghazizade3Amir Hushang Heidari4 Department of Environmental Management, Faculty of Natural Resources and Environment, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran Department of Environmental Management, Faculty of Natural Resources and Environment, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran Department of Environmental Management, Faculty of Natural Resources and Environment, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran Environmental Sciences Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University, Tehran, Iran Science & Technology Futures Studies Department, National Research Institute for Science Policy (NRISP), Tehran, Iran Background and Objective: The critical step of policymaking and planning for the local governments to select appropriate waste management methods, is comprehensive information on solid waste generation. Waste generation rate and composition may vary from year to year because many factors influence it. This research identified the most important factors influencing the future of household waste generation and composition in Tehran, and how these factors affect each other. Materials and Methods: This research is based on future studies methods which are carried out using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. Due to the nature of this research, structural analysis, Micmac software and Delphi survey were used. Results: In this regard, after holding many meetings with 22 of the experts as the statistical population of the research, 14 effective factors were identified. The influential factors were then analyzed in the framework of the Cross-impact matrix in the Micmac software. The results showed that what can be understood from the state of the dispersion page of the variables indicated the system instability, with most of the variables dispersed around the diagonal axis of the screen. Conclusion: Finally, considering the high scores received by direct and indirect influences, 10 key factors were identified. “Economic Growth”, “Digital Transformation and Technological Advances”, “Amendment of Existing laws, Enactment and Implementation of New and Specialized Laws”, and “Increased Awareness about waste and Attraction of Citizen Participation through Education and Provision of Information” were identified among these 10 factors as the driving forces influencing generation and composition, of household waste in Tehran in the Next Twenty Years.http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6683-en.htmlfutures studiesdriving forceswaste compositiontehranmunicipal waste management |
| spellingShingle | Fariba Ebrahimi Fini Farzam Babaei Semiromi Mohammad Reza Tabesh Mahdi Jalili Ghazizade Amir Hushang Heidari Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies سلامت و محیط futures studies driving forces waste composition tehran municipal waste management |
| title | Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies |
| title_full | Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies |
| title_fullStr | Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies |
| title_full_unstemmed | Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies |
| title_short | Identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in Tehran (with an emphasis on waste composition) in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies |
| title_sort | identification of the driving forces influencing household waste generation in tehran with an emphasis on waste composition in the next twenty years using the approach of futures studies |
| topic | futures studies driving forces waste composition tehran municipal waste management |
| url | http://ijhe.tums.ac.ir/article-1-6683-en.html |
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