Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution

This paper presents the technical implementation of a new, probabilistic version of the NEMO ocean–sea-ice modelling system. Ensemble simulations with <i>N</i> members running simultaneously within a single executable, and interacting mutually if needed, are made possible through an enha...

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Main Authors: L. Bessières, S. Leroux, J.-M. Brankart, J.-M. Molines, M.-P. Moine, P.-A. Bouttier, T. Penduff, L. Terray, B. Barnier, G. Sérazin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2017-03-01
Series:Geoscientific Model Development
Online Access:http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/1091/2017/gmd-10-1091-2017.pdf
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author L. Bessières
S. Leroux
J.-M. Brankart
J.-M. Molines
M.-P. Moine
P.-A. Bouttier
T. Penduff
L. Terray
B. Barnier
G. Sérazin
author_facet L. Bessières
S. Leroux
J.-M. Brankart
J.-M. Molines
M.-P. Moine
P.-A. Bouttier
T. Penduff
L. Terray
B. Barnier
G. Sérazin
author_sort L. Bessières
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents the technical implementation of a new, probabilistic version of the NEMO ocean–sea-ice modelling system. Ensemble simulations with <i>N</i> members running simultaneously within a single executable, and interacting mutually if needed, are made possible through an enhanced message-passing interface (MPI) strategy including a double parallelization in the spatial and ensemble dimensions. An example application is then given to illustrate the implementation, performances, and potential use of this novel probabilistic modelling tool. A large ensemble of 50 global ocean–sea-ice hindcasts has been performed over the period 1960–2015 at eddy-permitting resolution (1∕4°) for the OCCIPUT (oceanic chaos – impacts, structure, predictability) project. This application aims to simultaneously simulate the intrinsic/chaotic and the atmospherically forced contributions to the ocean variability, from mesoscale turbulence to interannual-to-multidecadal timescales. Such an ensemble indeed provides a unique way to disentangle and study both contributions, as the forced variability may be estimated through the ensemble mean, and the intrinsic chaotic variability may be estimated through the ensemble spread.
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spelling doaj.art-f3df9a52f17743998d15a5301f3857d32022-12-21T20:45:26ZengCopernicus PublicationsGeoscientific Model Development1991-959X1991-96032017-03-011031091110610.5194/gmd-10-1091-2017Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolutionL. Bessières0S. Leroux1J.-M. Brankart2J.-M. Molines3M.-P. Moine4P.-A. Bouttier5T. Penduff6L. Terray7B. Barnier8G. Sérazin9CNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, FranceUniv. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, FranceUniv. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, FranceUniv. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, FranceCNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, FranceUniv. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, FranceUniv. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, FranceCNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, FranceUniv. Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, IGE, 38000 Grenoble, FranceCNRS/CERFACS, CECI UMR 5318, Toulouse, FranceThis paper presents the technical implementation of a new, probabilistic version of the NEMO ocean–sea-ice modelling system. Ensemble simulations with <i>N</i> members running simultaneously within a single executable, and interacting mutually if needed, are made possible through an enhanced message-passing interface (MPI) strategy including a double parallelization in the spatial and ensemble dimensions. An example application is then given to illustrate the implementation, performances, and potential use of this novel probabilistic modelling tool. A large ensemble of 50 global ocean–sea-ice hindcasts has been performed over the period 1960–2015 at eddy-permitting resolution (1∕4°) for the OCCIPUT (oceanic chaos – impacts, structure, predictability) project. This application aims to simultaneously simulate the intrinsic/chaotic and the atmospherically forced contributions to the ocean variability, from mesoscale turbulence to interannual-to-multidecadal timescales. Such an ensemble indeed provides a unique way to disentangle and study both contributions, as the forced variability may be estimated through the ensemble mean, and the intrinsic chaotic variability may be estimated through the ensemble spread.http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/1091/2017/gmd-10-1091-2017.pdf
spellingShingle L. Bessières
S. Leroux
J.-M. Brankart
J.-M. Molines
M.-P. Moine
P.-A. Bouttier
T. Penduff
L. Terray
B. Barnier
G. Sérazin
Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
Geoscientific Model Development
title Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
title_full Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
title_fullStr Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
title_full_unstemmed Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
title_short Development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on NEMO 3.5: application at eddying resolution
title_sort development of a probabilistic ocean modelling system based on nemo 3 5 application at eddying resolution
url http://www.geosci-model-dev.net/10/1091/2017/gmd-10-1091-2017.pdf
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