Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach

The finite element method (FEM) is widely used to simulate a variety of physics phenomena. Approaches that integrate FEM with neural networks (NNs) are typically leveraged as an alternative to conducting expensive FEM simulations in order to reduce the computational cost without significantly sacrif...

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Main Authors: Guy L. Bergel, David Montes de Oca Zapiain, Vicente Romero
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2023-01-01
Series:Data-Centric Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673623000175/type/journal_article
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author Guy L. Bergel
David Montes de Oca Zapiain
Vicente Romero
author_facet Guy L. Bergel
David Montes de Oca Zapiain
Vicente Romero
author_sort Guy L. Bergel
collection DOAJ
description The finite element method (FEM) is widely used to simulate a variety of physics phenomena. Approaches that integrate FEM with neural networks (NNs) are typically leveraged as an alternative to conducting expensive FEM simulations in order to reduce the computational cost without significantly sacrificing accuracy. However, these methods can produce biased predictions that deviate from those obtained with FEM, since these hybrid FEM-NN approaches rely on approximations trained using physically relevant quantities. In this work, an uncertainty estimation framework is introduced that leverages ensembles of Bayesian neural networks to produce diverse sets of predictions using a hybrid FEM-NN approach that approximates internal forces on a deforming solid body. The uncertainty estimator developed herein reliably infers upper bounds of bias/variance in the predictions for a wide range of interpolation and extrapolation cases using a three-element FEM-NN model of a bar undergoing plastic deformation. This proposed framework offers a powerful tool for assessing the reliability of physics-based surrogate models by establishing uncertainty estimates for predictions spanning a wide range of possible load cases.
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spelling doaj.art-f3f38a3a5b414e5e8e7d68281ad9300b2023-10-23T08:50:05ZengCambridge University PressData-Centric Engineering2632-67362023-01-01410.1017/dce.2023.17Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approachGuy L. Bergel0https://orcid.org/0009-0006-7223-7631David Montes de Oca Zapiain1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7890-0859Vicente Romero2Sandia National Laboratories, Livermore, CA, USASandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, USASandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, USAThe finite element method (FEM) is widely used to simulate a variety of physics phenomena. Approaches that integrate FEM with neural networks (NNs) are typically leveraged as an alternative to conducting expensive FEM simulations in order to reduce the computational cost without significantly sacrificing accuracy. However, these methods can produce biased predictions that deviate from those obtained with FEM, since these hybrid FEM-NN approaches rely on approximations trained using physically relevant quantities. In this work, an uncertainty estimation framework is introduced that leverages ensembles of Bayesian neural networks to produce diverse sets of predictions using a hybrid FEM-NN approach that approximates internal forces on a deforming solid body. The uncertainty estimator developed herein reliably infers upper bounds of bias/variance in the predictions for a wide range of interpolation and extrapolation cases using a three-element FEM-NN model of a bar undergoing plastic deformation. This proposed framework offers a powerful tool for assessing the reliability of physics-based surrogate models by establishing uncertainty estimates for predictions spanning a wide range of possible load cases.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673623000175/type/journal_articleBayesian neural networksfinite element methodneural network ensemblessurrogate modelsuncertainty quantificationvariational Bayesian inference
spellingShingle Guy L. Bergel
David Montes de Oca Zapiain
Vicente Romero
Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach
Data-Centric Engineering
Bayesian neural networks
finite element method
neural network ensembles
surrogate models
uncertainty quantification
variational Bayesian inference
title Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach
title_full Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach
title_fullStr Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach
title_full_unstemmed Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach
title_short Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach
title_sort neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method neural network approach
topic Bayesian neural networks
finite element method
neural network ensembles
surrogate models
uncertainty quantification
variational Bayesian inference
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673623000175/type/journal_article
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