Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison Study

Cracks in a building can potentially result in financial and life losses. Thus, it is essential to predict when the crack growth is reaching a certain threshold, to prevent possible disaster. However, long-term prediction of the crack growth in newly built facilities or existing facilities with rece...

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Main Authors: Salahuddin Muhammad Iqbal, Jun-Ryeol Park, Kyu-Il Jung, Jun-Seoung Lee, Dae-Ki Kang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/20/10514
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author Salahuddin Muhammad Iqbal
Jun-Ryeol Park
Kyu-Il Jung
Jun-Seoung Lee
Dae-Ki Kang
author_facet Salahuddin Muhammad Iqbal
Jun-Ryeol Park
Kyu-Il Jung
Jun-Seoung Lee
Dae-Ki Kang
author_sort Salahuddin Muhammad Iqbal
collection DOAJ
description Cracks in a building can potentially result in financial and life losses. Thus, it is essential to predict when the crack growth is reaching a certain threshold, to prevent possible disaster. However, long-term prediction of the crack growth in newly built facilities or existing facilities with recently installed sensors is challenging because only the short-term crack sensor data are usually available in the aforementioned facilities. In contrast, we need to obtain equivalently long or longer crack sensor data to make an accurate long-term prediction. Against this background, this research aims to make a reasonable long-term estimation of crack growth within facilities that have crack sensor data with limited length. We show that deep recurrent neural networks such as LSTM suffer when the prediction’s interval is longer than the observed data points. We also observe a limitation of simple linear regression if there are abrupt changes in a dataset. We conclude that segmented nonlinear regression is suitable for this problem because of its advantage in splitting the data series into multiple segments, with the premise that there are sudden transitions in data.
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spelling doaj.art-f42543ea96db48adaf27f803892733d82023-11-23T22:45:51ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172022-10-0112201051410.3390/app122010514Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison StudySalahuddin Muhammad Iqbal0Jun-Ryeol Park1Kyu-Il Jung2Jun-Seoung Lee3Dae-Ki Kang4Department of Computer Engineering, Dongseo University, Busan 47011, KoreaBuzzni AI Lab., Seoul 08788, KoreaJCMEEK, Seoul 07591, KoreaInfranics Research Lab., Seoul 06640, KoreaDepartment of Computer Engineering, Dongseo University, Busan 47011, KoreaCracks in a building can potentially result in financial and life losses. Thus, it is essential to predict when the crack growth is reaching a certain threshold, to prevent possible disaster. However, long-term prediction of the crack growth in newly built facilities or existing facilities with recently installed sensors is challenging because only the short-term crack sensor data are usually available in the aforementioned facilities. In contrast, we need to obtain equivalently long or longer crack sensor data to make an accurate long-term prediction. Against this background, this research aims to make a reasonable long-term estimation of crack growth within facilities that have crack sensor data with limited length. We show that deep recurrent neural networks such as LSTM suffer when the prediction’s interval is longer than the observed data points. We also observe a limitation of simple linear regression if there are abrupt changes in a dataset. We conclude that segmented nonlinear regression is suitable for this problem because of its advantage in splitting the data series into multiple segments, with the premise that there are sudden transitions in data.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/20/10514deep recurrent neural networksLSTMSeq2Seq LSTMsegmented nonlinear regressionlong-term predictioncrack growth
spellingShingle Salahuddin Muhammad Iqbal
Jun-Ryeol Park
Kyu-Il Jung
Jun-Seoung Lee
Dae-Ki Kang
Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison Study
Applied Sciences
deep recurrent neural networks
LSTM
Seq2Seq LSTM
segmented nonlinear regression
long-term prediction
crack growth
title Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison Study
title_full Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison Study
title_fullStr Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison Study
title_full_unstemmed Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison Study
title_short Long-Term Prediction of Crack Growth Using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks and Nonlinear Regression: A Comparison Study
title_sort long term prediction of crack growth using deep recurrent neural networks and nonlinear regression a comparison study
topic deep recurrent neural networks
LSTM
Seq2Seq LSTM
segmented nonlinear regression
long-term prediction
crack growth
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/20/10514
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