Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification

Abstract Sustainable intensification, defined as increasing production per unit without harming the environment, has potential to transform agricultural systems. While questions persist about which practices and conditions lead to sustainable intensification, diversification has gained prominence as...

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Main Authors: Hannah Kamau, Shahrear Roman, Lisa Biber-Freudenberger
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-11-01
Series:Communications Earth & Environment
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01062-3
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author Hannah Kamau
Shahrear Roman
Lisa Biber-Freudenberger
author_facet Hannah Kamau
Shahrear Roman
Lisa Biber-Freudenberger
author_sort Hannah Kamau
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Sustainable intensification, defined as increasing production per unit without harming the environment, has potential to transform agricultural systems. While questions persist about which practices and conditions lead to sustainable intensification, diversification has gained prominence as a proposed solution. Here we apply niche modelling using maximum entropy modelling approach to predict the global spatial distribution of profitable diversified farming systems under different socio-economic conditions. We found about 47% of the world is suitable for profitable diversified systems with a larger area in the global North. When we combined our findings with knowledge about biophysical potential for cropland expansion and intensification, we found that different areas could benefit from diversification to achieve sustainable intensification through cropland expansion (e.g., Europe), intensification (e.g., sub-tropics and tropics), or both (e.g., West Africa). With these results, we provide insights in which way diversification can support sustainable intensification and contribute to the debate on land sharing vs sparing.
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spelling doaj.art-f4ccc6c491414102a5fb6d7d0f72aea52023-12-03T12:37:27ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352023-11-01411910.1038/s43247-023-01062-3Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensificationHannah Kamau0Shahrear Roman1Lisa Biber-Freudenberger2Center for Development Research (ZEF), University of BonnCenter for Development Research (ZEF), University of BonnCenter for Development Research (ZEF), University of BonnAbstract Sustainable intensification, defined as increasing production per unit without harming the environment, has potential to transform agricultural systems. While questions persist about which practices and conditions lead to sustainable intensification, diversification has gained prominence as a proposed solution. Here we apply niche modelling using maximum entropy modelling approach to predict the global spatial distribution of profitable diversified farming systems under different socio-economic conditions. We found about 47% of the world is suitable for profitable diversified systems with a larger area in the global North. When we combined our findings with knowledge about biophysical potential for cropland expansion and intensification, we found that different areas could benefit from diversification to achieve sustainable intensification through cropland expansion (e.g., Europe), intensification (e.g., sub-tropics and tropics), or both (e.g., West Africa). With these results, we provide insights in which way diversification can support sustainable intensification and contribute to the debate on land sharing vs sparing.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01062-3
spellingShingle Hannah Kamau
Shahrear Roman
Lisa Biber-Freudenberger
Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification
Communications Earth & Environment
title Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification
title_full Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification
title_fullStr Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification
title_full_unstemmed Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification
title_short Nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification
title_sort nearly half of the world is suitable for diversified farming for sustainable intensification
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01062-3
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