STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITY

In the intricate web of South Asia's security dynamics, India and Pakistan's relationship holds the key to equilibrium. Geographical proximity demands swift responses, prompting India's strategic shift towards Counterforce targeting. Official declarations and military posturing attes...

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Main Authors: Mubeen Ashraf, Syed Saif ul Haq
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National Defence University, Islamabad 2023-12-01
Series:Margalla Papers
Subjects:
Online Access:https://margallapapers.ndu.edu.pk/site/article/view/172
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author Mubeen Ashraf
Syed Saif ul Haq
author_facet Mubeen Ashraf
Syed Saif ul Haq
author_sort Mubeen Ashraf
collection DOAJ
description In the intricate web of South Asia's security dynamics, India and Pakistan's relationship holds the key to equilibrium. Geographical proximity demands swift responses, prompting India's strategic shift towards Counterforce targeting. Official declarations and military posturing attest to India's resolute commitment to recalibrate its deterrence doctrine. This study critically examines the origins of India's Counterforce targeting strategy, drawing from existing literature and employing theoretical frameworks, including posture optimization, escalation ladder, superiority-brinkmanship, mathematical game theory, rational choice theory, and nuclear deterrence. These models collectively contribute to understanding the implications of India's pursuit of nuclear superiority for coercive diplomacy with Pakistan. Beyond enriching the understanding of South Asia's security, this research unravels the interplay between evolving nuclear strategies, the fluid dynamics of deterrence, and nuanced geopolitical ambitions. By deciphering India's counterforce targeting approach, this study fosters a nuanced discourse on South Asian strategic stability, offering insight into the pivotal role of nuclear deterrence in shaping the region.   Bibliography Entry Ashraf, Mubeen and Syed Saif ul Haq. 2023. "Strategic Transformations: India's Pursuit of Counterforce Targeting and Regional Stability." Margalla Papers 27 (2): 14-26.
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spelling doaj.art-f4d16842b842401390ae275bfd1af3dc2023-12-31T12:46:05ZengNational Defence University, IslamabadMargalla Papers1999-22972789-70282023-12-01272STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITYMubeen Ashraf 0Syed Saif ul Haq1Global Foundation for Cyber Studies and Research, Washington DC, USA, and Visiting Lecturer.Quaid-i-Azam University Islamabad and Stimson Centre and UNODA. In the intricate web of South Asia's security dynamics, India and Pakistan's relationship holds the key to equilibrium. Geographical proximity demands swift responses, prompting India's strategic shift towards Counterforce targeting. Official declarations and military posturing attest to India's resolute commitment to recalibrate its deterrence doctrine. This study critically examines the origins of India's Counterforce targeting strategy, drawing from existing literature and employing theoretical frameworks, including posture optimization, escalation ladder, superiority-brinkmanship, mathematical game theory, rational choice theory, and nuclear deterrence. These models collectively contribute to understanding the implications of India's pursuit of nuclear superiority for coercive diplomacy with Pakistan. Beyond enriching the understanding of South Asia's security, this research unravels the interplay between evolving nuclear strategies, the fluid dynamics of deterrence, and nuanced geopolitical ambitions. By deciphering India's counterforce targeting approach, this study fosters a nuanced discourse on South Asian strategic stability, offering insight into the pivotal role of nuclear deterrence in shaping the region.   Bibliography Entry Ashraf, Mubeen and Syed Saif ul Haq. 2023. "Strategic Transformations: India's Pursuit of Counterforce Targeting and Regional Stability." Margalla Papers 27 (2): 14-26. https://margallapapers.ndu.edu.pk/site/article/view/172Nuclear DeterrenceCold War EraStrategic StabilityCounterforce TargetingCoercive DiplomacyCredible Minimum Deterrence
spellingShingle Mubeen Ashraf
Syed Saif ul Haq
STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITY
Margalla Papers
Nuclear Deterrence
Cold War Era
Strategic Stability
Counterforce Targeting
Coercive Diplomacy
Credible Minimum Deterrence
title STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITY
title_full STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITY
title_fullStr STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITY
title_full_unstemmed STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITY
title_short STRATEGIC TRANSFORMATIONS: INDIA'S PURSUIT OF COUNTERFORCE TARGETING AND REGIONAL STABILITY
title_sort strategic transformations india s pursuit of counterforce targeting and regional stability
topic Nuclear Deterrence
Cold War Era
Strategic Stability
Counterforce Targeting
Coercive Diplomacy
Credible Minimum Deterrence
url https://margallapapers.ndu.edu.pk/site/article/view/172
work_keys_str_mv AT mubeenashraf strategictransformationsindiaspursuitofcounterforcetargetingandregionalstability
AT syedsaifulhaq strategictransformationsindiaspursuitofcounterforcetargetingandregionalstability