EV-share development: speed vs interest to adopt
Abstract Transport is a notable source of greenhouse gas emissions. While the mobility habits of people have an effect on a large share of the emissions, the development of the car fleet also plays a major role. In this study, Finnish SALAMA-model is used to calculate nine different scenarios, exami...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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SpringerOpen
2024-02-01
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| Series: | European Transport Research Review |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-024-00637-1 |
| _version_ | 1797276093542039552 |
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| author | Riku Viri Johanna Mäkinen |
| author_facet | Riku Viri Johanna Mäkinen |
| author_sort | Riku Viri |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Transport is a notable source of greenhouse gas emissions. While the mobility habits of people have an effect on a large share of the emissions, the development of the car fleet also plays a major role. In this study, Finnish SALAMA-model is used to calculate nine different scenarios, examining how changes in both the car fleet turnover speed and interest towards electric vehicles (EVs) affect the amount of EVs and total emissions from the passenger cars in Finland up to the year 2040. With the baseline scenario (normal interest and car fleet turnover speed) 28% of cars in use would be EVs (total of PHEVs and BEVs) by 2030. In contrast, scenario with higher interest and faster turnover suggest that nearly half of all cars could be EVs. When focusing on CO2 emissions, only the scenario with the fastest turnover speed with high interest aligns with the Finnish targets for 2030. Thus, car fleet development is only a part of the emission reduction, and other measures are also needed. Based on the results, it should be noted that even though many current and past policies are often focused on increasing interest towards EVs, any solutions driving faster turnover of the car fleet would also significantly impact emission reduction. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-07T15:23:24Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-f50d065be30a4a898688c6c00c47457b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1866-8887 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-07T15:23:24Z |
| publishDate | 2024-02-01 |
| publisher | SpringerOpen |
| record_format | Article |
| series | European Transport Research Review |
| spelling | doaj.art-f50d065be30a4a898688c6c00c47457b2024-03-05T17:33:37ZengSpringerOpenEuropean Transport Research Review1866-88872024-02-011611710.1186/s12544-024-00637-1EV-share development: speed vs interest to adoptRiku Viri0Johanna Mäkinen1Transport Research Centre Verne, Tampere UniversityTransport Research Centre Verne, Tampere UniversityAbstract Transport is a notable source of greenhouse gas emissions. While the mobility habits of people have an effect on a large share of the emissions, the development of the car fleet also plays a major role. In this study, Finnish SALAMA-model is used to calculate nine different scenarios, examining how changes in both the car fleet turnover speed and interest towards electric vehicles (EVs) affect the amount of EVs and total emissions from the passenger cars in Finland up to the year 2040. With the baseline scenario (normal interest and car fleet turnover speed) 28% of cars in use would be EVs (total of PHEVs and BEVs) by 2030. In contrast, scenario with higher interest and faster turnover suggest that nearly half of all cars could be EVs. When focusing on CO2 emissions, only the scenario with the fastest turnover speed with high interest aligns with the Finnish targets for 2030. Thus, car fleet development is only a part of the emission reduction, and other measures are also needed. Based on the results, it should be noted that even though many current and past policies are often focused on increasing interest towards EVs, any solutions driving faster turnover of the car fleet would also significantly impact emission reduction.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-024-00637-1Car fleet developmentScenario modelEmissionsElectric vehiclesTurnover speed |
| spellingShingle | Riku Viri Johanna Mäkinen EV-share development: speed vs interest to adopt European Transport Research Review Car fleet development Scenario model Emissions Electric vehicles Turnover speed |
| title | EV-share development: speed vs interest to adopt |
| title_full | EV-share development: speed vs interest to adopt |
| title_fullStr | EV-share development: speed vs interest to adopt |
| title_full_unstemmed | EV-share development: speed vs interest to adopt |
| title_short | EV-share development: speed vs interest to adopt |
| title_sort | ev share development speed vs interest to adopt |
| topic | Car fleet development Scenario model Emissions Electric vehicles Turnover speed |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1186/s12544-024-00637-1 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT rikuviri evsharedevelopmentspeedvsinteresttoadopt AT johannamakinen evsharedevelopmentspeedvsinteresttoadopt |