Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian Plateau

Understanding the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology (GSP) to different climatic factors in arid and semi-arid regions is of great significance to deal with global climate change. The Mongolian Plateau is one of the largest plateaus located in arid and semi-arid re...

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Main Authors: Meiyu Wang, Jianjun Zhao, Hongyan Zhang, Zhengxiang Zhang, Xiaoyi Guo, Tingting Zhang, Rihan Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-09-01
Series:Ecological Indicators
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23005824
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author Meiyu Wang
Jianjun Zhao
Hongyan Zhang
Zhengxiang Zhang
Xiaoyi Guo
Tingting Zhang
Rihan Wu
author_facet Meiyu Wang
Jianjun Zhao
Hongyan Zhang
Zhengxiang Zhang
Xiaoyi Guo
Tingting Zhang
Rihan Wu
author_sort Meiyu Wang
collection DOAJ
description Understanding the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology (GSP) to different climatic factors in arid and semi-arid regions is of great significance to deal with global climate change. The Mongolian Plateau is one of the largest plateaus located in arid and semi-arid regions of eastern Asia, extremely sensitive to climate change. At present, the response characteristics and thresholds of the grassland spring phenology to climate factors in the Mongolian Plateau remain uncertain. Here, we used statistical analysis, random forest and geographical detector to explore these uncertainty. We found that 1) 76.67% of study area showed a significant advancing trend. GSP has significantly advanced by −0.656 days/decade (P < 0.05) over the past three decades. 2) The vapor pressure (VAP) shows a more important impact on the GSP than other climate factors both in strength and range. Especially when the VAP value was between 2 and 5 hPa, the GSP advanced as the VAP increased. The near-surface temperature minimum (TMN), near-surface temperature (TMP), near-surface temperature maximum (TMX) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) have the greatest impact on the GSP in June, and the six-month cumulative effects of precipitation (PRE), wet day frequency (WET) and cloud cover (CLD) are greater than those in a single month. The interaction between VAP and PRE could largely explain GSP changes (69.35%). 3) The GSP have different response threshold to climate factors. The GSP advances as the temperature increases when TMP < 0 °C, DTR < 14 °C, TMX > 10 °C and TMN > −5 °C, and it delays as the FRS, WET and CLD increase. This study is of great significance to reveal the impact characteristics and threshold of climate change on the GSP, which could do help in understanding climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-f5141e5daac84114a71a4ca74e94bbca2023-06-16T05:08:49ZengElsevierEcological Indicators1470-160X2023-09-01153110440Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian PlateauMeiyu Wang0Jianjun Zhao1Hongyan Zhang2Zhengxiang Zhang3Xiaoyi Guo4Tingting Zhang5Rihan Wu6Key Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Urban Remote Sensing Application Innovation Center, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Urban Remote Sensing Application Innovation Center, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Corresponding authors at: Key Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China.Key Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Urban Remote Sensing Application Innovation Center, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Corresponding authors at: Key Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China.Key Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Urban Remote Sensing Application Innovation Center, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Urban Remote Sensing Application Innovation Center, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Urban Remote Sensing Application Innovation Center, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaKey Laboratory of Geographical Processes and Ecological Security in Changbai Mountains, Ministry of Education, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China; Urban Remote Sensing Application Innovation Center, School of Geographical Sciences, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, ChinaUnderstanding the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology (GSP) to different climatic factors in arid and semi-arid regions is of great significance to deal with global climate change. The Mongolian Plateau is one of the largest plateaus located in arid and semi-arid regions of eastern Asia, extremely sensitive to climate change. At present, the response characteristics and thresholds of the grassland spring phenology to climate factors in the Mongolian Plateau remain uncertain. Here, we used statistical analysis, random forest and geographical detector to explore these uncertainty. We found that 1) 76.67% of study area showed a significant advancing trend. GSP has significantly advanced by −0.656 days/decade (P < 0.05) over the past three decades. 2) The vapor pressure (VAP) shows a more important impact on the GSP than other climate factors both in strength and range. Especially when the VAP value was between 2 and 5 hPa, the GSP advanced as the VAP increased. The near-surface temperature minimum (TMN), near-surface temperature (TMP), near-surface temperature maximum (TMX) and diurnal temperature range (DTR) have the greatest impact on the GSP in June, and the six-month cumulative effects of precipitation (PRE), wet day frequency (WET) and cloud cover (CLD) are greater than those in a single month. The interaction between VAP and PRE could largely explain GSP changes (69.35%). 3) The GSP have different response threshold to climate factors. The GSP advances as the temperature increases when TMP < 0 °C, DTR < 14 °C, TMX > 10 °C and TMN > −5 °C, and it delays as the FRS, WET and CLD increase. This study is of great significance to reveal the impact characteristics and threshold of climate change on the GSP, which could do help in understanding climate change.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23005824Remote sensingGrassland spring phenologyClimate changeMongolian Plateau
spellingShingle Meiyu Wang
Jianjun Zhao
Hongyan Zhang
Zhengxiang Zhang
Xiaoyi Guo
Tingting Zhang
Rihan Wu
Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian Plateau
Ecological Indicators
Remote sensing
Grassland spring phenology
Climate change
Mongolian Plateau
title Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian Plateau
title_full Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian Plateau
title_fullStr Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian Plateau
title_full_unstemmed Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian Plateau
title_short Detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the Mongolian Plateau
title_sort detecting the response characteristics and thresholds of grassland spring phenology to climatic factors in the mongolian plateau
topic Remote sensing
Grassland spring phenology
Climate change
Mongolian Plateau
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X23005824
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