Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin

Abstract Background Mid-Regional pro-Adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) is an inflammatory biomarker that improves the prognostic assessment of patients with sepsis, septic shock and organ failure. Previous studies of MR-proADM have primarily focussed on bacterial infections. A limited number of small and m...

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Main Authors: Emanuela Sozio, Nathan A. Moore, Martina Fabris, Andrea Ripoli, Francesca Rumbolo, Marilena Minieri, Riccardo Boverio, María Dolores Rodríguez Mulero, Sara Lainez-Martinez, Mónica Martínez Martínez, Dolores Calvo, Claudia Gregoriano, Rebecca Williams, Luca Brazzi, Alessandro Terrinoni, Tiziana Callegari, Marta Hernández Olivo, Patricia Esteban-Torrella, Ismael Calcerrada, Luca Bernasconi, Stephen P. Kidd, Francesco Sbrana, Iria Miguens, Kirsty Gordon, Daniela Visentini, Jacopo M. Legramante, Flavio Bassi, Nicholas Cortes, Giorgia Montrucchio, Vito N. Di Lecce, Ernesto C. Lauritano, Luis García de Guadiana-Romualdo, Juan González del Castillo, Enrique Bernal-Morell, David Andaluz-Ojeda, Philipp Schuetz, Francesco Curcio, Carlo Tascini, Kordo Saeed
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-08-01
Series:Respiratory Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12931-022-02151-1
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author Emanuela Sozio
Nathan A. Moore
Martina Fabris
Andrea Ripoli
Francesca Rumbolo
Marilena Minieri
Riccardo Boverio
María Dolores Rodríguez Mulero
Sara Lainez-Martinez
Mónica Martínez Martínez
Dolores Calvo
Claudia Gregoriano
Rebecca Williams
Luca Brazzi
Alessandro Terrinoni
Tiziana Callegari
Marta Hernández Olivo
Patricia Esteban-Torrella
Ismael Calcerrada
Luca Bernasconi
Stephen P. Kidd
Francesco Sbrana
Iria Miguens
Kirsty Gordon
Daniela Visentini
Jacopo M. Legramante
Flavio Bassi
Nicholas Cortes
Giorgia Montrucchio
Vito N. Di Lecce
Ernesto C. Lauritano
Luis García de Guadiana-Romualdo
Juan González del Castillo
Enrique Bernal-Morell
David Andaluz-Ojeda
Philipp Schuetz
Francesco Curcio
Carlo Tascini
Kordo Saeed
author_facet Emanuela Sozio
Nathan A. Moore
Martina Fabris
Andrea Ripoli
Francesca Rumbolo
Marilena Minieri
Riccardo Boverio
María Dolores Rodríguez Mulero
Sara Lainez-Martinez
Mónica Martínez Martínez
Dolores Calvo
Claudia Gregoriano
Rebecca Williams
Luca Brazzi
Alessandro Terrinoni
Tiziana Callegari
Marta Hernández Olivo
Patricia Esteban-Torrella
Ismael Calcerrada
Luca Bernasconi
Stephen P. Kidd
Francesco Sbrana
Iria Miguens
Kirsty Gordon
Daniela Visentini
Jacopo M. Legramante
Flavio Bassi
Nicholas Cortes
Giorgia Montrucchio
Vito N. Di Lecce
Ernesto C. Lauritano
Luis García de Guadiana-Romualdo
Juan González del Castillo
Enrique Bernal-Morell
David Andaluz-Ojeda
Philipp Schuetz
Francesco Curcio
Carlo Tascini
Kordo Saeed
author_sort Emanuela Sozio
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Mid-Regional pro-Adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) is an inflammatory biomarker that improves the prognostic assessment of patients with sepsis, septic shock and organ failure. Previous studies of MR-proADM have primarily focussed on bacterial infections. A limited number of small and monocentric studies have examined MR-proADM as a prognostic factor in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2, however there is need for multicenter validation. An evaluation of its utility in predicting need for hospitalisation in viral infections was also performed. Methods An observational retrospective analysis of 1861 patients, with SARS-CoV-2 confirmed by RT-qPCR, from 10 hospitals across Europe was performed. Biomarkers, taken upon presentation to Emergency Departments (ED), clinical scores, patient demographics and outcomes were collected. Multiclass random forest classifier models were generated as well as calculation of area under the curve analysis. The primary endpoint was hospital admission with and without death. Results Patients suitable for safe discharge from Emergency Departments could be identified through an MR-proADM value of ≤ 1.02 nmol/L in combination with a CRP (C-Reactive Protein) of ≤ 20.2 mg/L and age ≤ 64, or in combination with a SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) score < 2 if MR-proADM was ≤ 0.83 nmol/L regardless of age. Those at an increased risk of mortality could be identified upon presentation to secondary care with an MR-proADM value of > 0.85 nmol/L, in combination with a SOFA score ≥ 2 and LDH > 720 U/L, or in combination with a CRP > 29.26 mg/L and age ≤ 64, when MR-proADM was > 1.02 nmol/L. Conclusions This international study suggests that for patients presenting to the ED with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, MR-proADM in combination with age and CRP or with the patient’s SOFA score could identify patients at low risk where outpatient treatment may be safe.
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spelling doaj.art-f5832d2b581a4a169f76c74dbc7a44992022-12-22T04:18:52ZengBMCRespiratory Research1465-993X2022-08-0123111210.1186/s12931-022-02151-1Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullinEmanuela Sozio0Nathan A. Moore1Martina Fabris2Andrea Ripoli3Francesca Rumbolo4Marilena Minieri5Riccardo Boverio6María Dolores Rodríguez Mulero7Sara Lainez-Martinez8Mónica Martínez Martínez9Dolores Calvo10Claudia Gregoriano11Rebecca Williams12Luca Brazzi13Alessandro Terrinoni14Tiziana Callegari15Marta Hernández Olivo16Patricia Esteban-Torrella17Ismael Calcerrada18Luca Bernasconi19Stephen P. Kidd20Francesco Sbrana21Iria Miguens22Kirsty Gordon23Daniela Visentini24Jacopo M. Legramante25Flavio Bassi26Nicholas Cortes27Giorgia Montrucchio28Vito N. Di Lecce29Ernesto C. Lauritano30Luis García de Guadiana-Romualdo31Juan González del Castillo32Enrique Bernal-Morell33David Andaluz-Ojeda34Philipp Schuetz35Francesco Curcio36Carlo Tascini37Kordo Saeed38Infectious Disease Unit, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Integrata di Udine (ASU FC)Department of Microbiology, Basingstoke and North Hampshire Hospital, Hampshire Hospitals NHS Foundation TrustInstitute of Clinical Pathology, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Integrata di Udine (ASU FC)Fondazione Toscana “Gabriele Monasterio”Clinical Biochemistry Laboratory, Città Della Salute e della Scienza Hospital, University of TurinDepartment of Experimental Medicine, University of Rome Tor VergataEmergency Medicine, Azienda Ospedaliera Nazionale Santi Antonio e Biagio e Cesare ArrigoCritical Care Unit, Hospital Universitario Santa LucíaEmergency Department, Hospital Clínico San Carlos, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria San CarlosInfectious Disease Unit, Hospital Universitario Reina SofíaLaboratory Medicine Department, Hospital Clínico UniversitarioMedical University Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital AarauDepartment of Microbiology, Basingstoke and North Hampshire Hospital, Hampshire Hospitals NHS Foundation TrustDepartment of Surgical Sciences, University of TurinDepartment of Experimental Medicine, University of Rome Tor VergataClinical Pathology Laboratory, Azienda Ospedaliera Nazionale Santi Antonio e Biagio e Cesare ArrigoPneumology Department, Hospital Universitario Santa LucíaLaboratory Medicine Department, Hospital Universitario Reina SofíaPrimary Care Medina del Campo Urbano AreaInstitute of Laboratory Medicine, Cantonal Hospital AarauDepartment of Microbiology, Basingstoke and North Hampshire Hospital, Hampshire Hospitals NHS Foundation TrustFondazione Toscana “Gabriele Monasterio”Emergency Service, University Hospital Gregorio Marañón and “Gregorio Marañón” Health Research Institute (IISGM)Department of Biochemistry, Basingstoke and North Hampshire Hospital, Hampshire Hospitals NHS Foundation TrustInstitute of Clinical Pathology, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Integrata di Udine (ASU FC)Department of Systems Medicine, University of Rome Tor VergataDepartment of Anesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Integrata di Udine (ASU FC)Department of Microbiology, Basingstoke and North Hampshire Hospital, Hampshire Hospitals NHS Foundation TrustDepartment of Surgical Sciences, University of TurinEmergency Department, Tor Vergata University HospitalEmergency Medicine, Azienda Ospedaliera Nazionale Santi Antonio e Biagio e Cesare ArrigoLaboratory Medicine Department, Hospital Universitario Santa LucíaEmergency Department, Hospital Clínico San Carlos, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria San CarlosInfectious Disease Unit, Hospital Universitario Reina SofíaDepartment of Intensive Care, Hospital Universitario HM SanchinarroMedical University Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital AarauInstitute of Clinical Pathology, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Integrata di Udine (ASU FC)Infectious Disease Unit, Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Integrata di Udine (ASU FC)Faculty of Medicine, University of SouthamptonAbstract Background Mid-Regional pro-Adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) is an inflammatory biomarker that improves the prognostic assessment of patients with sepsis, septic shock and organ failure. Previous studies of MR-proADM have primarily focussed on bacterial infections. A limited number of small and monocentric studies have examined MR-proADM as a prognostic factor in patients infected with SARS-CoV-2, however there is need for multicenter validation. An evaluation of its utility in predicting need for hospitalisation in viral infections was also performed. Methods An observational retrospective analysis of 1861 patients, with SARS-CoV-2 confirmed by RT-qPCR, from 10 hospitals across Europe was performed. Biomarkers, taken upon presentation to Emergency Departments (ED), clinical scores, patient demographics and outcomes were collected. Multiclass random forest classifier models were generated as well as calculation of area under the curve analysis. The primary endpoint was hospital admission with and without death. Results Patients suitable for safe discharge from Emergency Departments could be identified through an MR-proADM value of ≤ 1.02 nmol/L in combination with a CRP (C-Reactive Protein) of ≤ 20.2 mg/L and age ≤ 64, or in combination with a SOFA (Sequential Organ Failure Assessment) score < 2 if MR-proADM was ≤ 0.83 nmol/L regardless of age. Those at an increased risk of mortality could be identified upon presentation to secondary care with an MR-proADM value of > 0.85 nmol/L, in combination with a SOFA score ≥ 2 and LDH > 720 U/L, or in combination with a CRP > 29.26 mg/L and age ≤ 64, when MR-proADM was > 1.02 nmol/L. Conclusions This international study suggests that for patients presenting to the ED with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, MR-proADM in combination with age and CRP or with the patient’s SOFA score could identify patients at low risk where outpatient treatment may be safe.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12931-022-02151-1MR-proADMSARS-CoV-2MortalityHospital admissionEmergency department
spellingShingle Emanuela Sozio
Nathan A. Moore
Martina Fabris
Andrea Ripoli
Francesca Rumbolo
Marilena Minieri
Riccardo Boverio
María Dolores Rodríguez Mulero
Sara Lainez-Martinez
Mónica Martínez Martínez
Dolores Calvo
Claudia Gregoriano
Rebecca Williams
Luca Brazzi
Alessandro Terrinoni
Tiziana Callegari
Marta Hernández Olivo
Patricia Esteban-Torrella
Ismael Calcerrada
Luca Bernasconi
Stephen P. Kidd
Francesco Sbrana
Iria Miguens
Kirsty Gordon
Daniela Visentini
Jacopo M. Legramante
Flavio Bassi
Nicholas Cortes
Giorgia Montrucchio
Vito N. Di Lecce
Ernesto C. Lauritano
Luis García de Guadiana-Romualdo
Juan González del Castillo
Enrique Bernal-Morell
David Andaluz-Ojeda
Philipp Schuetz
Francesco Curcio
Carlo Tascini
Kordo Saeed
Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin
Respiratory Research
MR-proADM
SARS-CoV-2
Mortality
Hospital admission
Emergency department
title Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin
title_full Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin
title_fullStr Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin
title_full_unstemmed Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin
title_short Identification of COVID-19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality: a European multicentre retrospective analysis of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin
title_sort identification of covid 19 patients at risk of hospital admission and mortality a european multicentre retrospective analysis of mid regional pro adrenomedullin
topic MR-proADM
SARS-CoV-2
Mortality
Hospital admission
Emergency department
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12931-022-02151-1
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