Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) Method

As a common geological hazard, land subsidence is widely distributed in the Eastern Beijing Plain. The pattern of evolution of this geological phenomenon is controlled by many factors, including groundwater level change in different aquifers, compressible layers of different thicknesses, and static...

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Main Authors: Fengkai Li, Huili Gong, Beibei Chen, Chaofan Zhou, Lin Guo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-09-01
Series:Remote Sensing
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/18/2963
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author Fengkai Li
Huili Gong
Beibei Chen
Chaofan Zhou
Lin Guo
author_facet Fengkai Li
Huili Gong
Beibei Chen
Chaofan Zhou
Lin Guo
author_sort Fengkai Li
collection DOAJ
description As a common geological hazard, land subsidence is widely distributed in the Eastern Beijing Plain. The pattern of evolution of this geological phenomenon is controlled by many factors, including groundwater level change in different aquifers, compressible layers of different thicknesses, and static and dynamic loads. First, based on the small baseline subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique, we employed 47 ENVISAT ASAR images and 48 RADARSAT-2 images to acquire the ground deformation of the Beijing Plain from June 2003 to November 2015 and then validated the results using leveling benchmark monitoring. Second, we innovatively calculated additional stress to obtain static and dynamic load information. Finally, we evaluated the contribution rate of the influencing factors to land subsidence by using the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (SRCC) and extremely randomized trees (ERT) machine learning methods. The SBAS-InSAR outcomes revealed that the maximum deformation rate was 110.7 mm/year from 2003 to 2010 and 144.4 mm/year from 2010 to 2015. The SBAS-InSAR results agreed well with the leveling benchmark monitoring results; the correlation coefficients were 0.97 and 0.96 during the 2003–2010 and 2013–2015 periods, respectively. The contribution rate of the second confined aquifer to the cumulative land subsidence was 49.3% from 2003 to 2010, accounting for the largest proportion; however, its contribution rate decreased to 23.4% from 2010 to 2015. The contribution rate of the third confined aquifer to the cumulative land subsidence increased from 2003 to 2015. Although the contribution of additional stress engendered from static and dynamic loads to the cumulative land subsidence was slight, it had a significant effect on the uneven land subsidence, with a contribution rate of 33.8% from 2003 to 2010 and 23.1% from 2010 to 2015. These findings provide scientific support for mitigating hazards associated with land subsidence.
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spelling doaj.art-f59535518e79401b8a24ce1d35ff144a2023-11-20T13:27:23ZengMDPI AGRemote Sensing2072-42922020-09-011218296310.3390/rs12182963Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) MethodFengkai Li0Huili Gong1Beibei Chen2Chaofan Zhou3Lin Guo4Key Laboratory of the Ministry of Education Land Subsidence Mechanism and Prevention, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, ChinaKey Laboratory of the Ministry of Education Land Subsidence Mechanism and Prevention, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, ChinaKey Laboratory of the Ministry of Education Land Subsidence Mechanism and Prevention, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, ChinaKey Laboratory of the Ministry of Education Land Subsidence Mechanism and Prevention, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, ChinaKey Laboratory of the Ministry of Education Land Subsidence Mechanism and Prevention, Capital Normal University, Beijing 100048, ChinaAs a common geological hazard, land subsidence is widely distributed in the Eastern Beijing Plain. The pattern of evolution of this geological phenomenon is controlled by many factors, including groundwater level change in different aquifers, compressible layers of different thicknesses, and static and dynamic loads. First, based on the small baseline subset Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technique, we employed 47 ENVISAT ASAR images and 48 RADARSAT-2 images to acquire the ground deformation of the Beijing Plain from June 2003 to November 2015 and then validated the results using leveling benchmark monitoring. Second, we innovatively calculated additional stress to obtain static and dynamic load information. Finally, we evaluated the contribution rate of the influencing factors to land subsidence by using the Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (SRCC) and extremely randomized trees (ERT) machine learning methods. The SBAS-InSAR outcomes revealed that the maximum deformation rate was 110.7 mm/year from 2003 to 2010 and 144.4 mm/year from 2010 to 2015. The SBAS-InSAR results agreed well with the leveling benchmark monitoring results; the correlation coefficients were 0.97 and 0.96 during the 2003–2010 and 2013–2015 periods, respectively. The contribution rate of the second confined aquifer to the cumulative land subsidence was 49.3% from 2003 to 2010, accounting for the largest proportion; however, its contribution rate decreased to 23.4% from 2010 to 2015. The contribution rate of the third confined aquifer to the cumulative land subsidence increased from 2003 to 2015. Although the contribution of additional stress engendered from static and dynamic loads to the cumulative land subsidence was slight, it had a significant effect on the uneven land subsidence, with a contribution rate of 33.8% from 2003 to 2010 and 23.1% from 2010 to 2015. These findings provide scientific support for mitigating hazards associated with land subsidence.https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/18/2963land subsidenceSpearman’s rank correlation coefficient (SRCC) methodextremely randomized trees (ERT) methodcontribution rate
spellingShingle Fengkai Li
Huili Gong
Beibei Chen
Chaofan Zhou
Lin Guo
Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) Method
Remote Sensing
land subsidence
Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (SRCC) method
extremely randomized trees (ERT) method
contribution rate
title Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) Method
title_full Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) Method
title_fullStr Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) Method
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) Method
title_short Analysis of the Contribution Rate of the Influencing Factors to Land Subsidence in the Eastern Beijing Plain, China Based on Extremely Randomized Trees (ERT) Method
title_sort analysis of the contribution rate of the influencing factors to land subsidence in the eastern beijing plain china based on extremely randomized trees ert method
topic land subsidence
Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient (SRCC) method
extremely randomized trees (ERT) method
contribution rate
url https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/12/18/2963
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