The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program

This paper proposes the usage of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the Demand Response program. In contrast with other related studies, this research recognizes both randomness and fuzziness in appliance usage. Moreover, the input...

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Main Author: Piotr Kapler
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Polish Academy of Sciences 2023-06-01
Series:Bulletin of the Polish Academy of Sciences: Technical Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.pan.pl/Content/127435/PDF/BPASTS_2023_71_4_3372.pdf
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author Piotr Kapler
author_facet Piotr Kapler
author_sort Piotr Kapler
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes the usage of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the Demand Response program. In contrast with other related studies, this research recognizes both randomness and fuzziness in appliance usage. Moreover, the input data for usage prediction consists of nodal price values (which represent the actual power system conditions), appliance operation time, and time of day. The case study of residential power consumer behavior modeling was implemented to show the functionality of the proposed methodology. The results of applying the suggested algorithm are presented as colored 3D control surfaces. In addition, the performance of the model was verified using R squared coefficient and root mean square error. The conducted studies show that the proposed approach can be used to predict when the selected appliances can be used under specific circumstances. Research of this type may be useful for evaluation of the demand response programs and support residential load forecasting.
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spelling doaj.art-f606586f11e2414cba4a82ae3eaa9a122023-08-28T09:03:09ZengPolish Academy of SciencesBulletin of the Polish Academy of Sciences: Technical Sciences2300-19172023-06-01714https://doi.org/10.24425/bpasts.2023.146106The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response programPiotr Kapler0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7592-2796Warsaw University of Technology, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Electrical Power Engineering Institute, Koszykowa 75, 00-662 Warsaw, PolandThis paper proposes the usage of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the Demand Response program. In contrast with other related studies, this research recognizes both randomness and fuzziness in appliance usage. Moreover, the input data for usage prediction consists of nodal price values (which represent the actual power system conditions), appliance operation time, and time of day. The case study of residential power consumer behavior modeling was implemented to show the functionality of the proposed methodology. The results of applying the suggested algorithm are presented as colored 3D control surfaces. In addition, the performance of the model was verified using R squared coefficient and root mean square error. The conducted studies show that the proposed approach can be used to predict when the selected appliances can be used under specific circumstances. Research of this type may be useful for evaluation of the demand response programs and support residential load forecasting.https://journals.pan.pl/Content/127435/PDF/BPASTS_2023_71_4_3372.pdfdemand responseresidential power consumersuncertaintyfuzzy rule-based bayesian
spellingShingle Piotr Kapler
The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program
Bulletin of the Polish Academy of Sciences: Technical Sciences
demand response
residential power consumers
uncertainty
fuzzy rule-based bayesian
title The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program
title_full The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program
title_fullStr The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program
title_full_unstemmed The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program
title_short The application of the fuzzy rule-based Bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program
title_sort application of the fuzzy rule based bayesian algorithm to determine which residential appliances can be considered for the demand response program
topic demand response
residential power consumers
uncertainty
fuzzy rule-based bayesian
url https://journals.pan.pl/Content/127435/PDF/BPASTS_2023_71_4_3372.pdf
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