A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction Calibration

Wildfires are complex natural events that cause significant environmental and property damage, as well as human losses, every year throughout the world. In order to aid in their management and mitigate their impact, efforts have been directed towards developing decision support systems that can pred...

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Main Authors: Jorge Pereira, Jérôme Mendes, Jorge S. S. Júnior, Carlos Viegas, João Ruivo Paulo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-01-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/3/300
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author Jorge Pereira
Jérôme Mendes
Jorge S. S. Júnior
Carlos Viegas
João Ruivo Paulo
author_facet Jorge Pereira
Jérôme Mendes
Jorge S. S. Júnior
Carlos Viegas
João Ruivo Paulo
author_sort Jorge Pereira
collection DOAJ
description Wildfires are complex natural events that cause significant environmental and property damage, as well as human losses, every year throughout the world. In order to aid in their management and mitigate their impact, efforts have been directed towards developing decision support systems that can predict wildfire propagation. Most of the available tools for wildfire spread prediction are based on the Rothermel model that, apart from being relatively complex and computing demanding, depends on several input parameters concerning the local fuels, wind or topography, which are difficult to obtain with a minimum resolution and degree of accuracy. These factors are leading causes for the deviations between the predicted fire propagation and the real fire propagation. In this sense, this paper conducts a literature review on optimization methodologies for wildfire spread prediction based on the use of evolutionary algorithms for input parameter set calibration. In the present literature review, it was observed that the current literature on wildfire spread prediction calibration is mostly focused on methodologies based on genetic algorithms (GAs). Inline with this trend, this paper presents an application of genetic algorithms for the calibration of a set of the Rothermel model’s input parameters, namely: surface-area-to-volume ratio, fuel bed depth, fuel moisture, and midflame wind speed. The GA was validated on 37 real datasets obtained through experimental prescribed fires in controlled conditions.
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spelling doaj.art-f6425431791b402985e604e42a88b0422023-11-23T17:05:18ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902022-01-0110330010.3390/math10030300A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction CalibrationJorge Pereira0Jérôme Mendes1Jorge S. S. Júnior2Carlos Viegas3João Ruivo Paulo4Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Institute of Systems and Robotics, University of Coimbra, Pólo II, 3030-290 Coimbra, PortugalDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Institute of Systems and Robotics, University of Coimbra, Pólo II, 3030-290 Coimbra, PortugalDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Institute of Systems and Robotics, University of Coimbra, Pólo II, 3030-290 Coimbra, PortugalAssociation for the Development of Industrial Aerodynamics, University of Coimbra, 3030-289 Coimbra, PortugalDepartment of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Institute of Systems and Robotics, University of Coimbra, Pólo II, 3030-290 Coimbra, PortugalWildfires are complex natural events that cause significant environmental and property damage, as well as human losses, every year throughout the world. In order to aid in their management and mitigate their impact, efforts have been directed towards developing decision support systems that can predict wildfire propagation. Most of the available tools for wildfire spread prediction are based on the Rothermel model that, apart from being relatively complex and computing demanding, depends on several input parameters concerning the local fuels, wind or topography, which are difficult to obtain with a minimum resolution and degree of accuracy. These factors are leading causes for the deviations between the predicted fire propagation and the real fire propagation. In this sense, this paper conducts a literature review on optimization methodologies for wildfire spread prediction based on the use of evolutionary algorithms for input parameter set calibration. In the present literature review, it was observed that the current literature on wildfire spread prediction calibration is mostly focused on methodologies based on genetic algorithms (GAs). Inline with this trend, this paper presents an application of genetic algorithms for the calibration of a set of the Rothermel model’s input parameters, namely: surface-area-to-volume ratio, fuel bed depth, fuel moisture, and midflame wind speed. The GA was validated on 37 real datasets obtained through experimental prescribed fires in controlled conditions.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/3/300wildfirewildfire spread predictioncalibrationgenetic algorithmevolutionary algorithms
spellingShingle Jorge Pereira
Jérôme Mendes
Jorge S. S. Júnior
Carlos Viegas
João Ruivo Paulo
A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction Calibration
Mathematics
wildfire
wildfire spread prediction
calibration
genetic algorithm
evolutionary algorithms
title A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction Calibration
title_full A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction Calibration
title_fullStr A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction Calibration
title_full_unstemmed A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction Calibration
title_short A Review of Genetic Algorithm Approaches for Wildfire Spread Prediction Calibration
title_sort review of genetic algorithm approaches for wildfire spread prediction calibration
topic wildfire
wildfire spread prediction
calibration
genetic algorithm
evolutionary algorithms
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/10/3/300
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