Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.

The multilevel and poststratification approach is commonly used to draw valid inference from (non-probabilistic) surveys. This Bayesian approach includes varying regression coefficients for which prior distributions of their variance parameter must be specified. The choice of the distribution is fa...

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Main Authors: Christian Bruch, Barbara Felderer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Austrian Statistical Society 2022-08-01
Series:Austrian Journal of Statistics
Online Access:https://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/1361
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author Christian Bruch
Barbara Felderer
author_facet Christian Bruch
Barbara Felderer
author_sort Christian Bruch
collection DOAJ
description The multilevel and poststratification approach is commonly used to draw valid inference from (non-probabilistic) surveys. This Bayesian approach includes varying regression coefficients for which prior distributions of their variance parameter must be specified. The choice of the distribution is far from being trivial and many contradicting recommendations exist in the literature. The prior choice may be even more challenging when data results from a highly selective inclusion mechanism, such as applied by volunteer panels. We conduct a Monte Carlo simulation study to evaluate the effect of different distribution choices on bias in the estimation of a proportion based on a sample that is subject to a highly selective inclusion mechanism.
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spelling doaj.art-f662dd0a11d44717b4189b88199edfad2022-12-22T04:19:09ZengAustrian Statistical SocietyAustrian Journal of Statistics1026-597X2022-08-0151410.17713/ajs.v51i4.1361Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.Christian Bruch0Barbara Felderer1GESIS Leibniz Institute for the Social SciencesGESIS Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences The multilevel and poststratification approach is commonly used to draw valid inference from (non-probabilistic) surveys. This Bayesian approach includes varying regression coefficients for which prior distributions of their variance parameter must be specified. The choice of the distribution is far from being trivial and many contradicting recommendations exist in the literature. The prior choice may be even more challenging when data results from a highly selective inclusion mechanism, such as applied by volunteer panels. We conduct a Monte Carlo simulation study to evaluate the effect of different distribution choices on bias in the estimation of a proportion based on a sample that is subject to a highly selective inclusion mechanism. https://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/1361
spellingShingle Christian Bruch
Barbara Felderer
Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.
Austrian Journal of Statistics
title Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.
title_full Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.
title_fullStr Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.
title_full_unstemmed Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.
title_short Prior Choice for the Variance Parameter in the Multilevel Regression and Poststratification Approach for Highly Selective Data. A Monte Carlo Simulation Study.
title_sort prior choice for the variance parameter in the multilevel regression and poststratification approach for highly selective data a monte carlo simulation study
url https://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/1361
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AT barbarafelderer priorchoiceforthevarianceparameterinthemultilevelregressionandpoststratificationapproachforhighlyselectivedataamontecarlosimulationstudy