Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic review

Introduction: Currently, the Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT), also known as the Gail model (GM) has been widely recognized and adapted for to study disparity in racial and ethnic groups in America including Asian and Pacific Islander American females. However, its applicability outside Am...

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Main Authors: Solikhah Solikhah, Sitti Nurdjannah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-04-01
Series:Heliyon
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844020306393
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author Solikhah Solikhah
Sitti Nurdjannah
author_facet Solikhah Solikhah
Sitti Nurdjannah
author_sort Solikhah Solikhah
collection DOAJ
description Introduction: Currently, the Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT), also known as the Gail model (GM) has been widely recognized and adapted for to study disparity in racial and ethnic groups in America including Asian and Pacific Islander American females. However, its applicability outside America remains uncertain due to diversity in epidemiology and risk factors of breast cancer in populations especially in Asian females. We sought to evaluate the performance of the GM to predict breast cancer risk in Asian countries. Material and methods: This study identified articles published from 2010 by searching PubMed, MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar and gray literature. The initial search terms were breast cancer, mammary, carcinoma, tumor, neoplasm, risk assessment tool, BCRAT, breast cancer prediction, Gail model, Asia, and Asian. Results: The search yielded 20 articles, with 7 articles addressing the AUC and/or the expected (E) to observed (O) ratio of predicted breast cancer risk, representing the accuracy of the GM in the Asian population. One publication reported the sensitivity and specificity but no AUC. None of the studies were accepted as the standard for reporting prognostic models. Several studies reported good prognostic testing and likely developed a new model modifying the items in the instrument. Conclusion: The results are not strong enough to develop breast cancer risk in the setting of Asian countries. Involving the breast cancer risk of the Asian population in developing a prognostic model with good statistical understanding is particularly important and can reduce flawed or biased models. Identifying the best methods to achieve well-suited prognostic models in the Asian population should be a priority.
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spelling doaj.art-f6dd132423f042e0981b69601c2d1f082022-12-21T17:50:41ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402020-04-0164e03794Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic reviewSolikhah Solikhah0Sitti Nurdjannah1Faculty of Public Health, Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta, 55166, Indonesia; Dynamic Social Study Center, Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta, 55166, Indonesia; Corresponding author.Faculty of Public Health, Universitas Ahmad Dahlan, Yogyakarta, 55166, IndonesiaIntroduction: Currently, the Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool (BCRAT), also known as the Gail model (GM) has been widely recognized and adapted for to study disparity in racial and ethnic groups in America including Asian and Pacific Islander American females. However, its applicability outside America remains uncertain due to diversity in epidemiology and risk factors of breast cancer in populations especially in Asian females. We sought to evaluate the performance of the GM to predict breast cancer risk in Asian countries. Material and methods: This study identified articles published from 2010 by searching PubMed, MEDLINE, Scopus, Web of Science, Google Scholar and gray literature. The initial search terms were breast cancer, mammary, carcinoma, tumor, neoplasm, risk assessment tool, BCRAT, breast cancer prediction, Gail model, Asia, and Asian. Results: The search yielded 20 articles, with 7 articles addressing the AUC and/or the expected (E) to observed (O) ratio of predicted breast cancer risk, representing the accuracy of the GM in the Asian population. One publication reported the sensitivity and specificity but no AUC. None of the studies were accepted as the standard for reporting prognostic models. Several studies reported good prognostic testing and likely developed a new model modifying the items in the instrument. Conclusion: The results are not strong enough to develop breast cancer risk in the setting of Asian countries. Involving the breast cancer risk of the Asian population in developing a prognostic model with good statistical understanding is particularly important and can reduce flawed or biased models. Identifying the best methods to achieve well-suited prognostic models in the Asian population should be a priority.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844020306393Cancer researchHealth sciencesPublic healthEpidemiologyWomen's healthBreast cancer risk
spellingShingle Solikhah Solikhah
Sitti Nurdjannah
Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic review
Heliyon
Cancer research
Health sciences
Public health
Epidemiology
Women's health
Breast cancer risk
title Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic review
title_full Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic review
title_fullStr Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic review
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic review
title_short Assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the Gail model in Asian females: A systematic review
title_sort assessment of the risk of developing breast cancer using the gail model in asian females a systematic review
topic Cancer research
Health sciences
Public health
Epidemiology
Women's health
Breast cancer risk
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844020306393
work_keys_str_mv AT solikhahsolikhah assessmentoftheriskofdevelopingbreastcancerusingthegailmodelinasianfemalesasystematicreview
AT sittinurdjannah assessmentoftheriskofdevelopingbreastcancerusingthegailmodelinasianfemalesasystematicreview