The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form

One of the main purposes of weather forecasting is that of protecting weather-sensitive human activities. Forecasts issued in the probabilistic form have a higher informative content, as opposed to deterministic one, since they bear information that give also a measure of their own uncertainty. Howe...

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Main Author: Alessio Raimondi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sissa Medialab 2009-03-01
Series:JCOM: Journal of Science Communication
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jcom.sissa.it/archive/08/01/Jcom0801%282009%29A03/Jcom0801%282009%29A03.pdf
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author Alessio Raimondi
author_facet Alessio Raimondi
author_sort Alessio Raimondi
collection DOAJ
description One of the main purposes of weather forecasting is that of protecting weather-sensitive human activities. Forecasts issued in the probabilistic form have a higher informative content, as opposed to deterministic one, since they bear information that give also a measure of their own uncertainty. However, in order to make an appropriate and effective use of this kind of forecasts in an operational setting, communication becomes significatively relevant.The present paper, after having briefly examined the weather forecasts concerning Hurricane Charley (August 2004), tackles the issue of the communicative process in detail.The bottom line of this study is that for the weather forecast to achieve its best predictive potential, an in-depth analysis of communication issues is necessary.
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spelling doaj.art-f737982c7e1a4fb4afc20550967fa2fa2022-12-21T17:56:47ZengSissa MedialabJCOM: Journal of Science Communication1824-20492009-03-0181The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic formAlessio RaimondiOne of the main purposes of weather forecasting is that of protecting weather-sensitive human activities. Forecasts issued in the probabilistic form have a higher informative content, as opposed to deterministic one, since they bear information that give also a measure of their own uncertainty. However, in order to make an appropriate and effective use of this kind of forecasts in an operational setting, communication becomes significatively relevant.The present paper, after having briefly examined the weather forecasts concerning Hurricane Charley (August 2004), tackles the issue of the communicative process in detail.The bottom line of this study is that for the weather forecast to achieve its best predictive potential, an in-depth analysis of communication issues is necessary.http://jcom.sissa.it/archive/08/01/Jcom0801%282009%29A03/Jcom0801%282009%29A03.pdfScience and mediaPerceptions of science and technologyEnvironment communication
spellingShingle Alessio Raimondi
The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form
JCOM: Journal of Science Communication
Science and media
Perceptions of science and technology
Environment communication
title The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form
title_full The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form
title_fullStr The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form
title_full_unstemmed The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form
title_short The communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form
title_sort communicative process of weather forecasts issued in the probabilistic form
topic Science and media
Perceptions of science and technology
Environment communication
url http://jcom.sissa.it/archive/08/01/Jcom0801%282009%29A03/Jcom0801%282009%29A03.pdf
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