Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links

<p>This paper examines the causality between foreign direct investment, growth of output indicators and gross domestic product in China between 1995-2016 using Granger causality test based on the vector error correction model. In contemporary times, attention has been drifted from overall fore...

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Main Authors: Ayamba Emmanuel Caesar, Chen HaiBo, Thomas Bilaliib Udimal, Andrew Osei-Agyemang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2018-05-01
Series:International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
Online Access:https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/6457
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author Ayamba Emmanuel Caesar
Chen HaiBo
Thomas Bilaliib Udimal
Andrew Osei-Agyemang
author_facet Ayamba Emmanuel Caesar
Chen HaiBo
Thomas Bilaliib Udimal
Andrew Osei-Agyemang
author_sort Ayamba Emmanuel Caesar
collection DOAJ
description <p>This paper examines the causality between foreign direct investment, growth of output indicators and gross domestic product in China between 1995-2016 using Granger causality test based on the vector error correction model. In contemporary times, attention has been drifted from overall foreign direct investment as engine of growth in the analysis of economic growth to sectoral composition of the economy. This paper considers the growth of output indicators (manufacturing, service and agricultural sectors) as engines of growth. The results indicate a bidirectional causal link between gross domestic product and foreign direct investment in the long and short runs. There was however a uni-directional relation between gross domestic product and manufacturing and service sectors in the long run. A short run causal link exists between gross domestic product and manufacturing but not for service. The study does not confirm causality to run from gross domestic product to agriculture.</p><p><strong>Keywords</strong>: FDI; Economic growth; VECM causality</p><p><strong>JEL Classifications: </strong>F21, F43<strong></strong></p>
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spelling doaj.art-f7536152754c43d2ac03560d69cabd9d2023-02-15T16:07:46ZengEconJournalsInternational Journal of Economics and Financial Issues2146-41382018-05-01833153223317Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal LinksAyamba Emmanuel Caesar0Chen HaiBoThomas Bilaliib UdimalAndrew Osei-AgyemangJiangsu University School of Finance and Economics, Zhenjiang, China<p>This paper examines the causality between foreign direct investment, growth of output indicators and gross domestic product in China between 1995-2016 using Granger causality test based on the vector error correction model. In contemporary times, attention has been drifted from overall foreign direct investment as engine of growth in the analysis of economic growth to sectoral composition of the economy. This paper considers the growth of output indicators (manufacturing, service and agricultural sectors) as engines of growth. The results indicate a bidirectional causal link between gross domestic product and foreign direct investment in the long and short runs. There was however a uni-directional relation between gross domestic product and manufacturing and service sectors in the long run. A short run causal link exists between gross domestic product and manufacturing but not for service. The study does not confirm causality to run from gross domestic product to agriculture.</p><p><strong>Keywords</strong>: FDI; Economic growth; VECM causality</p><p><strong>JEL Classifications: </strong>F21, F43<strong></strong></p>https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/6457
spellingShingle Ayamba Emmanuel Caesar
Chen HaiBo
Thomas Bilaliib Udimal
Andrew Osei-Agyemang
Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links
International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues
title Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links
title_full Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links
title_fullStr Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links
title_full_unstemmed Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links
title_short Foreign Direct Investment, Growth of Output Indicators and Economic Growth in China: Empirical Evidence on Causal Links
title_sort foreign direct investment growth of output indicators and economic growth in china empirical evidence on causal links
url https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/6457
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AT thomasbilaliibudimal foreigndirectinvestmentgrowthofoutputindicatorsandeconomicgrowthinchinaempiricalevidenceoncausallinks
AT andrewoseiagyemang foreigndirectinvestmentgrowthofoutputindicatorsandeconomicgrowthinchinaempiricalevidenceoncausallinks