Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer Recurrence

Endometrial cancer (EC) incidence and mortality continues to rise. Molecular profiling of EC promises improvement of risk assessment and treatment selection. However, we still lack robust and accurate models to predict those at risk of failing treatment. The objective of this pilot study is to creat...

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Main Authors: Jesus Gonzalez-Bosquet, Sofia Gabrilovich, Megan E. McDonald, Brian J. Smith, Kimberly K. Leslie, David D. Bender, Michael J. Goodheart, Eric Devor
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:International Journal of Molecular Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1422-0067/23/24/16014
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author Jesus Gonzalez-Bosquet
Sofia Gabrilovich
Megan E. McDonald
Brian J. Smith
Kimberly K. Leslie
David D. Bender
Michael J. Goodheart
Eric Devor
author_facet Jesus Gonzalez-Bosquet
Sofia Gabrilovich
Megan E. McDonald
Brian J. Smith
Kimberly K. Leslie
David D. Bender
Michael J. Goodheart
Eric Devor
author_sort Jesus Gonzalez-Bosquet
collection DOAJ
description Endometrial cancer (EC) incidence and mortality continues to rise. Molecular profiling of EC promises improvement of risk assessment and treatment selection. However, we still lack robust and accurate models to predict those at risk of failing treatment. The objective of this pilot study is to create models with clinical and genomic data that will discriminate patients with EC at risk of disease recurrence. We performed a pilot, retrospective, case–control study evaluating patients with EC, endometrioid type: 7 with recurrence of disease (cases), and 55 without (controls). RNA was extracted from frozen specimens and sequenced (RNAseq). Genomic features from RNAseq included transcriptome expression, genomic, and structural variation. Feature selection for variable reduction was performed with univariate ANOVA with cross-validation. Selected variables, informative for EC recurrence, were introduced in multivariate lasso regression models. Validation of models was performed in machine-learning platforms (ML) and independent datasets (TCGA). The best performing prediction models (out of >170) contained the same lncRNA features (AUC of 0.9, and 95% CI: 0.75, 1.0). Models were validated with excellent performance in ML platforms and good performance in an independent dataset. Prediction models of EC recurrence containing lncRNA features have better performance than models with clinical data alone.
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spelling doaj.art-f7723f82118a4f9e9a83de775313f14d2023-11-24T15:31:24ZengMDPI AGInternational Journal of Molecular Sciences1661-65961422-00672022-12-0123241601410.3390/ijms232416014Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer RecurrenceJesus Gonzalez-Bosquet0Sofia Gabrilovich1Megan E. McDonald2Brian J. Smith3Kimberly K. Leslie4David D. Bender5Michael J. Goodheart6Eric Devor7Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Iowa, 200 Hawkins Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242, USADepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Iowa, 200 Hawkins Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242, USADepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Iowa, 200 Hawkins Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242, USADepartment of Biostatistics, University of Iowa, 145 N Riverside Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242, USADivision of Molecular Medicine, Departments of Internal Medicine and Obstetrics and Gynecology, The University of New Mexico Comprehensive Cancer Center, 915 Camino de Salud, CRF 117, Albuquerque, NM 87131, USADepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Iowa, 200 Hawkins Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242, USADepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Iowa, 200 Hawkins Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242, USADepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Iowa, 200 Hawkins Dr., Iowa City, IA 52242, USAEndometrial cancer (EC) incidence and mortality continues to rise. Molecular profiling of EC promises improvement of risk assessment and treatment selection. However, we still lack robust and accurate models to predict those at risk of failing treatment. The objective of this pilot study is to create models with clinical and genomic data that will discriminate patients with EC at risk of disease recurrence. We performed a pilot, retrospective, case–control study evaluating patients with EC, endometrioid type: 7 with recurrence of disease (cases), and 55 without (controls). RNA was extracted from frozen specimens and sequenced (RNAseq). Genomic features from RNAseq included transcriptome expression, genomic, and structural variation. Feature selection for variable reduction was performed with univariate ANOVA with cross-validation. Selected variables, informative for EC recurrence, were introduced in multivariate lasso regression models. Validation of models was performed in machine-learning platforms (ML) and independent datasets (TCGA). The best performing prediction models (out of >170) contained the same lncRNA features (AUC of 0.9, and 95% CI: 0.75, 1.0). Models were validated with excellent performance in ML platforms and good performance in an independent dataset. Prediction models of EC recurrence containing lncRNA features have better performance than models with clinical data alone.https://www.mdpi.com/1422-0067/23/24/16014endometrial cancerrecurrencepredictionmachine learning
spellingShingle Jesus Gonzalez-Bosquet
Sofia Gabrilovich
Megan E. McDonald
Brian J. Smith
Kimberly K. Leslie
David D. Bender
Michael J. Goodheart
Eric Devor
Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer Recurrence
International Journal of Molecular Sciences
endometrial cancer
recurrence
prediction
machine learning
title Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer Recurrence
title_full Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer Recurrence
title_fullStr Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer Recurrence
title_full_unstemmed Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer Recurrence
title_short Integration of Genomic and Clinical Retrospective Data to Predict Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer Recurrence
title_sort integration of genomic and clinical retrospective data to predict endometrioid endometrial cancer recurrence
topic endometrial cancer
recurrence
prediction
machine learning
url https://www.mdpi.com/1422-0067/23/24/16014
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