Strength, competition, ideology and rationality

The objective of this document is to investigate the factors that determine the claims of terrorist attacks worldwide by terrorist groups and to stablish the probability of recurrence. To determine the claims, we used a logistic discrete choice regression model. Besides, for the probability of repe...

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Main Authors: Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada, Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez, Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Escuela Militar de Cadetes “General José María Córdova” 2023-01-01
Series:Revista Científica General José María Córdova
Subjects:
Online Access:https://revistacientificaesmic.com/index.php/esmic/article/view/1082
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author Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada
Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez
Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza
author_facet Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada
Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez
Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza
author_sort Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada
collection DOAJ
description The objective of this document is to investigate the factors that determine the claims of terrorist attacks worldwide by terrorist groups and to stablish the probability of recurrence. To determine the claims, we used a logistic discrete choice regression model. Besides, for the probability of repeating an attack, we implemented a dynamic negative binomial stochastic model with panel data. As far as we know, this last topic and modeling have not been previously considered. The main results indicate that claims increase when there is harm caused to civilians, attack coercion, competition among groups and Islamic ideology; while the possibility of repeating an attack gets reduced with the number of fatal victims and human rights violations, but it increases with government support to terrorist groups.
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spelling doaj.art-f77677044169439b8fbb3875034f7a3c2023-05-01T04:33:36ZengEscuela Militar de Cadetes “General José María Córdova”Revista Científica General José María Córdova1900-65862500-76452023-01-01214110.21830/19006586.1082Strength, competition, ideology and rationalityIsabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada0Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez1Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza2Universidad del Cauca, Popayán, ColombiaUniversidad del Cauca, Popayán, ColombiaUniversidad del Cauca, Popayán, Colombia The objective of this document is to investigate the factors that determine the claims of terrorist attacks worldwide by terrorist groups and to stablish the probability of recurrence. To determine the claims, we used a logistic discrete choice regression model. Besides, for the probability of repeating an attack, we implemented a dynamic negative binomial stochastic model with panel data. As far as we know, this last topic and modeling have not been previously considered. The main results indicate that claims increase when there is harm caused to civilians, attack coercion, competition among groups and Islamic ideology; while the possibility of repeating an attack gets reduced with the number of fatal victims and human rights violations, but it increases with government support to terrorist groups. https://revistacientificaesmic.com/index.php/esmic/article/view/1082claimed attackshuman rights violationsinternational conflictspanel datarecurrence of attacksterrorism
spellingShingle Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada
Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez
Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza
Strength, competition, ideology and rationality
Revista Científica General José María Córdova
claimed attacks
human rights violations
international conflicts
panel data
recurrence of attacks
terrorism
title Strength, competition, ideology and rationality
title_full Strength, competition, ideology and rationality
title_fullStr Strength, competition, ideology and rationality
title_full_unstemmed Strength, competition, ideology and rationality
title_short Strength, competition, ideology and rationality
title_sort strength competition ideology and rationality
topic claimed attacks
human rights violations
international conflicts
panel data
recurrence of attacks
terrorism
url https://revistacientificaesmic.com/index.php/esmic/article/view/1082
work_keys_str_mv AT isabelcristinariveralozada strengthcompetitionideologyandrationality
AT andresmauriciogomezsanchez strengthcompetitionideologyandrationality
AT jorgeluisrivadeneiradaza strengthcompetitionideologyandrationality