Strength, competition, ideology and rationality
The objective of this document is to investigate the factors that determine the claims of terrorist attacks worldwide by terrorist groups and to stablish the probability of recurrence. To determine the claims, we used a logistic discrete choice regression model. Besides, for the probability of repe...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Escuela Militar de Cadetes “General José María Córdova”
2023-01-01
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Series: | Revista Científica General José María Córdova |
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Online Access: | https://revistacientificaesmic.com/index.php/esmic/article/view/1082 |
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author | Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza |
author_facet | Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza |
author_sort | Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada |
collection | DOAJ |
description |
The objective of this document is to investigate the factors that determine the claims of terrorist attacks worldwide by terrorist groups and to stablish the probability of recurrence. To determine the claims, we used a logistic discrete choice regression model. Besides, for the probability of repeating an attack, we implemented a dynamic negative binomial stochastic model with panel data. As far as we know, this last topic and modeling have not been previously considered. The main results indicate that claims increase when there is harm caused to civilians, attack coercion, competition among groups and Islamic ideology; while the possibility of repeating an attack gets reduced with the number of fatal victims and human rights violations, but it increases with government support to terrorist groups.
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first_indexed | 2024-04-09T15:04:39Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-f77677044169439b8fbb3875034f7a3c |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1900-6586 2500-7645 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-09T15:04:39Z |
publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
publisher | Escuela Militar de Cadetes “General José María Córdova” |
record_format | Article |
series | Revista Científica General José María Córdova |
spelling | doaj.art-f77677044169439b8fbb3875034f7a3c2023-05-01T04:33:36ZengEscuela Militar de Cadetes “General José María Córdova”Revista Científica General José María Córdova1900-65862500-76452023-01-01214110.21830/19006586.1082Strength, competition, ideology and rationalityIsabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada0Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez1Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza2Universidad del Cauca, Popayán, ColombiaUniversidad del Cauca, Popayán, ColombiaUniversidad del Cauca, Popayán, Colombia The objective of this document is to investigate the factors that determine the claims of terrorist attacks worldwide by terrorist groups and to stablish the probability of recurrence. To determine the claims, we used a logistic discrete choice regression model. Besides, for the probability of repeating an attack, we implemented a dynamic negative binomial stochastic model with panel data. As far as we know, this last topic and modeling have not been previously considered. The main results indicate that claims increase when there is harm caused to civilians, attack coercion, competition among groups and Islamic ideology; while the possibility of repeating an attack gets reduced with the number of fatal victims and human rights violations, but it increases with government support to terrorist groups. https://revistacientificaesmic.com/index.php/esmic/article/view/1082claimed attackshuman rights violationsinternational conflictspanel datarecurrence of attacksterrorism |
spellingShingle | Isabel Cristina Rivera-Lozada Andres Mauricio Gomez-Sanchez Jorge Luis Rivadeneira-Daza Strength, competition, ideology and rationality Revista Científica General José María Córdova claimed attacks human rights violations international conflicts panel data recurrence of attacks terrorism |
title | Strength, competition, ideology and rationality |
title_full | Strength, competition, ideology and rationality |
title_fullStr | Strength, competition, ideology and rationality |
title_full_unstemmed | Strength, competition, ideology and rationality |
title_short | Strength, competition, ideology and rationality |
title_sort | strength competition ideology and rationality |
topic | claimed attacks human rights violations international conflicts panel data recurrence of attacks terrorism |
url | https://revistacientificaesmic.com/index.php/esmic/article/view/1082 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT isabelcristinariveralozada strengthcompetitionideologyandrationality AT andresmauriciogomezsanchez strengthcompetitionideologyandrationality AT jorgeluisrivadeneiradaza strengthcompetitionideologyandrationality |