Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease

Health risks due to climate change are emerging, particularly from high-temperature exposure. The perceived temperature is an equivalent temperature based on the complete heat budget model of the human body. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the effect of perceived temperature on overall mortality amon...

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Main Authors: Jeonghwan Lee, Sohee Oh, Jae-Young Byon, Whanhee Lee, Boram Weon, Ara Ko, Wencheng Jin, Dong Ki Kim, Sejoong Kim, Yun Kyu Oh, Yon Su Kim, Chun Soo Lim, Jung Pyo Lee
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2024-02-01
Series:Heliyon
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024012532
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author Jeonghwan Lee
Sohee Oh
Jae-Young Byon
Whanhee Lee
Boram Weon
Ara Ko
Wencheng Jin
Dong Ki Kim
Sejoong Kim
Yun Kyu Oh
Yon Su Kim
Chun Soo Lim
Jung Pyo Lee
author_facet Jeonghwan Lee
Sohee Oh
Jae-Young Byon
Whanhee Lee
Boram Weon
Ara Ko
Wencheng Jin
Dong Ki Kim
Sejoong Kim
Yun Kyu Oh
Yon Su Kim
Chun Soo Lim
Jung Pyo Lee
author_sort Jeonghwan Lee
collection DOAJ
description Health risks due to climate change are emerging, particularly from high-temperature exposure. The perceived temperature is an equivalent temperature based on the complete heat budget model of the human body. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the effect of perceived temperature on overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. In total, 32,870 patients with chronic kidney disease in Seoul participated in this retrospective study (2001–2018) at three medical centers. The perceived temperature during the summer season was calculated using meteorological factors, including the air temperature near the automated weather station, dew point temperature, wind velocity, and total cloud amount. We assessed the association between perceived temperature using Kriging spatial interpolation and mortality in patients with CKD in the time-varying Cox proportional hazards model that was adjusted for sex, age, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, estimated glomerular filtration rate, smoking, alcohol consumption, and educational level. During the 6.14 ± 3.96 years of follow-up, 3863 deaths were recorded. In multivariable analysis, the average level of perceived temperature and maximum level of perceived temperature demonstrated an increased risk of overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. The concordance index for mortality of perceived temperature was higher than temperature, discomfort index, and heat index. When stratified by age, diabetes mellitus, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, patients with chronic kidney disease with young age (age <65 years) showed higher hazard ratio for mortality (interaction P = 0.049). Moreover, the risk of death in the winter and spring seasons was more significant compared to that of the summer and autumn seasons. Therefore, long-term exposure to high perceived temperature during summer increases the risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease.
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spelling doaj.art-f783a14aa925401eb669e366ecfbf3c22024-02-17T06:40:07ZengElsevierHeliyon2405-84402024-02-01103e25222Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney diseaseJeonghwan Lee0Sohee Oh1Jae-Young Byon2Whanhee Lee3Boram Weon4Ara Ko5Wencheng Jin6Dong Ki Kim7Sejoong Kim8Yun Kyu Oh9Yon Su Kim10Chun Soo Lim11Jung Pyo Lee12Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of KoreaMedical Research Collaborating Center, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of KoreaNational Meteorological Satellite Center, Korea Meteorological Administration, Jincheon, Chungcheongbuk-do, Republic of KoreaData Science, School of Biomedical Convergence Engineering, Pusan National University, Pusan, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of KoreaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center, Seoul, Republic of Korea; Corresponding author. Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Boramae Medical Center and Seoul National University College of Medicine 20 Boramae-ro 5-gil, Dongjak-gu, Seoul, 07061, Republic of Korea.Health risks due to climate change are emerging, particularly from high-temperature exposure. The perceived temperature is an equivalent temperature based on the complete heat budget model of the human body. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the effect of perceived temperature on overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. In total, 32,870 patients with chronic kidney disease in Seoul participated in this retrospective study (2001–2018) at three medical centers. The perceived temperature during the summer season was calculated using meteorological factors, including the air temperature near the automated weather station, dew point temperature, wind velocity, and total cloud amount. We assessed the association between perceived temperature using Kriging spatial interpolation and mortality in patients with CKD in the time-varying Cox proportional hazards model that was adjusted for sex, age, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, estimated glomerular filtration rate, smoking, alcohol consumption, and educational level. During the 6.14 ± 3.96 years of follow-up, 3863 deaths were recorded. In multivariable analysis, the average level of perceived temperature and maximum level of perceived temperature demonstrated an increased risk of overall mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease. The concordance index for mortality of perceived temperature was higher than temperature, discomfort index, and heat index. When stratified by age, diabetes mellitus, and estimated glomerular filtration rate, patients with chronic kidney disease with young age (age <65 years) showed higher hazard ratio for mortality (interaction P = 0.049). Moreover, the risk of death in the winter and spring seasons was more significant compared to that of the summer and autumn seasons. Therefore, long-term exposure to high perceived temperature during summer increases the risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024012532Perceived temperatureChronic kidney diseaseMortalityKriging
spellingShingle Jeonghwan Lee
Sohee Oh
Jae-Young Byon
Whanhee Lee
Boram Weon
Ara Ko
Wencheng Jin
Dong Ki Kim
Sejoong Kim
Yun Kyu Oh
Yon Su Kim
Chun Soo Lim
Jung Pyo Lee
Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease
Heliyon
Perceived temperature
Chronic kidney disease
Mortality
Kriging
title Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease
title_full Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease
title_fullStr Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease
title_full_unstemmed Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease
title_short Long-term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease
title_sort long term exposure to high perceived temperature and risk of mortality among patients with chronic kidney disease
topic Perceived temperature
Chronic kidney disease
Mortality
Kriging
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2405844024012532
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