Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter Optimization

In this study, a seepage prediction model was established for roller-compacted concrete dams using support vector regression (SVR) with hybrid parameter optimization (HPO). The model includes data processing via HPO and machine learning through SVR. HPO benefits from the correlation extraction capab...

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Main Authors: Mei-Yan Zhuo, Jinn-Chyi Chen, Ren-Ling Zhang, Yan-Kun Zhan, Wen-Sun Huang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-10-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/19/3511
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author Mei-Yan Zhuo
Jinn-Chyi Chen
Ren-Ling Zhang
Yan-Kun Zhan
Wen-Sun Huang
author_facet Mei-Yan Zhuo
Jinn-Chyi Chen
Ren-Ling Zhang
Yan-Kun Zhan
Wen-Sun Huang
author_sort Mei-Yan Zhuo
collection DOAJ
description In this study, a seepage prediction model was established for roller-compacted concrete dams using support vector regression (SVR) with hybrid parameter optimization (HPO). The model includes data processing via HPO and machine learning through SVR. HPO benefits from the correlation extraction capability of grey relational analysis and the dimensionality reduction technique of principal component analysis. The proposed model was trained, validated, and tested using 22 years of monitoring data regarding the Shuidong Dam in China. We compared the performance of HPO with other popular methods, while the SVR method was compared with the traditional time-series prediction method of long short-term memory (LSTM). Our findings reveal that the HPO method proves valuable real-time dam safety monitoring during data processing. Meanwhile, the SVR method demonstrates superior robustness in predicting seepage flowrate post-dam reinforcement, compared with LSTM. Thus, the developed model effectively identifies the factors related to seepage and exhibits high accuracy in predicting fluctuation trends regarding the Shuidong Dam, achieving a determination coefficient <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> > 0.9. Further, the model can provide valuable guidance for dam safety monitoring, including diagnosing the efficacy of monitoring parameters or equipment, evaluating equipment monitoring frequency, identifying locations sensitive to dam seepage, and predicting seepage.
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spelling doaj.art-f7b15b2f7e10450b866fb36a07409ac72023-11-19T15:15:51ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-10-011519351110.3390/w15193511Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter OptimizationMei-Yan Zhuo0Jinn-Chyi Chen1Ren-Ling Zhang2Yan-Kun Zhan3Wen-Sun Huang4School of Hydraulic Engineering, Fujian College of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Yongan 366000, ChinaSchool of Hydraulic Engineering, Fujian College of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Yongan 366000, ChinaFujian Shuikou Power Generation Group, Youxi Basin Power Generation Co., Ltd., Sanming 365100, ChinaFujian Shuikou Power Generation Group, Youxi Basin Power Generation Co., Ltd., Sanming 365100, ChinaSchool of Hydraulic Engineering, Fujian College of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Yongan 366000, ChinaIn this study, a seepage prediction model was established for roller-compacted concrete dams using support vector regression (SVR) with hybrid parameter optimization (HPO). The model includes data processing via HPO and machine learning through SVR. HPO benefits from the correlation extraction capability of grey relational analysis and the dimensionality reduction technique of principal component analysis. The proposed model was trained, validated, and tested using 22 years of monitoring data regarding the Shuidong Dam in China. We compared the performance of HPO with other popular methods, while the SVR method was compared with the traditional time-series prediction method of long short-term memory (LSTM). Our findings reveal that the HPO method proves valuable real-time dam safety monitoring during data processing. Meanwhile, the SVR method demonstrates superior robustness in predicting seepage flowrate post-dam reinforcement, compared with LSTM. Thus, the developed model effectively identifies the factors related to seepage and exhibits high accuracy in predicting fluctuation trends regarding the Shuidong Dam, achieving a determination coefficient <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> > 0.9. Further, the model can provide valuable guidance for dam safety monitoring, including diagnosing the efficacy of monitoring parameters or equipment, evaluating equipment monitoring frequency, identifying locations sensitive to dam seepage, and predicting seepage.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/19/3511support vector regressionhybrid parameter optimizationgrey relational analysisprincipal component analysisroller-compacted concrete damseepage
spellingShingle Mei-Yan Zhuo
Jinn-Chyi Chen
Ren-Ling Zhang
Yan-Kun Zhan
Wen-Sun Huang
Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter Optimization
Water
support vector regression
hybrid parameter optimization
grey relational analysis
principal component analysis
roller-compacted concrete dam
seepage
title Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter Optimization
title_full Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter Optimization
title_fullStr Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter Optimization
title_full_unstemmed Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter Optimization
title_short Seepage Prediction Model for Roller-Compacted Concrete Dam Using Support Vector Regression and Hybrid Parameter Optimization
title_sort seepage prediction model for roller compacted concrete dam using support vector regression and hybrid parameter optimization
topic support vector regression
hybrid parameter optimization
grey relational analysis
principal component analysis
roller-compacted concrete dam
seepage
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/19/3511
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AT renlingzhang seepagepredictionmodelforrollercompactedconcretedamusingsupportvectorregressionandhybridparameteroptimization
AT yankunzhan seepagepredictionmodelforrollercompactedconcretedamusingsupportvectorregressionandhybridparameteroptimization
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