Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland

This paper applies a framework for monitoring vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector to the case of Poland. The framework considers indicators across three dimensions of real estate-related vulnerabilities, i.e. valuation, household indebtedness and the bank credit cycle, and builds a...

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Main Author: Magdalena Grothe
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Collegium of Economic Analysis, SGH Warsaw School of Economics 2020-06-01
Series:Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.journalssystem.com/gna/Monitoring-vulnerabilities-in-the-residential-real-estate-sector-in-Poland,120628,0,2.html
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author Magdalena Grothe
author_facet Magdalena Grothe
author_sort Magdalena Grothe
collection DOAJ
description This paper applies a framework for monitoring vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector to the case of Poland. The framework considers indicators across three dimensions of real estate-related vulnerabilities, i.e. valuation, household indebtedness and the bank credit cycle, and builds a composite model-free measure shown to have a significant forecasting performance for real estate crises. The paper shows how the monitoring can be implemented for the Polish market, discusses the developments from a historical perspective, and highlights remaining data gaps.
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spelling doaj.art-f7ccf1d5e6d347869e8a1ef8d13ab8922022-12-22T01:47:11ZengCollegium of Economic Analysis, SGH Warsaw School of EconomicsGospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics0867-00052300-52382020-06-01302252410.33119/GN/120628120628Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in PolandMagdalena Grothe0European Central Bank, European Systemic Risk Board Secretariat, GermanyThis paper applies a framework for monitoring vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector to the case of Poland. The framework considers indicators across three dimensions of real estate-related vulnerabilities, i.e. valuation, household indebtedness and the bank credit cycle, and builds a composite model-free measure shown to have a significant forecasting performance for real estate crises. The paper shows how the monitoring can be implemented for the Polish market, discusses the developments from a historical perspective, and highlights remaining data gaps.http://www.journalssystem.com/gna/Monitoring-vulnerabilities-in-the-residential-real-estate-sector-in-Poland,120628,0,2.htmlreal estate vulnerabilitiesreal estate market in polandrisk monitoringreal estate crises
spellingShingle Magdalena Grothe
Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland
Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics
real estate vulnerabilities
real estate market in poland
risk monitoring
real estate crises
title Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland
title_full Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland
title_fullStr Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland
title_full_unstemmed Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland
title_short Monitoring Vulnerabilities in the Residential Real Estate Sector in Poland
title_sort monitoring vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector in poland
topic real estate vulnerabilities
real estate market in poland
risk monitoring
real estate crises
url http://www.journalssystem.com/gna/Monitoring-vulnerabilities-in-the-residential-real-estate-sector-in-Poland,120628,0,2.html
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