What are patterns of rise and decline?
The notions of change, such as birth, death, growth, evolution and longevity, extend across reality, including biological, cultural and societal phenomena. Patterns of change describe how success and composition of every entity, from species to societies, vary across time. Languages develop into new...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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The Royal Society
2023-11-01
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| Series: | Royal Society Open Science |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.230052 |
| _version_ | 1797361046327918592 |
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| author | Aura Raulo Alexis Rojas Björn Kröger Antti Laaksonen Carlos Lamuela Orta Silva Nurmio Mirva Peltoniemi Leo Lahti Indrė Žliobaitė |
| author_facet | Aura Raulo Alexis Rojas Björn Kröger Antti Laaksonen Carlos Lamuela Orta Silva Nurmio Mirva Peltoniemi Leo Lahti Indrė Žliobaitė |
| author_sort | Aura Raulo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The notions of change, such as birth, death, growth, evolution and longevity, extend across reality, including biological, cultural and societal phenomena. Patterns of change describe how success and composition of every entity, from species to societies, vary across time. Languages develop into new languages, music and fashion continuously evolve, economies rise and decline, ecological and societal crises come and go. A common way to perceive and analyse change processes is through patterns of rise and decline, the ubiquitous, often distinctively unimodal trajectories describing life histories of various entities. These patterns come in different shapes and are measured according to varying definitions. Depending on how they are measured, patterns of rise and decline can reveal, emphasize, mask or obscure important dynamics in natural and cultural phenomena. Importantly, the variations of how dynamics are measured can be vast, making it impossible to directly compare patterns of rise and decline across fields of science. Standardized analysis of these patterns has the potential to uncover important but overlooked commonalities across natural phenomena and potentially help us catch the onset of dramatic shifts in entities' state, from catastrophic crashes in success to gradual emergence of new entities. We provide a framework for standardized recognizing, characterizing and comparing patterns of change by combining understanding of dynamics across fields of science. Our toolkit aims at enhancing understanding of the most general tendencies of change, through two complementary perspectives: dynamics of emergence and dynamics of success. We gather comparable cases and data from different research fields and summarize open research questions that can help us understand the universal principles, perception-biases and field-specific tendencies in patterns of rise and decline of entities in nature. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T15:48:18Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-f7cf2d1fbf2c4719b43cdb07ce20b0d3 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2054-5703 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T15:48:18Z |
| publishDate | 2023-11-01 |
| publisher | The Royal Society |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Royal Society Open Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-f7cf2d1fbf2c4719b43cdb07ce20b0d32024-01-09T09:26:53ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032023-11-01101110.1098/rsos.230052What are patterns of rise and decline?Aura Raulo0Alexis Rojas1Björn Kröger2Antti Laaksonen3Carlos Lamuela Orta4Silva Nurmio5Mirva Peltoniemi6Leo Lahti7Indrė Žliobaitė8Department of Computing, University of Turku, Turku, FinlandDepartment of Computer Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FinlandFinnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Computer Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FinlandMobility Research Group, VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, Espoo, Uusimaa, FinlandDepartment of Languages, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Industrial Engineering and Management, Tampere University, 33014 Tampere, FinlandDepartment of Computing, University of Turku, Turku, FinlandDepartment of Computer Science, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, FinlandThe notions of change, such as birth, death, growth, evolution and longevity, extend across reality, including biological, cultural and societal phenomena. Patterns of change describe how success and composition of every entity, from species to societies, vary across time. Languages develop into new languages, music and fashion continuously evolve, economies rise and decline, ecological and societal crises come and go. A common way to perceive and analyse change processes is through patterns of rise and decline, the ubiquitous, often distinctively unimodal trajectories describing life histories of various entities. These patterns come in different shapes and are measured according to varying definitions. Depending on how they are measured, patterns of rise and decline can reveal, emphasize, mask or obscure important dynamics in natural and cultural phenomena. Importantly, the variations of how dynamics are measured can be vast, making it impossible to directly compare patterns of rise and decline across fields of science. Standardized analysis of these patterns has the potential to uncover important but overlooked commonalities across natural phenomena and potentially help us catch the onset of dramatic shifts in entities' state, from catastrophic crashes in success to gradual emergence of new entities. We provide a framework for standardized recognizing, characterizing and comparing patterns of change by combining understanding of dynamics across fields of science. Our toolkit aims at enhancing understanding of the most general tendencies of change, through two complementary perspectives: dynamics of emergence and dynamics of success. We gather comparable cases and data from different research fields and summarize open research questions that can help us understand the universal principles, perception-biases and field-specific tendencies in patterns of rise and decline of entities in nature.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.230052rise and declinehat patternevolutionunimodalityemergencesystem dynamics |
| spellingShingle | Aura Raulo Alexis Rojas Björn Kröger Antti Laaksonen Carlos Lamuela Orta Silva Nurmio Mirva Peltoniemi Leo Lahti Indrė Žliobaitė What are patterns of rise and decline? Royal Society Open Science rise and decline hat pattern evolution unimodality emergence system dynamics |
| title | What are patterns of rise and decline? |
| title_full | What are patterns of rise and decline? |
| title_fullStr | What are patterns of rise and decline? |
| title_full_unstemmed | What are patterns of rise and decline? |
| title_short | What are patterns of rise and decline? |
| title_sort | what are patterns of rise and decline |
| topic | rise and decline hat pattern evolution unimodality emergence system dynamics |
| url | https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.230052 |
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