COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence

Derara Girma,1 Hiwot Dejene,1 Leta Adugna,1 Mengistu Tesema,1 Mukemil Awol2 1Public Health Department, College of Health Sciences, Salale University, Fitche, Ethiopia; 2Department of Midwifery, College of Health Sciences, Salale University, Fiche, EthiopiaCorrespondence: Derara Girma, Email deraragi...

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Main Authors: Girma D, Dejene H, Adugna L, Tesema M, Awol M
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dove Medical Press 2022-07-01
Series:Infection and Drug Resistance
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.dovepress.com/covid-19-case-fatality-rate-and-factors-contributing-to-mortality-in-e-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-IDR
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author Girma D
Dejene H
Adugna L
Tesema M
Awol M
author_facet Girma D
Dejene H
Adugna L
Tesema M
Awol M
author_sort Girma D
collection DOAJ
description Derara Girma,1 Hiwot Dejene,1 Leta Adugna,1 Mengistu Tesema,1 Mukemil Awol2 1Public Health Department, College of Health Sciences, Salale University, Fitche, Ethiopia; 2Department of Midwifery, College of Health Sciences, Salale University, Fiche, EthiopiaCorrespondence: Derara Girma, Email deraragirma24@gmail.comBackground: The ongoing novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is triggering significant morbidity and mortality due to its contagious nature and absence of definitive management. In Ethiopia, despite a number of primary studies have been conducted to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19, no review study has attempted to summarize the findings to better understand the nature of pandemics and the virulence of the disease.Objective: To summarize the CFR of COVID-19 and factors contributing to mortality in Ethiopia.Methods: PRISMA guideline was followed. PubMed, Science Direct, CINAHL, SCOPUS, Hinari, and Google Scholar were systematically searched using pre-specified keywords. Observational studies ie, cohort, cross-sectional, and case-control studies were included. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale adapted for observational studies was used to assess the quality of included studies. CFR was defined as the proportion of COVID-19 cases with the outcome of death within a given period. Factors contributing to COVID-19 mortality at p-value < 0.05 were described narratively from the eligible articles.Results: A total of 13 observational studies were included in this study. Consequently, this review confirmed the CFR of COVID-19 in Ethiopia ranges between 1– 20%. Additionally, comorbid conditions, older age group, male sex, substance use, clinical manifestations (abnormal oxygen saturation level, atypical lymphocyte count, fever, and shortness of breath), disease severity, and history of surgery/trauma increased the likelihood of death from COVID-19 death.Conclusion: This study shows that the range of CFR of COVID-19 in Ethiopia is almost equivalent to other countries, despite the country’s low testing capacity and case detection rate in reference to its total population. Comorbid diseases, older age group, male sex, cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking, clinical manifestations and disease severity, and history of surgery/trauma were factors contributing to COVID-19 mortality in Ethiopia. Therefore, given the alarming global situation and rapidly evolving large-scale pandemics, urgent interdisciplinary interventions should be implemented in those vulnerable groups to lessen the risk of mortality. Furthermore, the CFR of COVID-19 should be estimated from all treatment and rehabilitation centers in the country, as underestimation could be linked to a lack of preparedness and mitigation. A large set of prospective studies are also compulsory to better understand the CFR of COVID-19 in Ethiopia.Keywords: case fatality rate, COVID-19, coronavirus, mortality, Ethiopia
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spelling doaj.art-f7d1aca7647b420c9b0265b2cda00bba2022-12-22T00:55:57ZengDove Medical PressInfection and Drug Resistance1178-69732022-07-01Volume 153491350176343COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current EvidenceGirma DDejene HAdugna LTesema MAwol MDerara Girma,1 Hiwot Dejene,1 Leta Adugna,1 Mengistu Tesema,1 Mukemil Awol2 1Public Health Department, College of Health Sciences, Salale University, Fitche, Ethiopia; 2Department of Midwifery, College of Health Sciences, Salale University, Fiche, EthiopiaCorrespondence: Derara Girma, Email deraragirma24@gmail.comBackground: The ongoing novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is triggering significant morbidity and mortality due to its contagious nature and absence of definitive management. In Ethiopia, despite a number of primary studies have been conducted to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19, no review study has attempted to summarize the findings to better understand the nature of pandemics and the virulence of the disease.Objective: To summarize the CFR of COVID-19 and factors contributing to mortality in Ethiopia.Methods: PRISMA guideline was followed. PubMed, Science Direct, CINAHL, SCOPUS, Hinari, and Google Scholar were systematically searched using pre-specified keywords. Observational studies ie, cohort, cross-sectional, and case-control studies were included. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale adapted for observational studies was used to assess the quality of included studies. CFR was defined as the proportion of COVID-19 cases with the outcome of death within a given period. Factors contributing to COVID-19 mortality at p-value < 0.05 were described narratively from the eligible articles.Results: A total of 13 observational studies were included in this study. Consequently, this review confirmed the CFR of COVID-19 in Ethiopia ranges between 1– 20%. Additionally, comorbid conditions, older age group, male sex, substance use, clinical manifestations (abnormal oxygen saturation level, atypical lymphocyte count, fever, and shortness of breath), disease severity, and history of surgery/trauma increased the likelihood of death from COVID-19 death.Conclusion: This study shows that the range of CFR of COVID-19 in Ethiopia is almost equivalent to other countries, despite the country’s low testing capacity and case detection rate in reference to its total population. Comorbid diseases, older age group, male sex, cigarette smoking, alcohol drinking, clinical manifestations and disease severity, and history of surgery/trauma were factors contributing to COVID-19 mortality in Ethiopia. Therefore, given the alarming global situation and rapidly evolving large-scale pandemics, urgent interdisciplinary interventions should be implemented in those vulnerable groups to lessen the risk of mortality. Furthermore, the CFR of COVID-19 should be estimated from all treatment and rehabilitation centers in the country, as underestimation could be linked to a lack of preparedness and mitigation. A large set of prospective studies are also compulsory to better understand the CFR of COVID-19 in Ethiopia.Keywords: case fatality rate, COVID-19, coronavirus, mortality, Ethiopiahttps://www.dovepress.com/covid-19-case-fatality-rate-and-factors-contributing-to-mortality-in-e-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-IDRcase fatality ratecovid-19coronavirusmortalityethiopiacase fatality ratecovid-19coronavirusmortalityethiopia
spellingShingle Girma D
Dejene H
Adugna L
Tesema M
Awol M
COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence
Infection and Drug Resistance
case fatality rate
covid-19
coronavirus
mortality
ethiopiacase fatality rate
covid-19
coronavirus
mortality
ethiopia
title COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence
title_full COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence
title_fullStr COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence
title_short COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate and Factors Contributing to Mortality in Ethiopia: A Systematic Review of Current Evidence
title_sort covid 19 case fatality rate and factors contributing to mortality in ethiopia a systematic review of current evidence
topic case fatality rate
covid-19
coronavirus
mortality
ethiopiacase fatality rate
covid-19
coronavirus
mortality
ethiopia
url https://www.dovepress.com/covid-19-case-fatality-rate-and-factors-contributing-to-mortality-in-e-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-IDR
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