Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission

Vaccines are one of the safest medical interventions in history and can protect against infectious diseases and ensure important health benefits. Despite these advantages, health professionals and policymakers face significant challenges in terms of vaccine rollout, as vaccine hesitancy is a global...

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Main Authors: Nabeela Mumtaz, Caroline Green, Jim Duggan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/10/2/50
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author Nabeela Mumtaz
Caroline Green
Jim Duggan
author_facet Nabeela Mumtaz
Caroline Green
Jim Duggan
author_sort Nabeela Mumtaz
collection DOAJ
description Vaccines are one of the safest medical interventions in history and can protect against infectious diseases and ensure important health benefits. Despite these advantages, health professionals and policymakers face significant challenges in terms of vaccine rollout, as vaccine hesitancy is a global challenge, and varies greatly with context, i.e., place, time, and vaccines. The internet has rapidly become a widely used information source for health-related issues, and a medium where misinformation in relation to vaccines on social media can spread rapidly and influence many. This research models the impact of vaccine confidence on the transmission of infectious diseases. This involves two interacting contagion models, one for the disease itself, and the other for the public’s views on vaccination. Sensitivity analysis and loop impact analysis are used to explore the effects of misinformation and vaccine confidence on the spread of infectious diseases. The analysis indicates that high vaccine confidence has a reinforcing effect on vaccination levels and helps to reduce the spread of an infectious disease. The results show that higher vaccine confidence can mitigate against the impact of misinformation, and by doing so can contribute to the enhanced control of an infectious disease outbreak.
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spelling doaj.art-f7e2d51365be481d87d83b02f1649a322023-12-03T14:00:57ZengMDPI AGSystems2079-89542022-04-011025010.3390/systems10020050Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease TransmissionNabeela Mumtaz0Caroline Green1Jim Duggan2School of Computer Science, National University of Ireland Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, IrelandData Science Institute, National University of Ireland Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, IrelandSchool of Computer Science, National University of Ireland Galway, H91 TK33 Galway, IrelandVaccines are one of the safest medical interventions in history and can protect against infectious diseases and ensure important health benefits. Despite these advantages, health professionals and policymakers face significant challenges in terms of vaccine rollout, as vaccine hesitancy is a global challenge, and varies greatly with context, i.e., place, time, and vaccines. The internet has rapidly become a widely used information source for health-related issues, and a medium where misinformation in relation to vaccines on social media can spread rapidly and influence many. This research models the impact of vaccine confidence on the transmission of infectious diseases. This involves two interacting contagion models, one for the disease itself, and the other for the public’s views on vaccination. Sensitivity analysis and loop impact analysis are used to explore the effects of misinformation and vaccine confidence on the spread of infectious diseases. The analysis indicates that high vaccine confidence has a reinforcing effect on vaccination levels and helps to reduce the spread of an infectious disease. The results show that higher vaccine confidence can mitigate against the impact of misinformation, and by doing so can contribute to the enhanced control of an infectious disease outbreak.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/10/2/50vaccine confidencemisinformationinfectious disease transmissionsensitivity analysisloop impact analysis
spellingShingle Nabeela Mumtaz
Caroline Green
Jim Duggan
Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission
Systems
vaccine confidence
misinformation
infectious disease transmission
sensitivity analysis
loop impact analysis
title Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission
title_full Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission
title_fullStr Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission
title_full_unstemmed Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission
title_short Exploring the Effect of Misinformation on Infectious Disease Transmission
title_sort exploring the effect of misinformation on infectious disease transmission
topic vaccine confidence
misinformation
infectious disease transmission
sensitivity analysis
loop impact analysis
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/10/2/50
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