The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare

This study aims to analyze the relationship between government debt and social welfare in Indonesia in 1980-2019. The data used in this research is secondary data using time series data. The analysis used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The findings result from the first model show that in the...

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Main Authors: Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha, Hefrizal Handra
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Jurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Sriwijaya 2021-07-01
Series:Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ejournal.unsri.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/13786
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author Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha
Hefrizal Handra
author_facet Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha
Hefrizal Handra
author_sort Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to analyze the relationship between government debt and social welfare in Indonesia in 1980-2019. The data used in this research is secondary data using time series data. The analysis used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The findings result from the first model show that in the short-run, additional debt-to-GDP was not significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. Meanwhile, the long-run, additional debt-to-GDP is significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. The results also find that in the long run additional debt-to-GDP is positively correlated with poverty levels in Indonesia, meaning that additional debt-to-GDP increases the poverty rate in Indonesia. For GDP per capita, additional debt-to-GDP has a negative correlation. The inflation, tax-to-GDP, and GDP are not significant to the poverty rate in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the additional debt-to-GDP ratio and GDP variable is significant to the poverty rate, and has a positif and negative correlation. The findings from second model also indicate that population and inflation are significant and positively correlated with the poverty level, but tax-to-GDP ratio is not significant on GDP per capita in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the population and tax-to-GDP are significant to GDP per capita. Total population has a positive correlation, while tax-to-GDP ratio has a negative correlation.
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spelling doaj.art-f80f9d3ecc6b45219dfdb1dfb01aa2e72022-12-22T04:28:59ZengJurusan Ekonomi Pembangunan Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas SriwijayaJurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan1829-58432685-07882021-07-0119112513410.29259/jep.v19i1.137865843The Relationship between Government Debt and Social WelfareMuhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha0Hefrizal Handra1Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Andalas, IndonesiaDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics, Universitas Andalas, IndonesiaThis study aims to analyze the relationship between government debt and social welfare in Indonesia in 1980-2019. The data used in this research is secondary data using time series data. The analysis used is the Error Correction Model (ECM). The findings result from the first model show that in the short-run, additional debt-to-GDP was not significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. Meanwhile, the long-run, additional debt-to-GDP is significant to the poverty level and GDP per capita. The results also find that in the long run additional debt-to-GDP is positively correlated with poverty levels in Indonesia, meaning that additional debt-to-GDP increases the poverty rate in Indonesia. For GDP per capita, additional debt-to-GDP has a negative correlation. The inflation, tax-to-GDP, and GDP are not significant to the poverty rate in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the additional debt-to-GDP ratio and GDP variable is significant to the poverty rate, and has a positif and negative correlation. The findings from second model also indicate that population and inflation are significant and positively correlated with the poverty level, but tax-to-GDP ratio is not significant on GDP per capita in the short-run. Meanwhile, the long run, the population and tax-to-GDP are significant to GDP per capita. Total population has a positive correlation, while tax-to-GDP ratio has a negative correlation.https://ejournal.unsri.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/13786government debt, social welfare
spellingShingle Muhammad Kivlan Reftreka Nugraha
Hefrizal Handra
The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare
Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan
government debt, social welfare
title The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare
title_full The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare
title_fullStr The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare
title_full_unstemmed The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare
title_short The Relationship between Government Debt and Social Welfare
title_sort relationship between government debt and social welfare
topic government debt, social welfare
url https://ejournal.unsri.ac.id/index.php/jep/article/view/13786
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