On the Forecast Combination Puzzle

It is often reported in the forecast combination literature that a simple average of candidate forecasts is more robust than sophisticated combining methods. This phenomenon is usually referred to as the “forecast combination puzzle”. Motivated by this puzzle, we explore its poss...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wei Qian, Craig A. Rolling, Gang Cheng, Yuhong Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-09-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/7/3/39

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