Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station

ABSTRACT This paper presents the application of data mining techniques for pattern identification obtained from the analysis of meteorological variables and their correlation with the occurrence of intense rainfall. The used data were collected between 2008 and 2012 by the surface meteorological sta...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Anderson Cordeiro Charles, Anderson Amendoeira Namen, Pedro Paulo Gomes Watts Rodrigues
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos 2017-10-01
Series:Revista Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312017000100253&tlng=en
_version_ 1819284105083224064
author Anderson Cordeiro Charles
Anderson Amendoeira Namen
Pedro Paulo Gomes Watts Rodrigues
author_facet Anderson Cordeiro Charles
Anderson Amendoeira Namen
Pedro Paulo Gomes Watts Rodrigues
author_sort Anderson Cordeiro Charles
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT This paper presents the application of data mining techniques for pattern identification obtained from the analysis of meteorological variables and their correlation with the occurrence of intense rainfall. The used data were collected between 2008 and 2012 by the surface meteorological station of the Polytechnic Institute of Rio de Janeiro State University, located in Nova Friburgo - RJ, Brazil. The main objective is the automatic prediction related to extreme precipitation events surrounding the meteorological station location one hour prior its occurrence. Classification models were developed based on decision trees and artificial neural networks. The steps of consistency analysis, treatment and data conversion, as well as the computational models used are described, and some metrics are compared in order to identify their effectiveness. The results obtained for the most accurate model presented a rate of 82. 9% of hits related to the prediction of rainfall equal to or greater than 10 mm h-1 one hour prior its occurrence. The results indicate the possibility of using this work to predict risk events in the study region.
first_indexed 2024-12-24T01:42:05Z
format Article
id doaj.art-f833ae1ec1904fc183cd4835ea60a945
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2318-0331
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-24T01:42:05Z
publishDate 2017-10-01
publisher Associação Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos
record_format Article
series Revista Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos
spelling doaj.art-f833ae1ec1904fc183cd4835ea60a9452022-12-21T17:22:00ZengAssociação Brasileira de Recursos HídricosRevista Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos2318-03312017-10-012210.1590/2318-0331.0217170029Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological stationAnderson Cordeiro CharlesAnderson Amendoeira NamenPedro Paulo Gomes Watts RodriguesABSTRACT This paper presents the application of data mining techniques for pattern identification obtained from the analysis of meteorological variables and their correlation with the occurrence of intense rainfall. The used data were collected between 2008 and 2012 by the surface meteorological station of the Polytechnic Institute of Rio de Janeiro State University, located in Nova Friburgo - RJ, Brazil. The main objective is the automatic prediction related to extreme precipitation events surrounding the meteorological station location one hour prior its occurrence. Classification models were developed based on decision trees and artificial neural networks. The steps of consistency analysis, treatment and data conversion, as well as the computational models used are described, and some metrics are compared in order to identify their effectiveness. The results obtained for the most accurate model presented a rate of 82. 9% of hits related to the prediction of rainfall equal to or greater than 10 mm h-1 one hour prior its occurrence. The results indicate the possibility of using this work to predict risk events in the study region.http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312017000100253&tlng=enData miningClimate predictionSurface meteorological station
spellingShingle Anderson Cordeiro Charles
Anderson Amendoeira Namen
Pedro Paulo Gomes Watts Rodrigues
Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station
Revista Brasileira de Recursos Hídricos
Data mining
Climate prediction
Surface meteorological station
title Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station
title_full Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station
title_fullStr Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station
title_full_unstemmed Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station
title_short Comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station
title_sort comparison of data mining models applied to a surface meteorological station
topic Data mining
Climate prediction
Surface meteorological station
url http://www.scielo.br/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2318-03312017000100253&tlng=en
work_keys_str_mv AT andersoncordeirocharles comparisonofdataminingmodelsappliedtoasurfacemeteorologicalstation
AT andersonamendoeiranamen comparisonofdataminingmodelsappliedtoasurfacemeteorologicalstation
AT pedropaulogomeswattsrodrigues comparisonofdataminingmodelsappliedtoasurfacemeteorologicalstation