Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.

The global shift towards diets high in sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) is linked to higher prevalence of obesity, diabetes and most other non-communicable diseases. In Colombia, one out of every two people was overweight or obese by 2010. This study estimates price-elasticities from a Quadratic Alm...

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Main Authors: Juan Carlos Caro, Shu Wen Ng, Ricardo Bonilla, Jorge Tovar, Barry M Popkin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2017-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5737888?pdf=render
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author Juan Carlos Caro
Shu Wen Ng
Ricardo Bonilla
Jorge Tovar
Barry M Popkin
author_facet Juan Carlos Caro
Shu Wen Ng
Ricardo Bonilla
Jorge Tovar
Barry M Popkin
author_sort Juan Carlos Caro
collection DOAJ
description The global shift towards diets high in sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) is linked to higher prevalence of obesity, diabetes and most other non-communicable diseases. In Colombia, one out of every two people was overweight or obese by 2010. This study estimates price-elasticities from a Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System model, using the 2006-2007 Colombian Income and Expenditure survey. The food groups that were jointly considered were: unsweetened unflavored milks; coffee and tea; sugar sweetened beverages (SSBs); sweets and candies (including sugar); dairy products; meats and animal-based products; grains based staples; fruits and vegetables; and condiments and snacks. We take into account the high proportion of households not purchasing specific food and beverage groups (censored data) and endogeneity on both prices (as unit values) and total expenditure. Unhealthy beverages are price-elastic (-1.61 for SSBs) meaning that the change in consumption is proportionally larger with respect to a change in price. Also, there is a high complementarity among SSBs and major food groups (grains, meats and fruits and vegetables). In Colombia, the design of a meaningful tax to influence healthier diets is a next critical step. This study also shows that a tax of 20% on SSBs should prove to be effective, and can yield revenues of about 1% of the Colombian government's total annual fiscal revenue, which can potentially be directed towards public health promotion and investments.
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spelling doaj.art-f83bdac4369b4ac696ceb9f88604ddf82022-12-21T19:57:20ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032017-01-011212e018902610.1371/journal.pone.0189026Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.Juan Carlos CaroShu Wen NgRicardo BonillaJorge TovarBarry M PopkinThe global shift towards diets high in sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) is linked to higher prevalence of obesity, diabetes and most other non-communicable diseases. In Colombia, one out of every two people was overweight or obese by 2010. This study estimates price-elasticities from a Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System model, using the 2006-2007 Colombian Income and Expenditure survey. The food groups that were jointly considered were: unsweetened unflavored milks; coffee and tea; sugar sweetened beverages (SSBs); sweets and candies (including sugar); dairy products; meats and animal-based products; grains based staples; fruits and vegetables; and condiments and snacks. We take into account the high proportion of households not purchasing specific food and beverage groups (censored data) and endogeneity on both prices (as unit values) and total expenditure. Unhealthy beverages are price-elastic (-1.61 for SSBs) meaning that the change in consumption is proportionally larger with respect to a change in price. Also, there is a high complementarity among SSBs and major food groups (grains, meats and fruits and vegetables). In Colombia, the design of a meaningful tax to influence healthier diets is a next critical step. This study also shows that a tax of 20% on SSBs should prove to be effective, and can yield revenues of about 1% of the Colombian government's total annual fiscal revenue, which can potentially be directed towards public health promotion and investments.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5737888?pdf=render
spellingShingle Juan Carlos Caro
Shu Wen Ng
Ricardo Bonilla
Jorge Tovar
Barry M Popkin
Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.
PLoS ONE
title Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.
title_full Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.
title_fullStr Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.
title_full_unstemmed Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.
title_short Sugary drinks taxation, projected consumption and fiscal revenues in Colombia: Evidence from a QUAIDS model.
title_sort sugary drinks taxation projected consumption and fiscal revenues in colombia evidence from a quaids model
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5737888?pdf=render
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