Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study
Driving anger, called "road rage", has gradually become universal phenomenon nowadays, which has been a concern to traffic management authorities. It is necessary to figure out impacting degree of the influencing factors on driving anger for taking the corresponding intervening measures. F...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek
2021-01-01
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Series: | Tehnički Vjesnik |
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Online Access: | https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/380241 |
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author | Ping Wan Lixin Yan Shan Lu* |
author_facet | Ping Wan Lixin Yan Shan Lu* |
author_sort | Ping Wan |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Driving anger, called "road rage", has gradually become universal phenomenon nowadays, which has been a concern to traffic management authorities. It is necessary to figure out impacting degree of the influencing factors on driving anger for taking the corresponding intervening measures. Forty drivers were enrolled to conduct naturalistic experiments on a busy route in Wuhan, China, where drivers' anger can be induced by various incentive situations including jaywalking, weaving/cutting in line, traffic congestion and red light with extra paid if completing the experiment ahead of reference time. According to behavioral theory and disaggregation theory, the influencing factors including the incentive situations and personal attributes (i.e. gender, age, temperament) were determined for proposing driving anger prediction model based on MNL (multinomial logit). Then, the sensitivity of each influencing factor on driving anger was analyzed by elasticity theory on the basis of the proposed model. The result indicates that age, temperament and illegal behaviors from surrounding people are decisive influencing factors to driving anger sates with different intensity because their average elasticity values for none anger (neutral), low anger, medium anger, high anger are 1.254, 2.713, 2.914, respectively, which are all bigger than 1. Moreover, the accuracy of the proposed model is 78.30%. The results can provide theoretical support for developing key monitoring or targeted intervention to deal with the decisive influencing factors for traffic management authorities. |
first_indexed | 2024-04-24T09:15:31Z |
format | Article |
id | doaj.art-f8775743bdf4484d8967f4477ab8b77f |
institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1330-3651 1848-6339 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T09:15:31Z |
publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
publisher | Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek |
record_format | Article |
series | Tehnički Vjesnik |
spelling | doaj.art-f8775743bdf4484d8967f4477ab8b77f2024-04-15T17:10:00ZengFaculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in OsijekTehnički Vjesnik1330-36511848-63392021-01-012851654166610.17559/TV-20210601103911Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental StudyPing Wan0Lixin Yan1Shan Lu*2School of Transportation and Logistics, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang, 330013, ChinaSchool of Transportation and Logistics, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang, 330013, ChinaInstitute of Intelligence Science and Engineering, Shenzhen Polytechnic, Shenzhen, 518055, ChinaDriving anger, called "road rage", has gradually become universal phenomenon nowadays, which has been a concern to traffic management authorities. It is necessary to figure out impacting degree of the influencing factors on driving anger for taking the corresponding intervening measures. Forty drivers were enrolled to conduct naturalistic experiments on a busy route in Wuhan, China, where drivers' anger can be induced by various incentive situations including jaywalking, weaving/cutting in line, traffic congestion and red light with extra paid if completing the experiment ahead of reference time. According to behavioral theory and disaggregation theory, the influencing factors including the incentive situations and personal attributes (i.e. gender, age, temperament) were determined for proposing driving anger prediction model based on MNL (multinomial logit). Then, the sensitivity of each influencing factor on driving anger was analyzed by elasticity theory on the basis of the proposed model. The result indicates that age, temperament and illegal behaviors from surrounding people are decisive influencing factors to driving anger sates with different intensity because their average elasticity values for none anger (neutral), low anger, medium anger, high anger are 1.254, 2.713, 2.914, respectively, which are all bigger than 1. Moreover, the accuracy of the proposed model is 78.30%. The results can provide theoretical support for developing key monitoring or targeted intervention to deal with the decisive influencing factors for traffic management authorities.https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/380241driving angerincentive factorsMNLnaturalistic experimentpersonal attributes |
spellingShingle | Ping Wan Lixin Yan Shan Lu* Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study Tehnički Vjesnik driving anger incentive factors MNL naturalistic experiment personal attributes |
title | Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study |
title_full | Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study |
title_fullStr | Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study |
title_full_unstemmed | Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study |
title_short | Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study |
title_sort | sensitivity analysis of incentive situations and personal attributes to driving anger based on mnl model a naturalistic experimental study |
topic | driving anger incentive factors MNL naturalistic experiment personal attributes |
url | https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/380241 |
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