Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study

Driving anger, called "road rage", has gradually become universal phenomenon nowadays, which has been a concern to traffic management authorities. It is necessary to figure out impacting degree of the influencing factors on driving anger for taking the corresponding intervening measures. F...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Ping Wan, Lixin Yan, Shan Lu*
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek 2021-01-01
Series:Tehnički Vjesnik
Subjects:
Online Access:https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/380241
_version_ 1827282279539408896
author Ping Wan
Lixin Yan
Shan Lu*
author_facet Ping Wan
Lixin Yan
Shan Lu*
author_sort Ping Wan
collection DOAJ
description Driving anger, called "road rage", has gradually become universal phenomenon nowadays, which has been a concern to traffic management authorities. It is necessary to figure out impacting degree of the influencing factors on driving anger for taking the corresponding intervening measures. Forty drivers were enrolled to conduct naturalistic experiments on a busy route in Wuhan, China, where drivers' anger can be induced by various incentive situations including jaywalking, weaving/cutting in line, traffic congestion and red light with extra paid if completing the experiment ahead of reference time. According to behavioral theory and disaggregation theory, the influencing factors including the incentive situations and personal attributes (i.e. gender, age, temperament) were determined for proposing driving anger prediction model based on MNL (multinomial logit). Then, the sensitivity of each influencing factor on driving anger was analyzed by elasticity theory on the basis of the proposed model. The result indicates that age, temperament and illegal behaviors from surrounding people are decisive influencing factors to driving anger sates with different intensity because their average elasticity values for none anger (neutral), low anger, medium anger, high anger are 1.254, 2.713, 2.914, respectively, which are all bigger than 1. Moreover, the accuracy of the proposed model is 78.30%. The results can provide theoretical support for developing key monitoring or targeted intervention to deal with the decisive influencing factors for traffic management authorities.
first_indexed 2024-04-24T09:15:31Z
format Article
id doaj.art-f8775743bdf4484d8967f4477ab8b77f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1330-3651
1848-6339
language English
last_indexed 2024-04-24T09:15:31Z
publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Faculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in Osijek
record_format Article
series Tehnički Vjesnik
spelling doaj.art-f8775743bdf4484d8967f4477ab8b77f2024-04-15T17:10:00ZengFaculty of Mechanical Engineering in Slavonski Brod, Faculty of Electrical Engineering in Osijek, Faculty of Civil Engineering in OsijekTehnički Vjesnik1330-36511848-63392021-01-012851654166610.17559/TV-20210601103911Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental StudyPing Wan0Lixin Yan1Shan Lu*2School of Transportation and Logistics, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang, 330013, ChinaSchool of Transportation and Logistics, East China Jiaotong University, Nanchang, 330013, ChinaInstitute of Intelligence Science and Engineering, Shenzhen Polytechnic, Shenzhen, 518055, ChinaDriving anger, called "road rage", has gradually become universal phenomenon nowadays, which has been a concern to traffic management authorities. It is necessary to figure out impacting degree of the influencing factors on driving anger for taking the corresponding intervening measures. Forty drivers were enrolled to conduct naturalistic experiments on a busy route in Wuhan, China, where drivers' anger can be induced by various incentive situations including jaywalking, weaving/cutting in line, traffic congestion and red light with extra paid if completing the experiment ahead of reference time. According to behavioral theory and disaggregation theory, the influencing factors including the incentive situations and personal attributes (i.e. gender, age, temperament) were determined for proposing driving anger prediction model based on MNL (multinomial logit). Then, the sensitivity of each influencing factor on driving anger was analyzed by elasticity theory on the basis of the proposed model. The result indicates that age, temperament and illegal behaviors from surrounding people are decisive influencing factors to driving anger sates with different intensity because their average elasticity values for none anger (neutral), low anger, medium anger, high anger are 1.254, 2.713, 2.914, respectively, which are all bigger than 1. Moreover, the accuracy of the proposed model is 78.30%. The results can provide theoretical support for developing key monitoring or targeted intervention to deal with the decisive influencing factors for traffic management authorities.https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/380241driving angerincentive factorsMNLnaturalistic experimentpersonal attributes
spellingShingle Ping Wan
Lixin Yan
Shan Lu*
Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study
Tehnički Vjesnik
driving anger
incentive factors
MNL
naturalistic experiment
personal attributes
title Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study
title_full Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study
title_fullStr Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study
title_full_unstemmed Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study
title_short Sensitivity Analysis of Incentive Situations and Personal Attributes to Driving Anger Based on MNL Model: A Naturalistic Experimental Study
title_sort sensitivity analysis of incentive situations and personal attributes to driving anger based on mnl model a naturalistic experimental study
topic driving anger
incentive factors
MNL
naturalistic experiment
personal attributes
url https://hrcak.srce.hr/file/380241
work_keys_str_mv AT pingwan sensitivityanalysisofincentivesituationsandpersonalattributestodrivingangerbasedonmnlmodelanaturalisticexperimentalstudy
AT lixinyan sensitivityanalysisofincentivesituationsandpersonalattributestodrivingangerbasedonmnlmodelanaturalisticexperimentalstudy
AT shanlu sensitivityanalysisofincentivesituationsandpersonalattributestodrivingangerbasedonmnlmodelanaturalisticexperimentalstudy