Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005–2030: technical mitigation potentials and costs

This paper presents estimates of current and future global anthropogenic methane emissions, their technical mitigation potential and associated costs for the period 2005 to 2030. The analysis uses the GAINS model framework to estimate emissions, mitigation potentials and costs for all major sources...

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Main Author: L. Höglund-Isaksson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2012-10-01
Series:Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
Online Access:http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/9079/2012/acp-12-9079-2012.pdf
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author L. Höglund-Isaksson
author_facet L. Höglund-Isaksson
author_sort L. Höglund-Isaksson
collection DOAJ
description This paper presents estimates of current and future global anthropogenic methane emissions, their technical mitigation potential and associated costs for the period 2005 to 2030. The analysis uses the GAINS model framework to estimate emissions, mitigation potentials and costs for all major sources of anthropogenic methane for 83 countries/regions, which are aggregated to produce global estimates. Global emissions are estimated at 323 Mt methane in 2005, with an expected increase to 414 Mt methane in 2030. The technical mitigation potential is estimated at 195 Mt methane in 2030, whereof about 80 percent is found attainable at a marginal cost less than 20 Euro t<sup>−1</sup> CO<sub>2</sub>eq when using a social planner cost perspective. With a private investor cost perspective, the corresponding fraction is only 30 percent. Major uncertainty sources in emission estimates are identified and discussed.
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spelling doaj.art-f8921ba6e3dc4d34b18f5149e53a73aa2022-12-22T00:34:01ZengCopernicus PublicationsAtmospheric Chemistry and Physics1680-73161680-73242012-10-0112199079909610.5194/acp-12-9079-2012Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005&ndash;2030: technical mitigation potentials and costsL. Höglund-IsakssonThis paper presents estimates of current and future global anthropogenic methane emissions, their technical mitigation potential and associated costs for the period 2005 to 2030. The analysis uses the GAINS model framework to estimate emissions, mitigation potentials and costs for all major sources of anthropogenic methane for 83 countries/regions, which are aggregated to produce global estimates. Global emissions are estimated at 323 Mt methane in 2005, with an expected increase to 414 Mt methane in 2030. The technical mitigation potential is estimated at 195 Mt methane in 2030, whereof about 80 percent is found attainable at a marginal cost less than 20 Euro t<sup>−1</sup> CO<sub>2</sub>eq when using a social planner cost perspective. With a private investor cost perspective, the corresponding fraction is only 30 percent. Major uncertainty sources in emission estimates are identified and discussed.http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/9079/2012/acp-12-9079-2012.pdf
spellingShingle L. Höglund-Isaksson
Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005&ndash;2030: technical mitigation potentials and costs
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
title Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005&ndash;2030: technical mitigation potentials and costs
title_full Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005&ndash;2030: technical mitigation potentials and costs
title_fullStr Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005&ndash;2030: technical mitigation potentials and costs
title_full_unstemmed Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005&ndash;2030: technical mitigation potentials and costs
title_short Global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005&ndash;2030: technical mitigation potentials and costs
title_sort global anthropogenic methane emissions 2005 ndash 2030 technical mitigation potentials and costs
url http://www.atmos-chem-phys.net/12/9079/2012/acp-12-9079-2012.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT lhoglundisaksson globalanthropogenicmethaneemissions2005ndash2030technicalmitigationpotentialsandcosts