Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Investment

Our analysis used the monthly data of the average sales price of commodity houses and stock turnover in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange from January 2016 to December 2020. We selected this data to establish a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model using the Granger causality test to investigate the corre...

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Main Author: Sun Xianchao, Huang Chengjie, Tang Zhou, and Li Xianbin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Editorial Department of Contemporary Social Sciences 2022-07-01
Series:Contemporary Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://css.researchcommons.org/journal/vol2022/iss4/11
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author Sun Xianchao, Huang Chengjie, Tang Zhou, and Li Xianbin
author_facet Sun Xianchao, Huang Chengjie, Tang Zhou, and Li Xianbin
author_sort Sun Xianchao, Huang Chengjie, Tang Zhou, and Li Xianbin
collection DOAJ
description Our analysis used the monthly data of the average sales price of commodity houses and stock turnover in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange from January 2016 to December 2020. We selected this data to establish a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model using the Granger causality test to investigate the correlation between the stock market and the real estate market. We found that there is a significant positive correlation between the stock market and the real estate market. We also found that the real estate market price is the one-way Granger cause for the stock market turnover, and that changes in the real estate market price have a significant role in forecasting changes in stock market turnover. Therefore, the linkage between the two markets should be considered in macro regulations, and the impact on one of the markets should be considered when regulating the other
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spelling doaj.art-f898819bc7e94319b7acd0b19d851fba2022-12-22T03:50:09ZengEditorial Department of Contemporary Social SciencesContemporary Social Sciences2096-02122022-07-0110.19873/j.cnki.2096-0212.2022.04.002Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR InvestmentSun Xianchao, Huang Chengjie, Tang Zhou, and Li Xianbin0Sichuan Normal University;Sichuan Academy of Social Sciences Our analysis used the monthly data of the average sales price of commodity houses and stock turnover in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange from January 2016 to December 2020. We selected this data to establish a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model using the Granger causality test to investigate the correlation between the stock market and the real estate market. We found that there is a significant positive correlation between the stock market and the real estate market. We also found that the real estate market price is the one-way Granger cause for the stock market turnover, and that changes in the real estate market price have a significant role in forecasting changes in stock market turnover. Therefore, the linkage between the two markets should be considered in macro regulations, and the impact on one of the markets should be considered when regulating the otherhttps://css.researchcommons.org/journal/vol2022/iss4/11stock market turnoverreal estate pricesvar modelgranger causality test
spellingShingle Sun Xianchao, Huang Chengjie, Tang Zhou, and Li Xianbin
Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Investment
Contemporary Social Sciences
stock market turnover
real estate prices
var model
granger causality test
title Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Investment
title_full Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Investment
title_fullStr Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Investment
title_full_unstemmed Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Investment
title_short Stock Market Turnover and China’s Real Estate Market Price: An Empirical Study Based on VAR Investment
title_sort stock market turnover and china s real estate market price an empirical study based on var investment
topic stock market turnover
real estate prices
var model
granger causality test
url https://css.researchcommons.org/journal/vol2022/iss4/11
work_keys_str_mv AT sunxianchaohuangchengjietangzhouandlixianbin stockmarketturnoverandchinasrealestatemarketpriceanempiricalstudybasedonvarinvestment