An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of Iran

The main goal of this paper is to derive an optimal rule for monetary policy in Iran. To do so, we estimate the monetary transmission equations and derive the optimal rule by using the dynamic programming method. Our dynamic optimization problem is to minimize the central bank's loss function s...

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Main Authors: Morteza Khorsandi, Karim Eslamloueyan, Hossein Zonnoor
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2012-06-01
Series:فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_2828_84b7bac7111422663adc44299485b633.pdf
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author Morteza Khorsandi
Karim Eslamloueyan
Hossein Zonnoor
author_facet Morteza Khorsandi
Karim Eslamloueyan
Hossein Zonnoor
author_sort Morteza Khorsandi
collection DOAJ
description The main goal of this paper is to derive an optimal rule for monetary policy in Iran. To do so, we estimate the monetary transmission equations and derive the optimal rule by using the dynamic programming method. Our dynamic optimization problem is to minimize the central bank's loss function subject to the transmission mechanism equations. We have modified our loss function to include inflation persistence as well. Using the growth rate in broad definition of money, M2 as our control variable, we estimate the transmission mechanism equations and derive the optimal monetary rule. Our findings indicate that the optimal monetary policy rule can decrease welfare losses and hence is a welfare improving policy. This means that the use of monetary rule is superior to discretionary policy in the case of Iran.
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spelling doaj.art-f899bf5913484cb5a5df87b1749264ca2024-01-02T10:28:58ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452012-06-01175143702828An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of IranMorteza Khorsandi0Karim Eslamloueyan1Hossein Zonnoor2Ph.D in Economics, Faculty of Economics, Allameh Tabatabaie UniversityAssociate Professor in Economic, Shiraz University UniversityAssociate Professor in Economic, Shiraz University UniversityThe main goal of this paper is to derive an optimal rule for monetary policy in Iran. To do so, we estimate the monetary transmission equations and derive the optimal rule by using the dynamic programming method. Our dynamic optimization problem is to minimize the central bank's loss function subject to the transmission mechanism equations. We have modified our loss function to include inflation persistence as well. Using the growth rate in broad definition of money, M2 as our control variable, we estimate the transmission mechanism equations and derive the optimal monetary rule. Our findings indicate that the optimal monetary policy rule can decrease welfare losses and hence is a welfare improving policy. This means that the use of monetary rule is superior to discretionary policy in the case of Iran.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_2828_84b7bac7111422663adc44299485b633.pdfrule versus discretionoptimal monetary policy ruleinflation persistencedynamic programmingiran
spellingShingle Morteza Khorsandi
Karim Eslamloueyan
Hossein Zonnoor
An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of Iran
فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
rule versus discretion
optimal monetary policy rule
inflation persistence
dynamic programming
iran
title An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of Iran
title_full An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of Iran
title_fullStr An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of Iran
title_full_unstemmed An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of Iran
title_short An Optimal Rule for Monetary Policy with Inflation Persistence: The Case of Iran
title_sort optimal rule for monetary policy with inflation persistence the case of iran
topic rule versus discretion
optimal monetary policy rule
inflation persistence
dynamic programming
iran
url https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_2828_84b7bac7111422663adc44299485b633.pdf
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