Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological Reconstructions

Droughts are serious natural disasters that adversely affect water resources, agriculture, the economy, and the environment. Reconstructing historical drought records is necessary to assess the impact of droughts and their evolution and has become a top priority to support and improve sustainable wa...

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Main Authors: Yanping Qu, Xuejun Zhang, Jingyu Zeng, Zhe Li, Juan Lv
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-03-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/5/995
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author Yanping Qu
Xuejun Zhang
Jingyu Zeng
Zhe Li
Juan Lv
author_facet Yanping Qu
Xuejun Zhang
Jingyu Zeng
Zhe Li
Juan Lv
author_sort Yanping Qu
collection DOAJ
description Droughts are serious natural disasters that adversely affect water resources, agriculture, the economy, and the environment. Reconstructing historical drought records is necessary to assess the impact of droughts and their evolution and has become a top priority to support and improve sustainable water management decisions. In this study, we used Shanxi Province as the research area, and meteorological data from the early years of Guangxu in the Qing Dynasty were reconstructed using historical rain and snow records. The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model is driven by the reconstruction of historical meteorological data. The study area’s monthly runoff and soil water sequence from 1875 to 1879 were simulated, and the hydrology and soil of the ancient historical period were reproduced in the absence of data. The results show the following: (1) The idea of reconstructing hydrological parameters using historical data is feasible and the VIC model can be used to study drought characteristics under specific scenarios. (2) The proportions of areas with runoff depths less than 10 mm throughout Shanxi from 1875 to 1879 were 55%, 48%, 58%, 19%, and 30%. The annual runoff depth in each region from 1875 to 1877 was less than 60 mm. The hydrological drought from 1875 to 1877 was very serious, and the area covered by the drought was relatively large. (3) The annual average soil water content of various regions was stable between 150 and 510 mm from 1875 to 1879. The soil water content had no apparent interannual variation. The area with soil water content less than 180 mm accounted for ratios as high as 31%. This research provides new ideas for ancient drought research and a scientific basis for regional drought prevention, mitigation, and water resources management, and ensures the orderly progress of agricultural production activities.
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spelling doaj.art-f8a1bafd82d342098404853c1c8d98022023-11-17T08:56:02ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-03-0115599510.3390/w15050995Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological ReconstructionsYanping Qu0Xuejun Zhang1Jingyu Zeng2Zhe Li3Juan Lv4Research Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaResearch Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaKey Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of Education, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaResearch Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaResearch Center on Flood and Drought Disaster Reduction, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaDroughts are serious natural disasters that adversely affect water resources, agriculture, the economy, and the environment. Reconstructing historical drought records is necessary to assess the impact of droughts and their evolution and has become a top priority to support and improve sustainable water management decisions. In this study, we used Shanxi Province as the research area, and meteorological data from the early years of Guangxu in the Qing Dynasty were reconstructed using historical rain and snow records. The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model is driven by the reconstruction of historical meteorological data. The study area’s monthly runoff and soil water sequence from 1875 to 1879 were simulated, and the hydrology and soil of the ancient historical period were reproduced in the absence of data. The results show the following: (1) The idea of reconstructing hydrological parameters using historical data is feasible and the VIC model can be used to study drought characteristics under specific scenarios. (2) The proportions of areas with runoff depths less than 10 mm throughout Shanxi from 1875 to 1879 were 55%, 48%, 58%, 19%, and 30%. The annual runoff depth in each region from 1875 to 1877 was less than 60 mm. The hydrological drought from 1875 to 1877 was very serious, and the area covered by the drought was relatively large. (3) The annual average soil water content of various regions was stable between 150 and 510 mm from 1875 to 1879. The soil water content had no apparent interannual variation. The area with soil water content less than 180 mm accounted for ratios as high as 31%. This research provides new ideas for ancient drought research and a scientific basis for regional drought prevention, mitigation, and water resources management, and ensures the orderly progress of agricultural production activities.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/5/995historical droughtreconstructionrunoffsoil waterQing Palace Archives
spellingShingle Yanping Qu
Xuejun Zhang
Jingyu Zeng
Zhe Li
Juan Lv
Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological Reconstructions
Water
historical drought
reconstruction
runoff
soil water
Qing Palace Archives
title Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological Reconstructions
title_full Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological Reconstructions
title_fullStr Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological Reconstructions
title_full_unstemmed Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological Reconstructions
title_short Historical Drought Events in the Early Years of Qing Dynasty in Shanxi Based on Hydrological Reconstructions
title_sort historical drought events in the early years of qing dynasty in shanxi based on hydrological reconstructions
topic historical drought
reconstruction
runoff
soil water
Qing Palace Archives
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/5/995
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AT jingyuzeng historicaldroughteventsintheearlyyearsofqingdynastyinshanxibasedonhydrologicalreconstructions
AT zheli historicaldroughteventsintheearlyyearsofqingdynastyinshanxibasedonhydrologicalreconstructions
AT juanlv historicaldroughteventsintheearlyyearsofqingdynastyinshanxibasedonhydrologicalreconstructions