Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural Networks

In this paper, we investigate mathematical models of meteorological forecasting based on the work of neural networks, which allow us to calculate presumptive meteorological parameters of the desired location on the basis of previous meteorological data. A new method of grouping neural networks to ob...

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Main Authors: Boris V. Malozyomov, Nikita V. Martyushev, Svetlana N. Sorokova, Egor A. Efremenkov, Denis V. Valuev, Mengxu Qi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-02-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/3/480
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author Boris V. Malozyomov
Nikita V. Martyushev
Svetlana N. Sorokova
Egor A. Efremenkov
Denis V. Valuev
Mengxu Qi
author_facet Boris V. Malozyomov
Nikita V. Martyushev
Svetlana N. Sorokova
Egor A. Efremenkov
Denis V. Valuev
Mengxu Qi
author_sort Boris V. Malozyomov
collection DOAJ
description In this paper, we investigate mathematical models of meteorological forecasting based on the work of neural networks, which allow us to calculate presumptive meteorological parameters of the desired location on the basis of previous meteorological data. A new method of grouping neural networks to obtain a more accurate output result is proposed. An algorithm is presented, based on which the most accurate meteorological forecast was obtained based on the results of the study. This algorithm can be used in a wide range of situations, such as obtaining data for the operation of equipment in a given location and studying meteorological parameters of the location. To build this model, we used data obtained from personal weather stations of the Weather Underground company and the US National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD). Also, a Google remote learning machine was used to compare the results with existing products on the market. The algorithm for building the forecast model covered several locations across the US in order to compare its performance in different weather zones. Different methods of training the machine to produce the most effective weather forecast result were also considered.
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spelling doaj.art-f8b2c3f890a44c379f2934fad451361e2024-02-09T15:18:30ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902024-02-0112348010.3390/math12030480Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural NetworksBoris V. Malozyomov0Nikita V. Martyushev1Svetlana N. Sorokova2Egor A. Efremenkov3Denis V. Valuev4Mengxu Qi5Department of Electrotechnical Complexes, Novosibirsk State Technical University, 630073 Novosibirsk, RussiaDepartment of Materials Science, Tomsk Polytechnic University, 634050 Tomsk, RussiaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Tomsk Polytechnic University, 634050 Tomsk, RussiaDepartment of Mechanical Engineering, Tomsk Polytechnic University, 634050 Tomsk, RussiaYurga Technological Institute (Branch), Tomsk Polytechnic University, 652055 Yurga, RussiaDepartment of Materials Science, Tomsk Polytechnic University, 634050 Tomsk, RussiaIn this paper, we investigate mathematical models of meteorological forecasting based on the work of neural networks, which allow us to calculate presumptive meteorological parameters of the desired location on the basis of previous meteorological data. A new method of grouping neural networks to obtain a more accurate output result is proposed. An algorithm is presented, based on which the most accurate meteorological forecast was obtained based on the results of the study. This algorithm can be used in a wide range of situations, such as obtaining data for the operation of equipment in a given location and studying meteorological parameters of the location. To build this model, we used data obtained from personal weather stations of the Weather Underground company and the US National Digital Forecast Database (NDFD). Also, a Google remote learning machine was used to compare the results with existing products on the market. The algorithm for building the forecast model covered several locations across the US in order to compare its performance in different weather zones. Different methods of training the machine to produce the most effective weather forecast result were also considered.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/3/480weather mathematical modelforecastneural networkalgorithm for building weather forecasts
spellingShingle Boris V. Malozyomov
Nikita V. Martyushev
Svetlana N. Sorokova
Egor A. Efremenkov
Denis V. Valuev
Mengxu Qi
Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural Networks
Mathematics
weather mathematical model
forecast
neural network
algorithm for building weather forecasts
title Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural Networks
title_full Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural Networks
title_fullStr Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural Networks
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural Networks
title_short Analysis of a Predictive Mathematical Model of Weather Changes Based on Neural Networks
title_sort analysis of a predictive mathematical model of weather changes based on neural networks
topic weather mathematical model
forecast
neural network
algorithm for building weather forecasts
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/12/3/480
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