Stochastic Dynamics of a Virus Variant Epidemic Model with Double Inoculations

In this paper, we establish a random epidemic model with double vaccination and spontaneous variation of the virus. Firstly, we prove the global existence and uniqueness of positive solutions for a stochastic epidemic model. Secondly, we prove the threshold <inline-formula><math xmlns="...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hui Chen, Xuewen Tan, Jun Wang, Wenjie Qin, Wenhui Luo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-04-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/7/1712
Description
Summary:In this paper, we establish a random epidemic model with double vaccination and spontaneous variation of the virus. Firstly, we prove the global existence and uniqueness of positive solutions for a stochastic epidemic model. Secondly, we prove the threshold <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><msubsup><mi>R</mi><mn>0</mn><mo>*</mo></msubsup></semantics></math></inline-formula> can be used to control the stochastic dynamics of the model. If <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msubsup><mi>R</mi><mn>0</mn><mo>*</mo></msubsup><mo><</mo><mn>0</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, the disease will be extinct with probability 1; whereas if <inline-formula><math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" display="inline"><semantics><mrow><msubsup><mi>R</mi><mn>0</mn><mo>*</mo></msubsup><mo>></mo><mn>0</mn></mrow></semantics></math></inline-formula>, the disease can almost certainly continue to exist, and there is a unique stable distribution. Finally, we give some numerical examples to verify our theoretical results. Most of the existing studies prove the stochastic dynamics of the model by constructing Lyapunov functions. However, the construction of a Lyapunov function of higher-order models is extremely complex, so this method is not applicable to all models. In this paper, we use the definition method suitable for more models to prove the stationary distribution. Most of the stochastic infectious disease models studied now are second-order or third-order, and cannot accurately describe infectious diseases. In order to solve this kind of problem, this paper adopts a higher price five-order model.
ISSN:2227-7390