Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for India

Ninety climate models, from four consortiums—CMIP5, CMIP6, NEX-GDDP, and CORDEX—are evaluated for the simulation of seasonal temperature and precipitation over India, and subsequently, using the best ones, their future projections are made for the country. NEX-GDDP is found to be the best performer...

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Main Authors: Popat Salunke, Narayan Prasad Keshri, Saroj Kanta Mishra, S. K. Dash
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-02-01
Series:Frontiers in Climate
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1069994/full
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author Popat Salunke
Narayan Prasad Keshri
Saroj Kanta Mishra
S. K. Dash
author_facet Popat Salunke
Narayan Prasad Keshri
Saroj Kanta Mishra
S. K. Dash
author_sort Popat Salunke
collection DOAJ
description Ninety climate models, from four consortiums—CMIP5, CMIP6, NEX-GDDP, and CORDEX—are evaluated for the simulation of seasonal temperature and precipitation over India, and subsequently, using the best ones, their future projections are made for the country. NEX-GDDP is found to be the best performer for the simulation of surface air temperature for all the four seasons. For the simulation of precipitation, CMIP6 performs the best in DJF and MAM seasons, while NEX-GDDP performs the best in JJAS and ON seasons. The selected models suggest that temperature will increase over the entire Indian landmass, relatively more over the north-western part of the country. Furthermore, the rate of warming will be more in winter than in summer. The models also suggest that precipitation will increase over central eastern and north-eastern India in the monsoon season, and over peninsular India during post-monsoon months.
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spelling doaj.art-f93cbece9b1a4c18b8b42932f422aff72023-02-24T07:59:56ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Climate2624-95532023-02-01510.3389/fclim.2023.10699941069994Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for IndiaPopat SalunkeNarayan Prasad KeshriSaroj Kanta MishraS. K. DashNinety climate models, from four consortiums—CMIP5, CMIP6, NEX-GDDP, and CORDEX—are evaluated for the simulation of seasonal temperature and precipitation over India, and subsequently, using the best ones, their future projections are made for the country. NEX-GDDP is found to be the best performer for the simulation of surface air temperature for all the four seasons. For the simulation of precipitation, CMIP6 performs the best in DJF and MAM seasons, while NEX-GDDP performs the best in JJAS and ON seasons. The selected models suggest that temperature will increase over the entire Indian landmass, relatively more over the north-western part of the country. Furthermore, the rate of warming will be more in winter than in summer. The models also suggest that precipitation will increase over central eastern and north-eastern India in the monsoon season, and over peninsular India during post-monsoon months.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1069994/fullIndian landclimate changemulti-model meanseasonal temperature and precipitationfuture trends
spellingShingle Popat Salunke
Narayan Prasad Keshri
Saroj Kanta Mishra
S. K. Dash
Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for India
Frontiers in Climate
Indian land
climate change
multi-model mean
seasonal temperature and precipitation
future trends
title Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for India
title_full Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for India
title_fullStr Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for India
title_full_unstemmed Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for India
title_short Future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for India
title_sort future projections of seasonal temperature and precipitation for india
topic Indian land
climate change
multi-model mean
seasonal temperature and precipitation
future trends
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fclim.2023.1069994/full
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AT skdash futureprojectionsofseasonaltemperatureandprecipitationforindia