A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method

Coalbed methane development represents a complex system engineering operation that involves complex technology, many links, long cycles, and various risks. If risks are not controlled in a timely and effective manner, project operators may easily cause different levels of casualties, resource waste...

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Main Authors: Wanqing Wang, Shuran Lyu, Yudong Zhang, Shuqi Ma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2019-10-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/20/3931
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author Wanqing Wang
Shuran Lyu
Yudong Zhang
Shuqi Ma
author_facet Wanqing Wang
Shuran Lyu
Yudong Zhang
Shuqi Ma
author_sort Wanqing Wang
collection DOAJ
description Coalbed methane development represents a complex system engineering operation that involves complex technology, many links, long cycles, and various risks. If risks are not controlled in a timely and effective manner, project operators may easily cause different levels of casualties, resource waste and property loss. To evaluate the risk status of coalbed methane development projects, this paper constructs a coalbed methane development risk assessment index system that consists of six first grade indexes and 45 second grade indexes. The weight of each index is calculated based on the structure entropy weight method. Then, a theoretical model for risk assessments of coalbed methane development is established based on the matter-element extension method. Finally, the model is applied to analyze a coalbed methane development project in the southern Qinshui Basin of China. The results show that the overall risk level of the coalbed methane development project is Grade II, indicating that the overall risk of the project is small, but the local risk of the project needs to be rectified in time. The assessment results are consistent with the actual operation of the project, indicating that the established risk assessment model has good applicability and effectiveness.
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spelling doaj.art-f93e05df376143bda76a2d8562d4a2e72022-12-22T04:27:19ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732019-10-011220393110.3390/en12203931en12203931A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension MethodWanqing Wang0Shuran Lyu1Yudong Zhang2Shuqi Ma3School of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, ChinaSchool of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, ChinaInstitute for Public Safety Research, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, ChinaSchool of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, ChinaCoalbed methane development represents a complex system engineering operation that involves complex technology, many links, long cycles, and various risks. If risks are not controlled in a timely and effective manner, project operators may easily cause different levels of casualties, resource waste and property loss. To evaluate the risk status of coalbed methane development projects, this paper constructs a coalbed methane development risk assessment index system that consists of six first grade indexes and 45 second grade indexes. The weight of each index is calculated based on the structure entropy weight method. Then, a theoretical model for risk assessments of coalbed methane development is established based on the matter-element extension method. Finally, the model is applied to analyze a coalbed methane development project in the southern Qinshui Basin of China. The results show that the overall risk level of the coalbed methane development project is Grade II, indicating that the overall risk of the project is small, but the local risk of the project needs to be rectified in time. The assessment results are consistent with the actual operation of the project, indicating that the established risk assessment model has good applicability and effectiveness.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/20/3931coalbed methane developmentrisk assessmentstructural entropy weight methodmatter-element extension method
spellingShingle Wanqing Wang
Shuran Lyu
Yudong Zhang
Shuqi Ma
A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method
Energies
coalbed methane development
risk assessment
structural entropy weight method
matter-element extension method
title A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method
title_full A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method
title_fullStr A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method
title_full_unstemmed A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method
title_short A Risk Assessment Model of Coalbed Methane Development Based on the Matter-Element Extension Method
title_sort risk assessment model of coalbed methane development based on the matter element extension method
topic coalbed methane development
risk assessment
structural entropy weight method
matter-element extension method
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/12/20/3931
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