Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions
Abstract Rapid intensification (RI) is an essential process in the development of strong tropical cyclones and a major challenge in prediction. RI in offshore regions is more threatening to coastal populations and economies. Although much effort has been devoted to studying basin-wide temporal-spati...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Nature Portfolio
2023-08-01
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| Series: | Nature Communications |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40605-2 |
| _version_ | 1827710226865848320 |
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| author | Yi Li Youmin Tang Shuai Wang Ralf Toumi Xiangzhou Song Qiang Wang |
| author_facet | Yi Li Youmin Tang Shuai Wang Ralf Toumi Xiangzhou Song Qiang Wang |
| author_sort | Yi Li |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Rapid intensification (RI) is an essential process in the development of strong tropical cyclones and a major challenge in prediction. RI in offshore regions is more threatening to coastal populations and economies. Although much effort has been devoted to studying basin-wide temporal-spatial fluctuations, variations of global RI events in offshore regions remain uncertain. Here, we show that compared with open oceans, where the annual RI counts do not show significant changes, offshore areas within 400 km of the coastline have experienced a significant increase in RI events, with the count tripling from 1980 to 2020. Furthermore, thermodynamic environments present more favorable conditions for this trend, and climate models show that global ocean warming has enhanced such changes. This work yields an important finding that an increasing threat of RI in coastal regions has occurred in the preceding decades, which may continue under a future warming climate. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T17:34:43Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-f9786b7e58604de88fb3d76e187de121 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2041-1723 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T17:34:43Z |
| publishDate | 2023-08-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Nature Communications |
| spelling | doaj.art-f9786b7e58604de88fb3d76e187de1212023-11-20T09:54:51ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232023-08-011411910.1038/s41467-023-40605-2Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regionsYi Li0Youmin Tang1Shuai Wang2Ralf Toumi3Xiangzhou Song4Qiang Wang5College of Oceanography, Hohai UniversityCollege of Oceanography, Hohai UniversityDepartment of Geography and Spatial Sciences, University of DelawareDepartment of Physics, Imperial College LondonCollege of Oceanography, Hohai UniversityCollege of Oceanography, Hohai UniversityAbstract Rapid intensification (RI) is an essential process in the development of strong tropical cyclones and a major challenge in prediction. RI in offshore regions is more threatening to coastal populations and economies. Although much effort has been devoted to studying basin-wide temporal-spatial fluctuations, variations of global RI events in offshore regions remain uncertain. Here, we show that compared with open oceans, where the annual RI counts do not show significant changes, offshore areas within 400 km of the coastline have experienced a significant increase in RI events, with the count tripling from 1980 to 2020. Furthermore, thermodynamic environments present more favorable conditions for this trend, and climate models show that global ocean warming has enhanced such changes. This work yields an important finding that an increasing threat of RI in coastal regions has occurred in the preceding decades, which may continue under a future warming climate.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40605-2 |
| spellingShingle | Yi Li Youmin Tang Shuai Wang Ralf Toumi Xiangzhou Song Qiang Wang Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions Nature Communications |
| title | Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions |
| title_full | Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions |
| title_fullStr | Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions |
| title_full_unstemmed | Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions |
| title_short | Recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions |
| title_sort | recent increases in tropical cyclone rapid intensification events in global offshore regions |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40605-2 |
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