On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North America
Studies of biodiversity dynamics have been cast on either long (systematics) or short (ecology) time scales, leaving a gap in coverage for moderate time scales of decades to centuries. Large-scale biodiversity information resources now available offer opportunities to fill this gap for many parts of...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
2022-01-01
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| Series: | Avian Research |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2053716622000019 |
| _version_ | 1811177654782525440 |
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| author | Fernando Machado-Stredel Benedictus Freeman Daniel Jiménez-Garcia Marlon E. Cobos Claudia Nuñez-Penichet Laura Jiménez Ed Komp Utku Perktas Ali Khalighifar Kate Ingenloff Walter Tapondjou Thilina de Silva Sumudu Fernando Luis Osorio-Olvera A. Townsend Peterson |
| author_facet | Fernando Machado-Stredel Benedictus Freeman Daniel Jiménez-Garcia Marlon E. Cobos Claudia Nuñez-Penichet Laura Jiménez Ed Komp Utku Perktas Ali Khalighifar Kate Ingenloff Walter Tapondjou Thilina de Silva Sumudu Fernando Luis Osorio-Olvera A. Townsend Peterson |
| author_sort | Fernando Machado-Stredel |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Studies of biodiversity dynamics have been cast on either long (systematics) or short (ecology) time scales, leaving a gap in coverage for moderate time scales of decades to centuries. Large-scale biodiversity information resources now available offer opportunities to fill this gap for many parts of the world via detailed, quantitative comparisons of assemblage composition, particularly for regions without rich time series datasets. We explore the possibility that such changes in avifaunas across the United States and Canada before and after the first three decades of marked global change (i.e., prior to 1980 versus after 2010) can be reconstructed and characterized from existing primary biodiversity data. As an illustration of the potential of this methodology for sites even in regions not as well sampled as the United States and Canada, we also explored changes at a single site in Mexico (Chichén-Itzá). We analyzed two large-scale datasets: one summarizing bird records in the United States and Canada before 1980, and one for the same region after 2010. We used probabilistic inventory completeness analyses to identify sites that have avifaunas that have likely been inventoried more or less completely. We prepared detailed comparisons between the two time periods to analyze species showing distributional changes over the time period analyzed. We identified 139 sites on a 0.05° grid that were demonstrably well-inventoried before 1980 in the United States and Canada, of which 108 were also well-inventoried after 2010. Comparing presence/absence patterns between the two time periods for 601 bird species, we found significant spatial autocorrelation in overall avifaunal turnover (species gained and lost), but not in numbers of species lost. We noted potential northward retractions of ranges of several species with high-latitude (boreal) distributions, while other species showed dominant patterns of population loss, either rangewide (e.g., Tympanuchus cupido) or regionally (e.g., Thryomanes bewickii). We developed linear models to explore a suite of potential drivers of species loss at relatively fine-grained resolutions (<6 km), finding significant effects of precipitation increase, particularly on the eastern border of the United States and Canada. Our exploration of biotic change in Chichén-Itzá included 265 species and showed intriguing losses from the local avifauna (e.g., Patagioenas speciosa), as well as vagrant and recent invasive species in the Yucatán Peninsula. The present work documents both the potential for and the problems involved in an approach integrating primary biodiversity data across time periods. This method potentially allows researchers to assess intermediate-time-scale biodiversity dynamics that can reveal patterns of change in biodiversity-rich regions that lack extensive time-series information. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T06:05:54Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-f981c34a3f6a43e7bf50da9755497d3f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2053-7166 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T06:05:54Z |
| publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
| publisher | KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Avian Research |
| spelling | doaj.art-f981c34a3f6a43e7bf50da9755497d3f2022-12-22T04:41:31ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Avian Research2053-71662022-01-0113100005On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North AmericaFernando Machado-Stredel0Benedictus Freeman1Daniel Jiménez-Garcia2Marlon E. Cobos3Claudia Nuñez-Penichet4Laura Jiménez5Ed Komp6Utku Perktas7Ali Khalighifar8Kate Ingenloff9Walter Tapondjou10Thilina de Silva11Sumudu Fernando12Luis Osorio-Olvera13A. Townsend Peterson14Biodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA; Corresponding author.Biodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USACentro de Agroecología y Ambiente, Instituto de Ciencias, Benemérita Universidad Autónoma de Puebla, Puebla, Puebla, MexicoBiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USAInformation and Telecommunication Technology Center (ITTC), University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USA; Department of Biology (Zoology Section - Biogeography Research Lab.), Faculty of Science, Hacettepe University, Beytepe, Ankara, Turkey; Department of Ornithology, American Museum of Natural History, Central Park West at 79th Street, New York, NY, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USABiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USADepartamento de Ecología de la Biodiversidad, Instituto de Ecología, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Ciudad de México, MéxicoBiodiversity Institute and Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS, USAStudies of biodiversity dynamics have been cast on either long (systematics) or short (ecology) time scales, leaving a gap in coverage for moderate time scales of decades to centuries. Large-scale biodiversity information resources now available offer opportunities to fill this gap for many parts of the world via detailed, quantitative comparisons of assemblage composition, particularly for regions without rich time series datasets. We explore the possibility that such changes in avifaunas across the United States and Canada before and after the first three decades of marked global change (i.e., prior to 1980 versus after 2010) can be reconstructed and characterized from existing primary biodiversity data. As an illustration of the potential of this methodology for sites even in regions not as well sampled as the United States and Canada, we also explored changes at a single site in Mexico (Chichén-Itzá). We analyzed two large-scale datasets: one summarizing bird records in the United States and Canada before 1980, and one for the same region after 2010. We used probabilistic inventory completeness analyses to identify sites that have avifaunas that have likely been inventoried more or less completely. We prepared detailed comparisons between the two time periods to analyze species showing distributional changes over the time period analyzed. We identified 139 sites on a 0.05° grid that were demonstrably well-inventoried before 1980 in the United States and Canada, of which 108 were also well-inventoried after 2010. Comparing presence/absence patterns between the two time periods for 601 bird species, we found significant spatial autocorrelation in overall avifaunal turnover (species gained and lost), but not in numbers of species lost. We noted potential northward retractions of ranges of several species with high-latitude (boreal) distributions, while other species showed dominant patterns of population loss, either rangewide (e.g., Tympanuchus cupido) or regionally (e.g., Thryomanes bewickii). We developed linear models to explore a suite of potential drivers of species loss at relatively fine-grained resolutions (<6 km), finding significant effects of precipitation increase, particularly on the eastern border of the United States and Canada. Our exploration of biotic change in Chichén-Itzá included 265 species and showed intriguing losses from the local avifauna (e.g., Patagioenas speciosa), as well as vagrant and recent invasive species in the Yucatán Peninsula. The present work documents both the potential for and the problems involved in an approach integrating primary biodiversity data across time periods. This method potentially allows researchers to assess intermediate-time-scale biodiversity dynamics that can reveal patterns of change in biodiversity-rich regions that lack extensive time-series information.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2053716622000019Biodiversity dynamicsBirdsClimate changeInventory completenessTime scaleTurnover |
| spellingShingle | Fernando Machado-Stredel Benedictus Freeman Daniel Jiménez-Garcia Marlon E. Cobos Claudia Nuñez-Penichet Laura Jiménez Ed Komp Utku Perktas Ali Khalighifar Kate Ingenloff Walter Tapondjou Thilina de Silva Sumudu Fernando Luis Osorio-Olvera A. Townsend Peterson On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North America Avian Research Biodiversity dynamics Birds Climate change Inventory completeness Time scale Turnover |
| title | On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North America |
| title_full | On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North America |
| title_fullStr | On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North America |
| title_full_unstemmed | On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North America |
| title_short | On the potential of documenting decadal-scale avifaunal change from before-and-after comparisons of museum and observational data across North America |
| title_sort | on the potential of documenting decadal scale avifaunal change from before and after comparisons of museum and observational data across north america |
| topic | Biodiversity dynamics Birds Climate change Inventory completeness Time scale Turnover |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2053716622000019 |
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