Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensemble

The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the major driver of interannual variations of the western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs). Realistic reproduction of ENSO-WNPTC teleconnection in coupled models (CGCMs) is thus crucial for improved seasonal-to-interannual prediction of WNPTC act...

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Main Authors: Jingchan Liu, Chaoxia Yuan, Jing-Jia Luo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2023-05-01
Series:Frontiers in Earth Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1169885/full
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author Jingchan Liu
Chaoxia Yuan
Jing-Jia Luo
author_facet Jingchan Liu
Chaoxia Yuan
Jing-Jia Luo
author_sort Jingchan Liu
collection DOAJ
description The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the major driver of interannual variations of the western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs). Realistic reproduction of ENSO-WNPTC teleconnection in coupled models (CGCMs) is thus crucial for improved seasonal-to-interannual prediction of WNPTC activity. Here, basing on the outputs of six pairs of high-resolution (HR) and low-resolution (LR) CGCMs participating the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA project, we showed that the HR models outperform the LR ones in reproducing the observed increase of TC genesis in the southeastern WNP but the decrease in the northwestern WNP in the developing years of El Niño. The better performance of HR than LR models is on one hand due to the generally increased frequency and variability of TCs in the HR models. On the other hand, the teleconnection of El Niño to the WNP shows a dipole circulation difference between the HR and LR models with an anomalous cyclone in the southeastern WNP and anticyclone in the northwestern WNP, which enhances the dipole TC genesis anomalies in the HR compared to the LR models. The teleconnection difference stems from the westward shift of the ENSO-related SST and convection anomalies in the tropical Pacific in the HR compared to the LR models, which may be ultimately linked to the reduced cold tongue biases in the HR models.
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spelling doaj.art-f9c6e8fbf6c54902b7d54a7d5441bb752023-05-16T05:33:24ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Earth Science2296-64632023-05-011110.3389/feart.2023.11698851169885Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensembleJingchan LiuChaoxia YuanJing-Jia LuoThe El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the major driver of interannual variations of the western North Pacific (WNP) tropical cyclones (TCs). Realistic reproduction of ENSO-WNPTC teleconnection in coupled models (CGCMs) is thus crucial for improved seasonal-to-interannual prediction of WNPTC activity. Here, basing on the outputs of six pairs of high-resolution (HR) and low-resolution (LR) CGCMs participating the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA project, we showed that the HR models outperform the LR ones in reproducing the observed increase of TC genesis in the southeastern WNP but the decrease in the northwestern WNP in the developing years of El Niño. The better performance of HR than LR models is on one hand due to the generally increased frequency and variability of TCs in the HR models. On the other hand, the teleconnection of El Niño to the WNP shows a dipole circulation difference between the HR and LR models with an anomalous cyclone in the southeastern WNP and anticyclone in the northwestern WNP, which enhances the dipole TC genesis anomalies in the HR compared to the LR models. The teleconnection difference stems from the westward shift of the ENSO-related SST and convection anomalies in the tropical Pacific in the HR compared to the LR models, which may be ultimately linked to the reduced cold tongue biases in the HR models.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1169885/fullENSOwestern North Pacific tropical cyclonesHighResMIP-PRIMAVERAcoupled model resolutioncold tongue bias
spellingShingle Jingchan Liu
Chaoxia Yuan
Jing-Jia Luo
Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensemble
Frontiers in Earth Science
ENSO
western North Pacific tropical cyclones
HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA
coupled model resolution
cold tongue bias
title Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensemble
title_full Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensemble
title_fullStr Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensemble
title_full_unstemmed Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensemble
title_short Impacts of model resolution on responses of western North Pacific tropical cyclones to ENSO in the HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA ensemble
title_sort impacts of model resolution on responses of western north pacific tropical cyclones to enso in the highresmip primavera ensemble
topic ENSO
western North Pacific tropical cyclones
HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA
coupled model resolution
cold tongue bias
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2023.1169885/full
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