Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic

<b>Background</b>: Influenza mortality has dramatically decreased in France since the 1950s. Annual death rates peaked during two pandemics: the Asian flu (1956-1957) and the Hong Kong flu (1969-1970). <b>Objective</b>: This study's objective is to evaluate whether th...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Florian Bonnet, Josselin Thuilliez, Hippolyte d'Albis
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research 2022-10-01
Series:Demographic Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/47/19
Description
Summary:<b>Background</b>: Influenza mortality has dramatically decreased in France since the 1950s. Annual death rates peaked during two pandemics: the Asian flu (1956-1957) and the Hong Kong flu (1969-1970). <b>Objective</b>: This study's objective is to evaluate whether the second pandemic created a structural change in the dynamics of influenza mortality in France. <b>Methods</b>: We employ a new database on influenza mortality since 1950 at the subnational level (90 geographic areas) to estimate statistical models to find out whether a structural change happened and to explain the differences in mortality rates across geographic areas. Influenza mortality increased between 1950 and 1969 and decreased from 1970 onward. <b>Conclusions</b>: The Hong Kong flu is identified as the event of a structural break. After the break, geographical differences are less explained by regional characteristics such as income, density, or aging ratio. The Hong Kong flu was found to be associated with a major change in influenza mortality in France. Change in health practices and policies induced a decline in mortality that started in 1970, just after the pandemic. The health benefits are notably important for senior citizens and for the poorest regions. <b>Contribution</b>: We employ a new database on influenza mortality since 1950 at the subnational level (90 geographic areas). Change in health practices and policies induced a decline in mortality that started in 1970, just after the pandemics. The health benefits are notably important for senior citizens and for the poorest regions.
ISSN:1435-9871