Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic
<b>Background</b>: Influenza mortality has dramatically decreased in France since the 1950s. Annual death rates peaked during two pandemics: the Asian flu (1956-1957) and the Hong Kong flu (1969-1970). <b>Objective</b>: This study's objective is to evaluate whether th...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
2022-10-01
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| Series: | Demographic Research |
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| Online Access: | https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/47/19 |
| _version_ | 1797739447774609408 |
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| author | Florian Bonnet Josselin Thuilliez Hippolyte d'Albis |
| author_facet | Florian Bonnet Josselin Thuilliez Hippolyte d'Albis |
| author_sort | Florian Bonnet |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | <b>Background</b>: Influenza mortality has dramatically decreased in France since the 1950s. Annual death rates peaked during two pandemics: the Asian flu (1956-1957) and the Hong Kong flu (1969-1970). <b>Objective</b>: This study's objective is to evaluate whether the second pandemic created a structural change in the dynamics of influenza mortality in France. <b>Methods</b>: We employ a new database on influenza mortality since 1950 at the subnational level (90 geographic areas) to estimate statistical models to find out whether a structural change happened and to explain the differences in mortality rates across geographic areas. Influenza mortality increased between 1950 and 1969 and decreased from 1970 onward. <b>Conclusions</b>: The Hong Kong flu is identified as the event of a structural break. After the break, geographical differences are less explained by regional characteristics such as income, density, or aging ratio. The Hong Kong flu was found to be associated with a major change in influenza mortality in France. Change in health practices and policies induced a decline in mortality that started in 1970, just after the pandemic. The health benefits are notably important for senior citizens and for the poorest regions. <b>Contribution</b>: We employ a new database on influenza mortality since 1950 at the subnational level (90 geographic areas). Change in health practices and policies induced a decline in mortality that started in 1970, just after the pandemics. The health benefits are notably important for senior citizens and for the poorest regions. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T13:58:21Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-fa04e79c97fd4aaba963d920cf06a5c6 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1435-9871 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T13:58:21Z |
| publishDate | 2022-10-01 |
| publisher | Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Demographic Research |
| spelling | doaj.art-fa04e79c97fd4aaba963d920cf06a5c62023-08-22T11:19:16ZengMax Planck Institute for Demographic ResearchDemographic Research1435-98712022-10-01471910.4054/DemRes.2022.47.195649Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemicFlorian Bonnet0Josselin Thuilliez1Hippolyte d'Albis2Institut National d'Études Démographiques (INED)Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS)Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS)<b>Background</b>: Influenza mortality has dramatically decreased in France since the 1950s. Annual death rates peaked during two pandemics: the Asian flu (1956-1957) and the Hong Kong flu (1969-1970). <b>Objective</b>: This study's objective is to evaluate whether the second pandemic created a structural change in the dynamics of influenza mortality in France. <b>Methods</b>: We employ a new database on influenza mortality since 1950 at the subnational level (90 geographic areas) to estimate statistical models to find out whether a structural change happened and to explain the differences in mortality rates across geographic areas. Influenza mortality increased between 1950 and 1969 and decreased from 1970 onward. <b>Conclusions</b>: The Hong Kong flu is identified as the event of a structural break. After the break, geographical differences are less explained by regional characteristics such as income, density, or aging ratio. The Hong Kong flu was found to be associated with a major change in influenza mortality in France. Change in health practices and policies induced a decline in mortality that started in 1970, just after the pandemic. The health benefits are notably important for senior citizens and for the poorest regions. <b>Contribution</b>: We employ a new database on influenza mortality since 1950 at the subnational level (90 geographic areas). Change in health practices and policies induced a decline in mortality that started in 1970, just after the pandemics. The health benefits are notably important for senior citizens and for the poorest regions.https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/47/19french departmentspandemicvaccinations |
| spellingShingle | Florian Bonnet Josselin Thuilliez Hippolyte d'Albis Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic Demographic Research french departments pandemic vaccinations |
| title | Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic |
| title_full | Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic |
| title_fullStr | Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic |
| title_full_unstemmed | Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic |
| title_short | Influenza mortality in French regions after the Hong Kong flu pandemic |
| title_sort | influenza mortality in french regions after the hong kong flu pandemic |
| topic | french departments pandemic vaccinations |
| url | https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/47/19 |
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