2019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?

One of the main factors that determines voter turnout is the mobilisation of the constituency of a given party compared with that of its opponents. The turnout in the 2019 European Parliament election in Poland was twice what it had been in previous years, and the result was forecast accordingly. Th...

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Main Author: Skorupska Magdalena
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2022-04-01
Series:Miscellanea Geographica: Regional Studies on Development
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2022-0001
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author Skorupska Magdalena
author_facet Skorupska Magdalena
author_sort Skorupska Magdalena
collection DOAJ
description One of the main factors that determines voter turnout is the mobilisation of the constituency of a given party compared with that of its opponents. The turnout in the 2019 European Parliament election in Poland was twice what it had been in previous years, and the result was forecast accordingly. The media initially reported that the victorious PiS had benefitted from new votes. The present article shows that drilling down to the lowest level of administrative unit (viz. the gmina) actually reveals a negative correlation between higher frequency and increased support for PiS in many cases. This implies that PiS did not win solely as a result of new voters being mobilised, but also, and perhaps predominantly, because KE voters switched their allegiance to PiS. Many new voters actually voted for the opposition.
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spelling doaj.art-fa2723779c4944d4a237281198ee016c2022-12-22T04:35:09ZengSciendoMiscellanea Geographica: Regional Studies on Development2084-61182022-04-0126313614810.2478/mgrsd-2022-00012019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?Skorupska Magdalena0Faculty of Geography and Regional Studies, University od Warsaw, Warsaw, PolandOne of the main factors that determines voter turnout is the mobilisation of the constituency of a given party compared with that of its opponents. The turnout in the 2019 European Parliament election in Poland was twice what it had been in previous years, and the result was forecast accordingly. The media initially reported that the victorious PiS had benefitted from new votes. The present article shows that drilling down to the lowest level of administrative unit (viz. the gmina) actually reveals a negative correlation between higher frequency and increased support for PiS in many cases. This implies that PiS did not win solely as a result of new voters being mobilised, but also, and perhaps predominantly, because KE voters switched their allegiance to PiS. Many new voters actually voted for the opposition.https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2022-0001electioneuropean parliament electionelectoral geographypolish election(voter) turnout
spellingShingle Skorupska Magdalena
2019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?
Miscellanea Geographica: Regional Studies on Development
election
european parliament election
electoral geography
polish election
(voter) turnout
title 2019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?
title_full 2019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?
title_fullStr 2019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?
title_full_unstemmed 2019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?
title_short 2019 European Parliament Election in Poland: who benefitted from the record increase in turnout?
title_sort 2019 european parliament election in poland who benefitted from the record increase in turnout
topic election
european parliament election
electoral geography
polish election
(voter) turnout
url https://doi.org/10.2478/mgrsd-2022-0001
work_keys_str_mv AT skorupskamagdalena 2019europeanparliamentelectioninpolandwhobenefittedfromtherecordincreaseinturnout