PERAMALAN JUMLAH PENUMPANG PESAWAT BANDARA I GUSTI NGURAH RAI MENGGUNAKAN EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING DAN RUEY-CHYN TSAUR

Bali province is a tourist destination island with good transportation. Airplane is the most used transportation to go to Bali. Convenience of the airline passengers are the most important thing for I Gusti Ngurah Rai Airport Authorithy. An exact forecast method is needed to predict the numbers of p...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: WILDAN FATTURAHMAN MUJTABA, I GUSTI AYU MADE SRINADI, I WAYAN SUMARJAYA
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Udayana 2021-11-01
Series:E-Jurnal Matematika
Online Access:https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/mtk/article/view/81466
Description
Summary:Bali province is a tourist destination island with good transportation. Airplane is the most used transportation to go to Bali. Convenience of the airline passengers are the most important thing for I Gusti Ngurah Rai Airport Authorithy. An exact forecast method is needed to predict the numbers of passenger in the future. There are two types of forecasting methods; triple exponential smoothing and Fuzzy Time Series Ruey-Chyn Tsaur, however based on the research Fuzzy Time Series Ruey-Chyn Tsaur is better than triple exponential smoothing due to a small error MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) of 2,4% and plot is close to actual data.
ISSN:2303-1751