Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)

In this paper we estimate the unrecorded economic activity in Iran during 1350-1400 by Kalman filter technique (state –space approach). In the model used in this paper, the unrecorded economic activity is considered as an unobserved process that depends on regulatory quality, control of corruption,...

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Main Authors: Katayoun Khalaj Asadi, Teymour Mohammadi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Semnan University 2023-09-01
Series:مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_8153_9c7f3a6c2072a2a36eaacc88fc9f566e.pdf
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author Katayoun Khalaj Asadi
Teymour Mohammadi
author_facet Katayoun Khalaj Asadi
Teymour Mohammadi
author_sort Katayoun Khalaj Asadi
collection DOAJ
description In this paper we estimate the unrecorded economic activity in Iran during 1350-1400 by Kalman filter technique (state –space approach). In the model used in this paper, the unrecorded economic activity is considered as an unobserved process that depends on regulatory quality, control of corruption, size of government, income tax, population, etc. and affects cash in circulation and energy consumption. In Iran the findings suggest that unrecorded economic activity in Iran has increased sizably the years under review especially in recent years. Furthermore, we saw that control of corruption has a negative and significant effect and regulatory quality has a negative and significant effect and size of government has positive and significant effect and income tax has a positive and significant effect and population has a positive and significant effect on size of unrecorded economic activity.
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spelling doaj.art-fa528145929c43509842b0fb112e587e2024-02-23T18:09:51ZfasSemnan Universityمدلسازی اقتصادسنجی2345-654X2821-21502023-09-018312916110.22075/jem.2023.29204.17908153Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)Katayoun Khalaj Asadi0Teymour Mohammadi1Ph.D. Student in Economics, , Faculty of Economics, Allameh Tabatabaei UniversityProfessor in Economics, Faculty of Economics, Allameh Tabatabaei UniversityIn this paper we estimate the unrecorded economic activity in Iran during 1350-1400 by Kalman filter technique (state –space approach). In the model used in this paper, the unrecorded economic activity is considered as an unobserved process that depends on regulatory quality, control of corruption, size of government, income tax, population, etc. and affects cash in circulation and energy consumption. In Iran the findings suggest that unrecorded economic activity in Iran has increased sizably the years under review especially in recent years. Furthermore, we saw that control of corruption has a negative and significant effect and regulatory quality has a negative and significant effect and size of government has positive and significant effect and income tax has a positive and significant effect and population has a positive and significant effect on size of unrecorded economic activity.https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_8153_9c7f3a6c2072a2a36eaacc88fc9f566e.pdfunrecorded economystate-space approachkalman filter. control of corruption
spellingShingle Katayoun Khalaj Asadi
Teymour Mohammadi
Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)
مدلسازی اقتصادسنجی
unrecorded economy
state-space approach
kalman filter. control of corruption
title Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)
title_full Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)
title_fullStr Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)
title_full_unstemmed Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)
title_short Investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by Kalman filter method (state –space approach)
title_sort investigation the factors affecting the unrecorded economy by kalman filter method state space approach
topic unrecorded economy
state-space approach
kalman filter. control of corruption
url https://jem.semnan.ac.ir/article_8153_9c7f3a6c2072a2a36eaacc88fc9f566e.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT katayounkhalajasadi investigationthefactorsaffectingtheunrecordedeconomybykalmanfiltermethodstatespaceapproach
AT teymourmohammadi investigationthefactorsaffectingtheunrecordedeconomybykalmanfiltermethodstatespaceapproach