Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020

Study Region:: Hulun Lake, the fifth largest lake in China. Study Focus:: The notable decline in water level (WL) caused by climate change is the primary challenge faced by Hulun Lake. However, the contribution of climate to water loss and its driving mechanisms remain unclear. The impact of climate...

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Main Authors: Yuqi Huang, Bo Yao, Yu Li, Hao Zhang, Shengrui Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-04-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823000393
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author Yuqi Huang
Bo Yao
Yu Li
Hao Zhang
Shengrui Wang
author_facet Yuqi Huang
Bo Yao
Yu Li
Hao Zhang
Shengrui Wang
author_sort Yuqi Huang
collection DOAJ
description Study Region:: Hulun Lake, the fifth largest lake in China. Study Focus:: The notable decline in water level (WL) caused by climate change is the primary challenge faced by Hulun Lake. However, the contribution of climate to water loss and its driving mechanisms remain unclear. The impact of climate on WL change was investigated using wavelet analysis and structural equation models. New Hydrological Insights for the Region:: In the past 60 years, the increasing potential evapotranspiration (ETp) caused by warming climate was the main reason for the WL decline (r=−0.67). For period I (1961–1997), reduced runoff due to increasing ETp caused an overall decrease in WL (r = 0.41). During the mid-1980s, the increase in rainfall driven by ENSO (r = −0.66) caused a slight increase in WL (r = 0.31). For period II (1998–2020), deforestation, farmland and urban area expansion were the main drivers behind the significant increase of ETp in the watershed (r = −0.22), which leads to reduced runoff and, consequently, a significant decrease in WL. The influence of climate on WL change weakened compared with that in the first period due to land use change (r = −1.08).
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spelling doaj.art-fa7a40d4e05d420db9d2cf79d12dd9282023-03-18T04:41:19ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182023-04-0146101352Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020Yuqi Huang0Bo Yao1Yu Li2Hao Zhang3Shengrui Wang4College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Guangdong-Hong Kong Joint Laboratory for Water Security, Center for Water Research, Advanced Institute of Natural Sciences, Beijing Normal University at Zhuhai, 519087, China; Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education on Groundwater Pollution Control and Remediation, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, ChinaKey Laboratory for Mechanics in Fluid Solid Coupling Systems, Institute of Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Guangdong-Hong Kong Joint Laboratory for Water Security, Center for Water Research, Advanced Institute of Natural Sciences, Beijing Normal University at Zhuhai, 519087, China; Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education on Groundwater Pollution Control and Remediation, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Guangdong-Hong Kong Joint Laboratory for Water Security, Center for Water Research, Advanced Institute of Natural Sciences, Beijing Normal University at Zhuhai, 519087, China; Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education on Groundwater Pollution Control and Remediation, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China; Guangdong-Hong Kong Joint Laboratory for Water Security, Center for Water Research, Advanced Institute of Natural Sciences, Beijing Normal University at Zhuhai, 519087, China; Engineering Research Center of Ministry of Education on Groundwater Pollution Control and Remediation, College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, 100875, China; Corresponding author.Study Region:: Hulun Lake, the fifth largest lake in China. Study Focus:: The notable decline in water level (WL) caused by climate change is the primary challenge faced by Hulun Lake. However, the contribution of climate to water loss and its driving mechanisms remain unclear. The impact of climate on WL change was investigated using wavelet analysis and structural equation models. New Hydrological Insights for the Region:: In the past 60 years, the increasing potential evapotranspiration (ETp) caused by warming climate was the main reason for the WL decline (r=−0.67). For period I (1961–1997), reduced runoff due to increasing ETp caused an overall decrease in WL (r = 0.41). During the mid-1980s, the increase in rainfall driven by ENSO (r = −0.66) caused a slight increase in WL (r = 0.31). For period II (1998–2020), deforestation, farmland and urban area expansion were the main drivers behind the significant increase of ETp in the watershed (r = −0.22), which leads to reduced runoff and, consequently, a significant decrease in WL. The influence of climate on WL change weakened compared with that in the first period due to land use change (r = −1.08).http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823000393LakeWater resourcesClimate changeSEMLanduse
spellingShingle Yuqi Huang
Bo Yao
Yu Li
Hao Zhang
Shengrui Wang
Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Lake
Water resources
Climate change
SEM
Landuse
title Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020
title_full Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020
title_fullStr Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020
title_full_unstemmed Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020
title_short Deciphering Hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961–2020
title_sort deciphering hulun lake level dynamics and periodical response to climate change during 1961 2020
topic Lake
Water resources
Climate change
SEM
Landuse
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581823000393
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AT yuli decipheringhulunlakeleveldynamicsandperiodicalresponsetoclimatechangeduring19612020
AT haozhang decipheringhulunlakeleveldynamicsandperiodicalresponsetoclimatechangeduring19612020
AT shengruiwang decipheringhulunlakeleveldynamicsandperiodicalresponsetoclimatechangeduring19612020