Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approach

How inflation relates to economic activity is one of the most important concern of macroeconomists. Usually the trade-off between inflation and output is assumed to be linear. But is that correct? If not, what is the correct non-linear relation? To answer those questions, we estimated the inflation-...

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Main Authors: Tiago Santana Tristão, Hudson da Silva Torrent
Format: Article
Language:Portuguese
Published: Universidade de São Paulo 2015-12-01
Series:Economia Aplicada
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/110729
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author Tiago Santana Tristão
Hudson da Silva Torrent
author_facet Tiago Santana Tristão
Hudson da Silva Torrent
author_sort Tiago Santana Tristão
collection DOAJ
description How inflation relates to economic activity is one of the most important concern of macroeconomists. Usually the trade-off between inflation and output is assumed to be linear. But is that correct? If not, what is the correct non-linear relation? To answer those questions, we estimated the inflation-output trade-off semi-parametrically. A nonparametric estimator was used to guide the choice of a parametric non-linear model. The functional form achieved is considered as a New-Keynesian Hybrid Phillips Curve estimated by GMM. This approach was applied to Brazil using data from 2002 to 2012. We have found evidence of cubic relation between inflation and output gap
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1980-5330
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spelling doaj.art-fac52542865545e997aecee5e9fc7b9a2022-12-21T20:20:23ZporUniversidade de São PauloEconomia Aplicada1413-80501980-53302015-12-0119410.11606/1413-8050/ea136485Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approachTiago Santana TristãoHudson da Silva TorrentHow inflation relates to economic activity is one of the most important concern of macroeconomists. Usually the trade-off between inflation and output is assumed to be linear. But is that correct? If not, what is the correct non-linear relation? To answer those questions, we estimated the inflation-output trade-off semi-parametrically. A nonparametric estimator was used to guide the choice of a parametric non-linear model. The functional form achieved is considered as a New-Keynesian Hybrid Phillips Curve estimated by GMM. This approach was applied to Brazil using data from 2002 to 2012. We have found evidence of cubic relation between inflation and output gaphttp://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/110729Non-linear Phillips curveLocal linear kernel estimatorSemiparametric estimation
spellingShingle Tiago Santana Tristão
Hudson da Silva Torrent
Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approach
Economia Aplicada
Non-linear Phillips curve
Local linear kernel estimator
Semiparametric estimation
title Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approach
title_full Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approach
title_fullStr Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approach
title_full_unstemmed Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approach
title_short Nonlinearities in Phillips curve: A semi-parametric approach
title_sort nonlinearities in phillips curve a semi parametric approach
topic Non-linear Phillips curve
Local linear kernel estimator
Semiparametric estimation
url http://www.revistas.usp.br/ecoa/article/view/110729
work_keys_str_mv AT tiagosantanatristao nonlinearitiesinphillipscurveasemiparametricapproach
AT hudsondasilvatorrent nonlinearitiesinphillipscurveasemiparametricapproach