Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022
The main issue in this article is the introduction, critique and pathology of the extent present model in future research. Future studies are generally limited to studying trends and events identified in the past and present, as well as the development of today's imagination for the future, but...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | fas |
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Allameh Tabataba'i University Press
2020-12-01
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| Series: | Faṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://qpss.atu.ac.ir/article_12195_b6b26fd68f3c0b76c36302076db3e0cf.pdf |
| _version_ | 1797368982689284096 |
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| author | seyedreza mousavinia |
| author_facet | seyedreza mousavinia |
| author_sort | seyedreza mousavinia |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The main issue in this article is the introduction, critique and pathology of the extent present model in future research. Future studies are generally limited to studying trends and events identified in the past and present, as well as the development of today's imagination for the future, but it is considered as an unfinished project. Future studies do not entail familiar future, unthoughtful future and genus forecasting in the future cycle. At the same time, competition, complexity, contradiction, turmoil, increasing developments, the growing role of science, and uncertainty are among the main drivers of the future, and limiting future research to the study of current trends, events, and perceptions poses a serious risk. Nonetheless, futures studies provide for the states to make desirable future, and therefore is more advanced than explanatory studies. Our main question is: What is the common pattern in the future study of states behavior in foreign policy and what are the restrictions on it? In response to this hypothesis, the pattern in the future studies of states behavior in foreign policy is extent present, and in this model, the role of familiar future, genius forecasting and unthoughtful future in scenarios making are not clear. The pattern of the extent present will be shown in the future with an example of US sanctions against Iran until 2020. The research method is scenario writing based on the extent present pattern. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T17:40:28Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-faf5ac3ca4e5438c9e2f2b169e90d512 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2345-6140 2476-6208 |
| language | fas |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T17:40:28Z |
| publishDate | 2020-12-01 |
| publisher | Allameh Tabataba'i University Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Faṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat |
| spelling | doaj.art-faf5ac3ca4e5438c9e2f2b169e90d5122024-01-02T11:07:46ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University PressFaṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat2345-61402476-62082020-12-0193593510.22054/qpss.2020.50289.246412195Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022seyedreza mousavinia0استادیار روابط بین الملل دانشگاه علامه طباطباییThe main issue in this article is the introduction, critique and pathology of the extent present model in future research. Future studies are generally limited to studying trends and events identified in the past and present, as well as the development of today's imagination for the future, but it is considered as an unfinished project. Future studies do not entail familiar future, unthoughtful future and genus forecasting in the future cycle. At the same time, competition, complexity, contradiction, turmoil, increasing developments, the growing role of science, and uncertainty are among the main drivers of the future, and limiting future research to the study of current trends, events, and perceptions poses a serious risk. Nonetheless, futures studies provide for the states to make desirable future, and therefore is more advanced than explanatory studies. Our main question is: What is the common pattern in the future study of states behavior in foreign policy and what are the restrictions on it? In response to this hypothesis, the pattern in the future studies of states behavior in foreign policy is extent present, and in this model, the role of familiar future, genius forecasting and unthoughtful future in scenarios making are not clear. The pattern of the extent present will be shown in the future with an example of US sanctions against Iran until 2020. The research method is scenario writing based on the extent present pattern.https://qpss.atu.ac.ir/article_12195_b6b26fd68f3c0b76c36302076db3e0cf.pdffuture studiesextended presentsanctionscenarioiran |
| spellingShingle | seyedreza mousavinia Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022 Faṣlnāmah-i Pizhūhish/hā-yi Rāhburdī-i Siyāsat future studies extended present sanction scenario iran |
| title | Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022 |
| title_full | Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022 |
| title_fullStr | Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022 |
| title_short | Critical Approach to Extent Present Patterns in Future Studies, As Future Studies Case Example: US Sanctions against Iran until 2022 |
| title_sort | critical approach to extent present patterns in future studies as future studies case example us sanctions against iran until 2022 |
| topic | future studies extended present sanction scenario iran |
| url | https://qpss.atu.ac.ir/article_12195_b6b26fd68f3c0b76c36302076db3e0cf.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT seyedrezamousavinia criticalapproachtoextentpresentpatternsinfuturestudiesasfuturestudiescaseexampleussanctionsagainstiranuntil2022 |