Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Patients

(1) Background: This research aims to identify candidates for trimodality therapy (TMT) or radical cystectomy (RC) by using a predictive model. (2) Methods: Patients with nonmetastatic muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrol...

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Main Authors: Shengming Ran, Jingtian Yang, Jintao Hu, Liekui Fang, Wang He
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-11-01
Series:Current Oncology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1718-7729/30/12/740
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author Shengming Ran
Jingtian Yang
Jintao Hu
Liekui Fang
Wang He
author_facet Shengming Ran
Jingtian Yang
Jintao Hu
Liekui Fang
Wang He
author_sort Shengming Ran
collection DOAJ
description (1) Background: This research aims to identify candidates for trimodality therapy (TMT) or radical cystectomy (RC) by using a predictive model. (2) Methods: Patients with nonmetastatic muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled. The clinical data of 2174 eligible patients were extracted and separated into RC and TMT groups. To control for confounding bias, propensity score matching (PSM) was carried out. A nomogram was established via multivariable logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curves were used to assess the nomogram’s prediction capacity. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was carried out to determine the nomogram’s clinical applicability. (3) Results: After being processed with PSM, the OS of the RC group was significantly longer compared with the TMT group (<i>p</i> < 0.001). This remarkable capacity for discrimination was exhibited in the training (AUC: 0.717) and validation (AUC: 0.774) sets. The calibration curves suggested acceptable uniformity. Excellent clinical utility was shown in the DCA curve. The RC and RC-Beneficial group survived significantly longer than the RC and TMT-Beneficial group (<i>p</i> < 0.001) or the TMT group (<i>p</i> < 0.001). However, no significant difference was found between the RC and TMT-Beneficial group and the TMT group (<i>p</i> = 0.321). (4) Conclusions: A predictive model with excellent discrimination and clinical application value was established to identify the optimal patients for TMT among nonmetastatic MIBC patients.
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spelling doaj.art-faf91f34985b483aba0631a8e82501c22023-12-22T14:02:20ZengMDPI AGCurrent Oncology1198-00521718-77292023-11-013012101661017810.3390/curroncol30120740Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer PatientsShengming Ran0Jingtian Yang1Jintao Hu2Liekui Fang3Wang He4Department of Urology, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510289, ChinaDepartment of Urology, The Third People’s Hospital of Shenzhen, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518116, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510289, ChinaDepartment of Urology, The Third People’s Hospital of Shenzhen, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen 518116, ChinaDepartment of Urology, Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510289, China(1) Background: This research aims to identify candidates for trimodality therapy (TMT) or radical cystectomy (RC) by using a predictive model. (2) Methods: Patients with nonmetastatic muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were enrolled. The clinical data of 2174 eligible patients were extracted and separated into RC and TMT groups. To control for confounding bias, propensity score matching (PSM) was carried out. A nomogram was established via multivariable logistic regression. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration curves were used to assess the nomogram’s prediction capacity. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was carried out to determine the nomogram’s clinical applicability. (3) Results: After being processed with PSM, the OS of the RC group was significantly longer compared with the TMT group (<i>p</i> < 0.001). This remarkable capacity for discrimination was exhibited in the training (AUC: 0.717) and validation (AUC: 0.774) sets. The calibration curves suggested acceptable uniformity. Excellent clinical utility was shown in the DCA curve. The RC and RC-Beneficial group survived significantly longer than the RC and TMT-Beneficial group (<i>p</i> < 0.001) or the TMT group (<i>p</i> < 0.001). However, no significant difference was found between the RC and TMT-Beneficial group and the TMT group (<i>p</i> = 0.321). (4) Conclusions: A predictive model with excellent discrimination and clinical application value was established to identify the optimal patients for TMT among nonmetastatic MIBC patients.https://www.mdpi.com/1718-7729/30/12/740nonmetastatic muscle-invasive bladder cancertrimodality therapypredictive modelSEER databasenomogram
spellingShingle Shengming Ran
Jingtian Yang
Jintao Hu
Liekui Fang
Wang He
Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Patients
Current Oncology
nonmetastatic muscle-invasive bladder cancer
trimodality therapy
predictive model
SEER database
nomogram
title Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Patients
title_full Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Patients
title_fullStr Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Patients
title_full_unstemmed Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Patients
title_short Identifying Optimal Candidates for Trimodality Therapy among Nonmetastatic Muscle-Invasive Bladder Cancer Patients
title_sort identifying optimal candidates for trimodality therapy among nonmetastatic muscle invasive bladder cancer patients
topic nonmetastatic muscle-invasive bladder cancer
trimodality therapy
predictive model
SEER database
nomogram
url https://www.mdpi.com/1718-7729/30/12/740
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