Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's Economy

This study investigates the impact of conflict and insecurity on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and socio-economic development in Nigeria from 1983 to 2013. It explores the dynamics between Nigeria's economic growth, marked by becoming Africa's largest economy in 2014, and...

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Main Authors: Olatunbosun Ayo Falana, Olaniyan Niyi Oladipo, Olalekan Ademola Adedun, James Segun Ogundele
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Danubius University 2023-12-01
Series:Acta Universitatis Danubius: Oeconomica
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dj.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/AUDOE/article/view/2578
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author Olatunbosun Ayo Falana
Olaniyan Niyi Oladipo
Olalekan Ademola Adedun
James Segun Ogundele
author_facet Olatunbosun Ayo Falana
Olaniyan Niyi Oladipo
Olalekan Ademola Adedun
James Segun Ogundele
author_sort Olatunbosun Ayo Falana
collection DOAJ
description This study investigates the impact of conflict and insecurity on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and socio-economic development in Nigeria from 1983 to 2013. It explores the dynamics between Nigeria's economic growth, marked by becoming Africa's largest economy in 2014, and the challenges posed by decades of conflicts, using the theoretical framework of Conflict Theory. The research employs an ARDL bounds testing approach to analyze the relationships between FDI and key economic indicators, concluding that trade openness significantly attracts FDI, while conflict notably deters it. Despite the negative impact of conflict, the positive role of a larger GDP on FDI affirms the Size-of-Market Hypothesis, suggesting that Nigeria's market size continues to appeal to foreign investors. The study's findings have implications for policy, emphasizing the need for economic liberalization, political stability, and conflict resolution to foster a conducive investment environment. It highlights the necessity for investors to assess political risks and suggests further research into additional factors influencing FDI. Overall, the study underscores the importance of stability and growth-oriented policies for enhancing FDI inflows, contributing to the discourse on economic development in emerging economies.
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spelling doaj.art-fb160694209444ab8b147c2289af65692024-01-27T04:44:49ZengDanubius UniversityActa Universitatis Danubius: Oeconomica2065-01752067-340X2023-12-01196Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's EconomyOlatunbosun Ayo Falana0Olaniyan Niyi Oladipo1Olalekan Ademola Adedun2James Segun Ogundele3Cardiff Metropolitan UniversitymrPeking UniversityEkiti State University This study investigates the impact of conflict and insecurity on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and socio-economic development in Nigeria from 1983 to 2013. It explores the dynamics between Nigeria's economic growth, marked by becoming Africa's largest economy in 2014, and the challenges posed by decades of conflicts, using the theoretical framework of Conflict Theory. The research employs an ARDL bounds testing approach to analyze the relationships between FDI and key economic indicators, concluding that trade openness significantly attracts FDI, while conflict notably deters it. Despite the negative impact of conflict, the positive role of a larger GDP on FDI affirms the Size-of-Market Hypothesis, suggesting that Nigeria's market size continues to appeal to foreign investors. The study's findings have implications for policy, emphasizing the need for economic liberalization, political stability, and conflict resolution to foster a conducive investment environment. It highlights the necessity for investors to assess political risks and suggests further research into additional factors influencing FDI. Overall, the study underscores the importance of stability and growth-oriented policies for enhancing FDI inflows, contributing to the discourse on economic development in emerging economies. https://dj.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/AUDOE/article/view/2578Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Conflict and Economic Growth, Trade Openness. Political Stability, Economic Policy in Nigeria
spellingShingle Olatunbosun Ayo Falana
Olaniyan Niyi Oladipo
Olalekan Ademola Adedun
James Segun Ogundele
Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's Economy
Acta Universitatis Danubius: Oeconomica
Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Conflict and Economic Growth, Trade Openness. Political Stability, Economic Policy in Nigeria
title Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's Economy
title_full Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's Economy
title_fullStr Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's Economy
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's Economy
title_short Impact of Conflict on Foreign Direct Investment and Socio-Economic Development: A 30-Year Analysis of Nigeria's Economy
title_sort impact of conflict on foreign direct investment and socio economic development a 30 year analysis of nigeria s economy
topic Foreign Direct Investment (FDI). Conflict and Economic Growth, Trade Openness. Political Stability, Economic Policy in Nigeria
url https://dj.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/AUDOE/article/view/2578
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AT olalekanademolaadedun impactofconflictonforeigndirectinvestmentandsocioeconomicdevelopmenta30yearanalysisofnigeriaseconomy
AT jamessegunogundele impactofconflictonforeigndirectinvestmentandsocioeconomicdevelopmenta30yearanalysisofnigeriaseconomy